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  • #731,561
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:09am Dec 13, 2012 4:09am
Quoting 21vs7
starting to buy little cable here
naaah..
  • #731,562
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:09am Dec 13, 2012 4:09am
one of my indicator become crazy because of today PA,screw this
Slow and Steady!
  • #731,563
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:09am Dec 13, 2012 4:09am
Quoting fxnav
All was well in euroland until the shit hit the fan and rates started going up in the periphery, at that point refinancing the earlier cheap debt became unaffordable and we entered the spiral we are in now.

None of this would have happened if the market sets rates instead of some unelected bureaucrats. That would be the ultimate form of capitalism, Austrian school style.
All relevant points and unfortunately these problems will not be easily solved now. There will be pain, hopefully not blood.. It will take years - if at all - to pay Greece what it owes. A 22 year old Uni graduate will pay all his taxes of his life to some institution based in Bayern... It is painful... Anyway...! Off to some trading... Good luck to you mate! Your shorts seem to be paying off...
  • #731,564
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:10am Dec 13, 2012 4:10am
Quoting gatorinla
he swapped 2 redheads for a blonde once.. she stole his wallet.
Right, how did you know?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #731,565
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:11am Dec 13, 2012 4:11am
Quoting math_GB
All relevant points and unfortunately these problems will not be easily solved now. There will be pain, hopefully not blood.. It will take years - if at all - to pay Greece what it owes. A 22 year old Uni graduate will pay all his taxes of his life to some institution based in Bayern... It is painful... Anyway...! Off to some trading... Good luck to you mate! Your shorts seem to be paying off...

It will take a generation, no ifs ands or buts. Even if the South defaulted and left the EMU, the markets would punish them with rates that would make it neigh on impossible to grow plus they would have inflation sky rocket making exports too expensive.
The great majority are rarely capable of thinking independently.
  • #731,566
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:11am Dec 13, 2012 4:11am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...la#post5930383
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...75#post5935875
may be i misunderstood your posts,so please don't get mad
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #731,567
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:11am Dec 13, 2012 4:11am
Quoting math_GB
Still keeping the LONGs @ 1.3070 and 1.3081 mate but this hourly close does not seem to be a pleasant one if it is below 1.3076. What do you think???

I think it is struggling to stay below the weekly R1 @ 63 and then we have daily pivot @ 53 and possible support @ 48

but difficult to say which way it will pan out, probability suggests a test of 3100 then 3126, gator has 3138 but as I said before it has room to pull back towards 1.3 without invalidating that option

edit: but I won't sit on trades that are going against me
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  • #731,568
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:12am Dec 13, 2012 4:12am
31 and 28
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  • #731,569
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:14am Dec 13, 2012 4:14am
Quoting fxnav
It will take a generation, no ifs ands or buts. Even if the South defaulted and left the EMU, the markets would punish them with rates that would make it neigh on impossible to grow plus they would have inflation sky rocket making exports too expensive.
i think EMU is far from being the only problem at the time.
US Debt is another, Chinese local gov debts is a big ticking bomb, same for japanese debt...

we are just at the first part of the show...
  • #731,570
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:14am Dec 13, 2012 4:14am
We are getting close to the point were it may turn really ugly, i mean big drop down.

Below 1.3000 but there may be some good bids at 34. If pair gets there, will see if its enough to support flows on eurgbp and gbpusd as well.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #731,571
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:14am Dec 13, 2012 4:14am
Eur Usd is now at the 365 EMA of the daily time frame.

For the past few times it was there, the 365 held strong. Momentum shows it wasn't as strong as the previous time it met the 365 in september.

Well, it would now all boils down primarily to the decision of the us fiscal cliff.
  • #731,572
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:15am Dec 13, 2012 4:15am
Do I see bear?
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  • #731,573
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:16am Dec 13, 2012 4:16am
i see kinda weekly line supp around 3038/42ish area and i am seriously thinking to add to one more long here!

what do u think guys?
Wolves don't lose any sleep over the opinion of the sheep.
  • #731,574
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:16am Dec 13, 2012 4:16am
below 1.3030, i am bearish biased. A fat 4hour finally seen for now, but 1.3031-46, can still be act as a base for retracement upside and go higher. As it was the zone before fomc release breakout.
  • #731,575
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:17am Dec 13, 2012 4:17am
Quoting mohan76
hope they will announce Greek payout and go on holiday , otherwise they have to work one more week
Mohan, i really hope it bounce higher - but after the fed decision and all these priced in .. they have to be a minor profit taking ! Let's see till next week , what will be its maximum low before Long jump in ?!
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #731,576
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:17am Dec 13, 2012 4:17am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...la#post5930383
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...75#post5935875
that was in august... when a smaller pattern, that didnt work, would have made it possible. it was void when the smaller pattern did not work.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #731,577
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:18am Dec 13, 2012 4:18am
Quoting MaxDoom
I think it is struggling to stay below the weekly R1 @ 63 and then we have daily pivot @ 53 and possible support @ 48

but difficult to say which way it will pan out, probability suggests a test of 3100 then 3126, gator has 3138 but as I said before it has room to pull back towards 1.3 without invalidating that option

edit: but I won't sit on trades that are going against me
Thanks mate... Moved the SL to 1.3045 but will close if it does make an attempt to 1.3070s now. With Berlusconi painting in Brussels, this one can get messy. He is still cruising, shameless...!
  • #731,578
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:19am Dec 13, 2012 4:19am
Quoting gatorinla
that was in august... when a smaller pattern, that didnt work, would have made it possible. it was void when the smaller pattern did not work.
ok boss
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #731,579
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:21am Dec 13, 2012 4:21am
Quoting Z3iz3i
We are getting close to the point were it may turn really ugly, i mean big drop down.

Below 1.3000 but there may be some good bids at 34. If pair gets there, will see if its enough to support flows on eurgbp and gbpusd as well.

I wouldnt be surprised at all to see 1.2950 at some point in the next 3 or 4 days
  • #731,580
  • Dec 13, 2012 4:21am Dec 13, 2012 4:21am
Quoting FX Wolf
Hi G!

what is going on with euro?
i got a bear day indicated .. 3014 is in the scope. with the 31xx rejection.. maybe a resumption. its the first bear day indicated in a while. these are less reliable then one in a trend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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