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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #63,321
  • Dec 14, 2012 3:09am Dec 14, 2012 3:09am
Quoting Likerty
http://www.codywillard.com/wp-conten...11/02/bear.jpg
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,322
  • Dec 14, 2012 3:10am Dec 14, 2012 3:10am
DO you imagine how angry bear is when waked up during the winter??
69
  • #63,323
  • Dec 14, 2012 3:27am Dec 14, 2012 3:27am
Quoting Likerty
DO you imagine how angry bear is when waked up during the winter??
Angry yes but still sleepy. Let's see if bull runs away or comes back in a raging stampede. I vote that the bull runs away (at least until next week)
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,324
  • Dec 14, 2012 3:32am Dec 14, 2012 3:32am
I am not convinced yet, and not till price goes below 1.30.
  • #63,325
  • Dec 14, 2012 3:54am Dec 14, 2012 3:54am
Quoting rekon67
I am not convinced yet, and not till price goes below 1.30.
Need bad news and major sell-off. Not expecting much long coverings this Friday. The event most likely to move the market is FC.
  • #63,326
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:00am Dec 14, 2012 4:00am
EZ CPI y/y 2.2% vs 2.2% expected vs 2.2% prior.
EZ Core CPI y/y 1.4% vs 1.5% expected vs 1.5% prior.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,327
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:01am Dec 14, 2012 4:01am
Quoting PipTrapper
EZ CPI y/y 2.2% vs 2.2% expected vs 2.2% prior.
EZ Core CPI y/y 1.4% vs 1.5% expected vs 1.5% prior.
Lower core inflation opens the door for a rate cut in January.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,328
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:03am Dec 14, 2012 4:03am
EZ Employment Change (QoQ) -0.2% vs 0.0% expected vs 0.0% prior.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,329
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:04am Dec 14, 2012 4:04am
This fat red H1 canlde is the biggest in the row of 40. May be it will discourage intraday bulls from betting too aggressively
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  • #63,330
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:10am Dec 14, 2012 4:10am
Quoting lumesh
It's friday...
I keep seeing Friday referenced as a reason for weirdness. Why is that? Is Friday some kind of forex witching hour? Probably because liquidity is lower because of traders taking an early weekend? As far as I know, Friday has, on average, still the same daily ATR as the period from Tuesday to Thursday.
  • #63,331
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:10am Dec 14, 2012 4:10am
Quoting Likerty
This fat red H1 canlde is the biggest in the row of 40. May be it will discourage intraday bulls from betting too aggressively
Not sure, after the Fat lady, next is a small thin gentle reversal in H1.
  • #63,332
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:12am Dec 14, 2012 4:12am
Quoting Likerty
This fat red H1 canlde is the biggest in the row of 40. May be it will discourage intraday bulls from betting too aggressively
On H4 I have a potential bearish engulfing candle, but not everybody's H4 is the same... depends on broker's time zone settings.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,333
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:12am Dec 14, 2012 4:12am
Quoting Feldrin
I keep seeing Friday referenced as a reason for weirdness. Why is that? Is Friday some kind of forex witching hour? Probably because liquidity is lower because of traders taking an early weekend? As far as I know, Friday has, on average, still the same daily ATR as the period from Tuesday to Thursday.
Low liquidity and sudden profit taking (big volume).
  • #63,334
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:15am Dec 14, 2012 4:15am
Quoting Feldrin
I keep seeing Friday referenced as a reason for weirdness. Why is that? Is Friday some kind of forex witching hour? Probably because liquidity is lower because of traders taking an early weekend? As far as I know, Friday has, on average, still the same daily ATR as the period from Tuesday to Thursday.
Fridays are usually profit taking days (either way) and some Friday's are also re-positioning and option expiry days.

On a Friday before a weekend risk event (such as this weekend with Japanese erections), the market speculators tend to pare back their positions. So typically in a bullish week, one expects a sell-off, but it's not always the case.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #63,335
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:16am Dec 14, 2012 4:16am
Quoting PipTrapper
On H4 I have a potential bearish engulfing candle, but not everybody's H4 is the same... depends on broker's time zone settings.
Lets put it this way - if after first 4 hours ( just abit more than 50 % of shorter firday working hours of London action we still be below asia lows - it will look engulfing enough on all intraday TF's
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  • #63,336
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:16am Dec 14, 2012 4:16am
Quoting PipTrapper
On H4 I have a potential bearish engulfing candle, but not everybody's H4 is the same... depends on broker's time zone settings.
I noticed this, 45 mins to close the H4. So next H4 could be a decider. perhaps.
  • #63,337
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:17am Dec 14, 2012 4:17am
Quoting rekon67
Not sure, after the Fat lady, next is a small thin gentle reversal in H1.
In my view its just a rejection/relieve rally until it proven to be a reversal..
It didnt even tested 50% of LO range yet..
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  • #63,338
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:20am Dec 14, 2012 4:20am
Quoting Likerty
In my view its just a rejection/relieve rally until it proven to be a reversal..
It didnt even tested 50% of LO range
yep fingers crossed, with a straight line PA and overbought condition - error happens in judgement
  • #63,339
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:32am Dec 14, 2012 4:32am
increased volatility in G/U...very weird bidding in pound. Looks like someone is very interested to kneejerk it higher as much as possible...the makings of a panic...oh well...
  • #63,340
  • Dec 14, 2012 4:35am Dec 14, 2012 4:35am
Hello! When can we expect the budget debate in the U.S. Senate?
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