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  • #733,221
  • Dec 15, 2012 2:30pm Dec 15, 2012 2:30pm
Quoting math_GB
Mate... I mean this very friendly. I have ended my discussion with you from my end regarding the last incidence we had with you cause I think you will be here like us from now on. You did step in on the wrong foot but it is OK. I do hope you can make a sense of all those posts from my end and yours and understand why you have been perceived in a nasty way. Anyway...! All history now... We are all here, we are all trying to be succesfull with the little resources we have. And I truly wish we make the most we can, and we can succeed when we share...
I agree. This is here for some reason, good. This is a political instrument, nice said... me i also always said that arabs, indians and half planet more buy euroz, in part, just for fancy... so, but if you think:"hm..., over 1.31 it willl see 1.34-1.35 .... and over that, the way to 1.45-1.50 will be opened.... and if it reaches 1.45 that means it will stay there, or above 1.30 more than 1 yr, of course..... Can US, WILL US CHEW that ? A weak $ is a weak yen or ... am i wrong ? Will Japs like that, a weak $ ? No.
This has turned north again, clearly, but please somebody tell me why i'm not long already ...
Every war [Lybia, Syria, etc] will make more enemies for the dollar, will create more people who accumulates euroz in their savings, without any commercial reason...

Sorry, but at this moment i can't tell anything cool, please someone tell me who do you think it will print more money ?
The FED or the ECB ?
Looks like ti will be just a matter of that...

I only warn you that, due to the "new-ness factor" of the euro, there must be some good hundreds of billions of euroz, in half world mid class accounts, with no commercial reason, blocked... money that Germany can't bring them back soon and WILL PRINT, to compensate....will print a lot of money, soon !!!

If that's true, we will go to par before going to 1.45 and yesterday's spike is just a trick before das grosse FALL...
I'll shop after the drop
  • #733,222
  • Dec 15, 2012 2:31pm Dec 15, 2012 2:31pm
Quoting FiatFap
As long as Uncle Mervyn keeps giving me info, i'm fine
I see. What's your plan about Carney?
  • #733,223
  • Dec 15, 2012 2:41pm Dec 15, 2012 2:41pm
Quoting Willow
Sorry, but at this moment i can't tell anything cool, please someone tell me who do you think it will print more money ?
The FED or the ECB ?
Looks like ti will be just a matter of that...

I only warn you that, due to the "new-ness factor" of the euro, there must be some good hundreds of billions of euroz, in half world mid class accounts, with no commercial reason, blocked... money that Germany can't bring them back soon and WILL PRINT, to compensate....will print a lot of money, soon !!!

If that's true, we will go to par before going to 1.45 and yesterday's spike is just a trick before das grosse FALL...
If ECB has no mandate as FED, BOJ, BOE, and the rest, who is going to debase Euro?
  • #733,224
  • Dec 15, 2012 2:50pm Dec 15, 2012 2:50pm
Quoting Ken A
If ECB has no mandate as FED, BOJ, BOE, and the rest, who is going to debase Euro?
it will get one...
I'll shop after the drop
  • #733,225
  • Dec 15, 2012 3:26pm Dec 15, 2012 3:26pm
its a scenario on 2013 i'm quite sure of that, and dont take seriuse the fundamental..
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The market was bullish, turned bearish, and you'are brokish!!!
  • #733,226
  • Dec 15, 2012 3:38pm Dec 15, 2012 3:38pm
Damn - This Place is never empty ..lol
  • #733,227
  • Dec 15, 2012 4:00pm Dec 15, 2012 4:00pm
Quoting divak
However, this kind of sudden moves are a classic of fridays...
can you explain why? with arguments.
Obviously I can't... Who the f***k am I...? How can anyone know what the buyers had on their minds mate...? I trade what I see. And as long as we are abobe monthlt piv, I expect the PA pushing higher. I have mentioned in my previous post, I do expect somewhere along the line 1.2890 but also 1.3500s so have to trade accordingly. The unfinished job around 1.2450s and even 1.2280s will happen at some other point now. I am a clear buyer at 1.2900 now. But hey this is me, the little unexperienced retail FX guy. All I am saying is, it is time to drop the short bias, trade what you see and not what you want to see. My opinion is my own and doesn't mean shite to many. This is a free forum and everyone is free to share his/her views.
  • #733,228
  • Dec 15, 2012 4:19pm Dec 15, 2012 4:19pm
Last week EUR was trending up from 2890 Need there be another reason?

EUR was
Attached Image
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #733,229
  • Dec 15, 2012 4:24pm Dec 15, 2012 4:24pm
Next week we could see, undecided? Holidays, volatility, consolidation. Time will tell
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When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #733,230
  • Edited Dec 16, 2012 8:25am Dec 15, 2012 4:41pm | Edited Dec 16, 2012 8:25am
Quoting Kanzler
Interesting post....in either case, reject or break, there's the potential for a great setup if price action verifies. No reason to have a bias, just watch what it does and play it I think.
Exactly what I was trying to say in long paragraphs dude. Why the bias...? We should play the game, we can not move the market... Bias is a weakness... Many of us dislike the pair and think the Union is crap and fall apart but... This was a plan probably made early 50s or 60s.. Imagine how much money, how much time, how much etc. has been spent on it... It will not fall apart easily. My personal view is something else. I never liked the idea of a United Europe. I am not European. I am British. I am sure many in France or Germany think the same way. We are different nations, let alone with different values. It is to me impossible a single government to have it all and manage it. This is a political instrument and there will be buyers at every level up untill there is no hope. I mentioned this in a few posts, I made with my LONGs three times more pips than my SHORTs even in a down market - we are in the bearish area below 1.4250s -let alone in an upside running market. So, with this pair may it be bear retrace or bull power, bulls have still have a higher chance of making money. Just my simple opinion.
  • #733,231
  • Dec 15, 2012 4:45pm Dec 15, 2012 4:45pm
BIAS has an acronym in my book...

