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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #63,521
  • Dec 16, 2012 2:10pm Dec 16, 2012 2:10pm
Quoting redteamgo
yen pairs should have an interesting upcoming week.
Looks like E/J is gapping UP about 200 pips!!!


LOL Elections must be Yen bearish...
  • #63,522
  • Dec 16, 2012 2:20pm Dec 16, 2012 2:20pm
Quoting mka_78
sure, here you go

http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2012/12/16/early-prices/

Bloomberg
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/
Thanks!
Looks like XE has the early rates too
  • #63,523
  • Dec 16, 2012 4:08pm Dec 16, 2012 4:08pm
Week 17/12/12 s-range:

1.3183 (already exceeded)
1.3086
  • #63,524
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:01pm Dec 16, 2012 5:01pm
Long usd/cad @ 0.9965
Target @ 1.006
Stop @ 0.9920
  • #63,525
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:08pm Dec 16, 2012 5:08pm
Scaary ass volatility in eur and pound, could easily explode further up. Dunno whats happening
  • #63,526
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:13pm Dec 16, 2012 5:13pm
The Economy and Stocks: A Big Disconnect
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/16/yo...=tw-share&_r=0
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,527
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:14pm Dec 16, 2012 5:14pm
Daily s-range 17/12/12

1.3178 (exceeded)
1.3145
  • #63,528
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:15pm Dec 16, 2012 5:15pm
Quoting PipTrapper
It's hard to come up with a coherent explanation for the recent Euro moves other than a year end unwinding of positions by large participants. Until I see a plausible alternate explanation to this, I'll have to assume I am correct.

One thing I know for sure is that this Euro bullish sentiment is certainly not based on macro-economic fundamentals.
Not so sure 1 balance sheet is decreasing on 1 side of the ocean while the other 1 is increasing. print a trilion a year deposit a trilion a year (macro) imo not so good for usd. Everybody printing Boj verry dovish now the uk new governer carney http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/mark-ca...rnor-1.1053945 talks about nominal gdp targeting so the world floats with money printing and who is the leftover the euro now if thats the winner wouldnt that be fun. So it is all how you interpret it imo a liquidity driven bull market not driven by growth things change markets change economics change.

What if whe get economic growth picks up then the bond market will sell off and this massive debt in the us will be a massive problem it is all how you interpret it imo.

Yen isnt a safe haven anymore and is verry good for carry longerterm imo. allwel intermediate it is bit to crowded i dont like myself.

Put all that stuff next to each other then the euro isnt so bad at all imo. Not that everything is great in the eurozone not at all but the euro (currencie) whe trade isnt looking so bad. If you look at the great depresion in 1930ish lots of simularities europe was in great mess but the currencies did pretty well because they didnt printed as much money. Banks gonna payback early there loans they ltro's it is gonna be a messy progress. At the end europe is just gonna be like most countries in the world verry disfunctional but goes along.
Huge risk now is buying greek debt but havent got most people become millionares by buying shit others didnt like or sold shit everybody loved. (high speculate)
  • #63,529
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:16pm Dec 16, 2012 5:16pm
Quoting lumesh
Scaary ass volatility in eur and pound, could easily explode further up. Dunno whats happening
yeah, freaky
  • #63,530
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:40pm Dec 16, 2012 5:40pm
Quoting msood
yeah, freaky
Volatility is due to two items. LDP winning the Japanese erections and Boehner not being such a boehner after all (going soft).
Anyway, it's still early trade in Asia. We'll probably either get a risk pop which will fade or perhaps it's all already priced in. Other than a further big bank driven liquidity squeeze, I really cannot see how this eurobull craziness can go on.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,531
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:41pm Dec 16, 2012 5:41pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Not so sure 1 balance sheet is decreasing on 1 side of the ocean while the other 1 is increasing. print a trilion a year deposit a trilion a year (macro) imo not so good for usd. Everybody printing Boj verry dovish now the uk new governer carney http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/mark-ca...rnor-1.1053945 talks about nominal gdp targeting so the world floats with money printing and who is the leftover the euro now if thats the winner wouldnt that be fun. So it is all how you interpret it imo a liquidity driven bull...
All very valid points my friend, but it seems to me that move has already occured and any additional upside should be very limited... but then again, I said the same thing at 1.2760
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,532
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:41pm Dec 16, 2012 5:41pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Japanese erections
are you mocking the japanese spoken difficulty with L's or is this a Freudian slip?
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #63,533
  • Edited 6:00pm Dec 16, 2012 5:47pm | Edited 6:00pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Volatility is due to two items. LDP winning the Japanese erections and Boehner not being such a boehner after all (going soft).
Anyway, it's still early trade in Asia. We'll probably either get a risk pop which will fade or perhaps it's all already priced in. Other than a further big bank driven liquidity squeeze, I really cannot see how this eurobull craziness can go on.
thing that consoles me is this: for price to shoot up so, someone out there has gotta be selling to all the buy orders (I mean, it can't be just us ) - and so all these sell orders can't be loosers and must take profit at some time (?)

...as an afterthought: unless most of the selling is comprised of profit taking on longs from prior lows. Though, to refute that, why would smart money take profits if they were expecting the price to rise much higher...
  • #63,534
  • Dec 16, 2012 5:52pm Dec 16, 2012 5:52pm
Quoting Ken A
From 100.xx, it's already +800 pips. Slow down a bit
111.30 missed by 4 pips
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #63,535
  • Dec 16, 2012 6:20pm Dec 16, 2012 6:20pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
111.30 missed by 4 pips
4 pips? your estimate is invalidated!
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #63,536
  • Dec 16, 2012 6:23pm Dec 16, 2012 6:23pm
Quoting redteamgo
are you mocking the japanese spoken difficulty with L's or is this a Freudian slip?
Not mocking.. just bringing some humor to the room... for whoever is not offended by it. For those who take offense, it's a Freudian slip
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,537
  • Dec 16, 2012 6:23pm Dec 16, 2012 6:23pm
Quoting redteamgo
4 pips? your estimate is invalidated!
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,538
  • Dec 16, 2012 6:25pm Dec 16, 2012 6:25pm
If you're interested in watching the Obama speech in Newtown Connecticut, here's a live stream link >> http://www.bloomberg.com/live-stream/
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,539
  • Dec 16, 2012 8:19pm Dec 16, 2012 8:19pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Not mocking.. just bringing some humor to the room... for whoever is not offended by it. For those who take offense, it's a Freudian slip
Stephen Harper saying 'election' when speaking french

Check out this video on YouTube:

Inserted Video



Sent from my iPhone
  • #63,540
  • Dec 16, 2012 8:48pm Dec 16, 2012 8:48pm
Quoting D2tz
Stephen Harper saying 'election' when speaking french

Check out this video on YouTube:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-P08...e_gdata_player


Sent from my iPhone
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