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Attachments: EURUSD
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EURUSD

  • #728,741
  • Dec 7, 2012 12:35am Dec 7, 2012 12:35am
Quoting kenfen69


What would you trade it for?
other type of wood?
  • #728,742
  • Dec 7, 2012 12:40am Dec 7, 2012 12:40am
Quoting paulonyx
1.295x is where the battle is, i hope the bull wins in the short run.
It won't matter on closing, but for scalp I agree, also put a small long at 1.2959.

But all short term trades are out for me when big news comes!!!
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #728,743
  • Dec 7, 2012 12:47am Dec 7, 2012 12:47am
Quoting the redlion
here is a strategy

using a 10,000 unit position = mini lot

short the euro with 1 mini lot, and buy 1 mini lot of the yen
time frame for stats= last 6 months

sigma(yen)/sigma(euro)= .7791 that means that euro volatility is greater than yen by 1- .7791
this leaves you exposed to the euro short position more than the yen long position

sqrt(w^2*var(yen.returns)+w^2*var(uro.returns)+2*(w*w*sd(yen.returns)*sd(uro.returns)*cor(-uro.returns,yen.returns))) we calculate the standard deviation of both positions this variable I will call y

the...
taking profits on both my positions.
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #728,744
  • Dec 7, 2012 12:47am Dec 7, 2012 12:47am
Quoting kbmoonshinex
2955 short. target 2922
closed. need sleep. later
looking for investors . pm me
  • #728,745
  • Dec 7, 2012 12:49am Dec 7, 2012 12:49am
Quoting the redlion
taking profits on both my positions.
Rather intense previous post.

Is that econometrics + linear regression?
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #728,746
  • Dec 7, 2012 12:52am Dec 7, 2012 12:52am
Quoting John Gray
Rather intense previous post.

Is that econometrics + linear regression?
actually i posted that on december 3

to hedge my eur/usd short ...... netting positive swap on both positions.

I learned that from quantitative finance among other stuff I research to improve my skills.

I share a lot of what i know in my "brain storming thread"

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=398204
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #728,747
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:04am Dec 7, 2012 1:04am
HI.
Is there anyone using Ichimoku indicator, at 30m chart there is a bullish signal, is it correct or not?
  • #728,748
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:05am Dec 7, 2012 1:05am
Quoting 21vs7
other type of wood?
Not my wood!
Attached Image


Cheers brother...you always give a good smile!

There's some other fakker knocking about the boards that looks like you (your avatar). I went through a state of confusion up until recently. I now have the...er...imposter...phony-guy...identified. I don't mean to be rude to him, but to be clear...

I can spot you now from a mile away...good fun, too!

GL mate!
  • #728,749
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:12am Dec 7, 2012 1:12am
Quoting MaxDoom
based off latest low point my target zone is now a little lower @ 1.299x to 1.301x

morning,

this target zone is still valid from yesterday I would not expect much movement down without this.
  • #728,750
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:13am Dec 7, 2012 1:13am
Quoting kenfen69
Not my wood!
Cheers brother...you always give a good smile!

There's some other fakker knocking about the boards that looks like you (your avatar). I went through a state of confusion up until recently. I now have the...er...imposter...phony-guy...identified. I don't mean to be rude to him, but to be clear...

I can spot you now from a mile away...good fun, too!

GL mate!


Respect back at ya! Keep on rocking the board!

Yes the other guy. He is legit I think. I noticed him 1 year ago. We still live in some kind of sinergy. Sometimes I wonder when I get a red day (not the pimp wizee red day) ...was he trading green or red also? nevertheless..

Keep on collecting the green!
  • #728,751
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:14am Dec 7, 2012 1:14am
Quoting kenfen69
Not my wood! Attachment

Cheers brother...you always give a good smile!

There's some other fakker knocking about the boards that looks like you (your avatar). I went through a state of confusion up until recently. I now have the...er...imposter...phony-guy...identified. I don't mean to be rude to him, but to be clear...

I can spot you now from a mile away...good fun, too!

GL mate!
I hear DC is free zone.. now..


free grass to everyone..
  • #728,752
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:19am Dec 7, 2012 1:19am
Quoting 21vs7


Respect back at ya! Keep on rocking the board!

Yes the other guy. He is legit I think. I noticed him 1 year ago. We still live in some kind of sinergy. Sometimes I wonder when I get a red day (not the pimp wizee red day) ...was he trading green or red also? nevertheless..

Keep on collecting the green!


..

Good shit, brother! Nice to finally lock one up! See you around, I hope.

Play safe...and enjoy your weekend!
  • #728,753
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:20am Dec 7, 2012 1:20am
Euro Falls After ECB Hints at Rate Cuts

6 Dec 2012, 23:02


By Nicole Hong


The euro fell below $1.30 for the first time in a week after the European Central Bank lowered its euro-zone growth forecasts and opened the door for further rate cuts Thursday.

The ECB now expects the euro-zone economy to shrink by around 0.3% in 2013, down from a forecast three months ago of growth of around 0.5%. ECB President Mario Draghi said weak euro-zone growth will persist into next year, with recovery beginning in the second half of 2013.

While the ECB left its main interest rate unchanged at 0.75%, Mr. Draghi said the bank discussed the possibility of lower rates into negative territory, sparking a euro selloff. Negative interest rates would deter investors from parking their money in euro-zone banks.