Bullheaded
Idiots
Account
Stealer

Play what you see, not what you hope will happen.
  • #733,232
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:07pm Dec 15, 2012 5:07pm
Updated daily levels.. I mentioned these move around, so they're not exactly the same as last week.

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  • #733,233
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:19pm Dec 15, 2012 5:19pm
Quoting attila
Updated daily levels.. I mentioned these move around, so they're not exactly the same as last week.

Attachment
Thanks dude...! I was hoping for this. I know how to use it now.
  • #733,234
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:19pm Dec 15, 2012 5:19pm
Quoting magnumfreak
BIAS has an acronym in my book...

Bullheaded
Idiots
Account
Stealer

Play what you see, not what you hope will happen.
Maybe you should include " Swing " in your book , under the word BIAS too ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #733,235
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:20pm Dec 15, 2012 5:20pm
Breakout to the upside in daily and weekly.
Incredible.
When we sell they buy.
When they buy we sell.
We can't see in picture but daily target of breakout is projected to 1.3595.
Unbelievable.
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  • #733,236
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:29pm Dec 15, 2012 5:29pm
Quoting math_GB
Exactly what I was trying to say in long paragraphs dude. Why the bias...? We should play the game, we can not move the market... Bias is a weakness... Many of us dislike the pair and think the Union is crap and fall apart but... This was a plan probably made early 50s or 60s.. Imagine how much money, how much time, how much etc. has been spent on it... It will not fall apart easily. My personal view is something else. I never liked the idea of a United Europe. I am not European. I am British,I am Jewish. I am sure many in France or Germany think...
Hey peoples, beautiful summers day here

Interesting what you say, bias is relative, if monthly weekly and daily is down, to be seller or buyer in less than daily is fine, but depending trading plan/style, trend is friend etc etc, a trend is a trend until its not,

The key is riding the trend, and be cautious when trend is in reverse or continue mode. I think this is where pa is now been there awhile now, and normally would be battle / deciding mode for sometime yet, "but" it near year end, holiday sentiment, low liquidity blah blah, books wound down or winding down, many will not open until mid feb early march

Now no bias mmm many say they dont have bias, but I dont believe, their posts repeated show bias, but I am and will always be bear euro and bull USD yen is long term good bull opportunity, but shorter than daily I sell her

Is also interesting that you say you made 3xtimes pip long than yoou did shorting this bear train, starting May 2011, this show bias bro
Any seller from May 2011 would have made good pips, its all about perspective, even scalpers just shorting would have nice results, most successful buyer this period, made best pips on BS super mario & big bennie bs propaganda, moves were contrary to ta bit luck coin toss pot luck
Now since July 2012 was nice inverted H&S also all time MID 3231 then printed a bigger IH&S, and presently she building an even bigger one, definitely bulls have been rampant, but this is normal process in bear trains, reality pa right now is in major battle zone, with multiple dynamics at play, very very dangerous zone to trade, for both bull and bear,

Again you say any bias is unwise, but bear trains is nicer to sell bro, however the best bias presently is no bias but when train does leave station, bear or bull, is then time to hop on board
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If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #733,237
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:32pm Dec 15, 2012 5:32pm
Fuck the euro, I loose my shirt
  • #733,238
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:35pm Dec 15, 2012 5:35pm
I forgot monthly.
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  • #733,239
  • Edited Dec 16, 2012 8:23am Dec 15, 2012 5:37pm | Edited Dec 16, 2012 8:23am
Quoting Willow
Every war [Lybia, Syria, etc] will make more enemies for the dollar, will create more people who accumulates euroz in their savings, without any commercial reason...

...
You my friend... So badly corrupted in the mind...! ANY WAR anywhere in the universe (we know of) - not only world - will benefit DOLLAR...! Are you crazy....??? I suggest you check the major currencies from a historical view. I am proud of my Queen's Pound. But.... But I know I should never arrange a mortgage based on GBP. My GBP was worth more than 4.5 against USD at the beginning of I. Worl War. .. It hit 3.5 at the second.... Then 2.00 after all the bambo jambo.... I saw it at that level early 2005 again and I remember we - my work colleagues - were travelling to NY Macy's every month for shopping.

You are badly mistaken... I am nowhere near US Pro but I know and I see a few things:
- USA has the technology - In every fooking way you can think of
- USA has the ability to print as much money as it wants
- USA has the gun power over any nation around the globe maybe even more

If there is a big war, I will sell my underpants and buy DOLLAR, not GOLD....!!! You need to read history mate. Dollar is what rules, nothing else matters, EUR is strong cause US budget deficit is easily transfered through weak dollar... You are so wrong... I had to warn you....
  • #733,240
  • Dec 15, 2012 5:37pm Dec 15, 2012 5:37pm
EU has bounced around the year open (horizontal black line) for the last 13 weeks.

1.36 is a very real possibility (top fib channel)

EURUSD - Weekly

http://i.imgur.com/yJJJP.gif
Politics is the womb in which war develops.
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