The euro dropped to $1.2967, from $1.3069 late Wednesday. Against the yen, the euro fell to Y106.88 from Y107.77.

"The downgrade in the economic forecasts was something that stood out because it opened the door to further interest rate cuts," said Carl Forcheski, vice president of corporate foreign exchange at Societe Generale in New York.

The ECB also downgraded its inflation forecasts to 1.6% in 2013 from a previous estimate of 1.9%, below the bank's target inflation rate of 2%. Analysts say a rate cut would be an easy way for the ECB to stoke inflation.

Lowering the key ECB rate would hurt the euro because it reduces the allure of euro-denominated assets as the interest-rate premium over the Federal Reserve's key policy rate--currently between zero and 0.25%--shrinks.

Mr. Draghi's comments Thursday signaled that "the ECB is getting close to pulling the trigger" on cutting interest rates, said Stephen Jen, managing partner at hedge fund SLJ Macro Partners LLP in London.

The year 2013 "will not be a lucky number for the euro," said Mr. Jen, who has had bets that the euro would decline for a long time. His anti-euro bets took a hit after the ECB announced its bond-buying program in September.

The Australian dollar rose to a 10-week high against the greenback after Australia's unemployment rate in November unexpectedly fell to 5.2%. The Aussie ended the New York session at US$1.0486, up from US$1.0454 late Wednesday.

Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar edged lower against the yen to Y82.39 from Y82.46. The dollar traded higher against the Swiss franc to CHF0.9324 from CHF0.9269.

The U.K. pound fell against the dollar to $1.6051 from $1.6096. On Thursday, the Bank of England left its key interest rate unchanged at 0.5% and took no new monetary easing measures.

The Wall Street Journal Dollar Index, which measures the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies, traded up to 70.336 from 70.086.


December 06, 2012 17:02 ET (22:02 GMT)


Quoting mercy seat
Okay ... loaded some @ 1.29640 ...

17h35 CET

Not a funny zone ...






;-|
Quick survey for the EUR/USD (Dec 6, 2012 23:15) ...


2012-12-04_23h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Dn _ W-49 # FC51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (133.3 KB)

2012-12-05_00h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Up _ W-49 # EY51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (129.5 KB)

2012-12-05_min060_EURUSD.PNG (24.1 KB)

2012-12-05_22h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Rolling _ W-49 # EY51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (129.3 KB)

2012-12-05_23h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Dn _ W-49 # FG51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (128.6 KB)

2012-12-06_00h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Up _ W-49 # EY51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (126.5 KB)

2012-12-06_min060_EURUSD.PNG (25.5 KB)

2012-12-06_13h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Rolling _ W-49 # EY51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (132.4 KB)

2012-12-06_18h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Rolling _ W-49 # EV51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (134.5 KB)

2012-12-06_23h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Dn _ W-49 # EY51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (130.0 KB)

2012-12-06_23h15 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Up _ W-49 # EY51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (126.8 KB)


Outlook for the sessions ahead (WEEK NO. 49) and latest "Trade Hints" for Friday (Dec 7, 2012) ...








;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #728,754
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:22am Dec 7, 2012 1:22am
Quoting Piters
I hear DC is free zone.. now..


free grass to everyone..
I'll take please!

How goes it, mister? Friday night down there. Summer time. Sounds a bit of alright to me!

A couple absolutes flowed?
  • #728,755
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:24am Dec 7, 2012 1:24am
Quoting kenfen69
I'll take please!

How goes it, mister? Friday night down there. Summer time. Sounds a bit of alright to me!

A couple absolutes flowed?
yeah All good mate..

not that hot actually,, runing some long scalp here.. hopefully I'll get my TP @ DPP
  • #728,756
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:28am Dec 7, 2012 1:28am
Quoting mercy seat
Quick survey for the EUR/USD (Dec 6, 2012 23:15) ...


2012-12-04_23h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Dn _ W-49 # FC51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (133.3 KB)

2012-12-05_00h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Up _ W-49 # EY51 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (129.5 KB)

2012-12-05_min060_EURUSD.PNG...
Is it just me, or has that list grown?

Your horizons seem to be expanding Mercy Seat.

Are you running Office (Excel 2013) yet? I'll stay behind. 15 or 17, maybe.
  • #728,757
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:29am Dec 7, 2012 1:29am
Quoting John Gray
It won't matter on closing, but for scalp I agree, also put a small long at 1.2959.

But all short term trades are out for me when big news comes!!!
moved to BE
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #728,758
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:31am Dec 7, 2012 1:31am
Quoting John Gray
moved to BE
Stopped out. Half a pip profit....
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #728,759
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:31am Dec 7, 2012 1:31am
Quoting Piters
yeah All good mate..

not that hot actually,, runing some long scalp here.. hopefully I'll get my TP @ DPP
Yeah...been a couple scalpies about, but mate...

What in the name of Jaysus are you doing? You should be (man) tits up (at worst), half way to a hangover at this point! The colder it is...the more severe (and pointy man-boobs) it shoul be!
  • #728,760
  • Dec 7, 2012 1:34am Dec 7, 2012 1:34am
Quoting kenfen69
Yeah...been a couple scalpies about, but mate...

What in the name of Jaysus are you doing? You should be (man) tits up (at worst), half way to a hangover at this point! The colder it is...the more severe (and pointy man-boobs) it shoul be!
my _._._._._ are just fine..
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