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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #62,421
  • Dec 5, 2012 4:09pm Dec 5, 2012 4:09pm
Democrats ready to go over fiscal cliff if Republicans do not agree to raise taxes on top 2% (high earners)

Deutsche Bank hid about $12 Billion in losses to avoid asking for a bailout (Who else hid losses?)

Greece downgraded by S&P from CCC (Junk) to SD (Selective Default... or the junkiest of junk)

Can we get some more bad news, or is this enough now to snap the market back to reality?

I may be hearing a beautiful sound soon.

Inserted Video


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #62,422
  • Dec 5, 2012 4:14pm Dec 5, 2012 4:14pm
well pt, i hope you are right

Quoting PipTrapper
Democrats ready to go over fiscal cliff if Republicans do not agree to raise taxes on top 2% (high earners)

Deutsche Bank hid about $12 Billion in losses to avoid asking for a bailout (Who else hid losses?)

[url="http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=96bfd742-fb91-4409-b632-b735cd0e12b6"]Greece...
.:: your stop loss is another trader's first target ::.
  • #62,423
  • Dec 5, 2012 4:15pm Dec 5, 2012 4:15pm
Quoting mk77ch
well pt, i hope you are right
I know the Euro will go down but I cannot say when. However, this may be a catalyst to start the decline. Time will tell.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #62,424
  • Dec 5, 2012 4:25pm Dec 5, 2012 4:25pm
may the ka-ching be with us!

Quoting PipTrapper
I know the Euro will go down but I cannot say when. However, this may be a catalyst to start the decline. Time will tell.
.:: your stop loss is another trader's first target ::.
  • #62,425
  • Dec 5, 2012 4:30pm Dec 5, 2012 4:30pm
Quoting mk77ch
may the ka-ching be with us!
if it's happening (and nothing so much strange), i don't think before xmas. Maybe 2-3 days later, but not before.
If xmas doesn't "exist", could be around 15-20 dec.?
  • #62,426
  • Dec 5, 2012 4:37pm Dec 5, 2012 4:37pm
Quoting PipTrapper
I know the Euro will go down but I cannot say when. However, this may be a catalyst to start the decline. Time will tell.
Now the whole Europe begins to dance like the Greeks.

Inserted Video


All PMI below 50 = Europe Economy shrinks especially Spain
Time to laugh, Europe shrinks Euro so High...ka-ching is a question of time

Inserted Video

Europe ...you can dance
  • #62,427
  • Dec 5, 2012 4:42pm Dec 5, 2012 4:42pm
Quoting Walz
Now the whole Europe begins to dance like the Greeks.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jeNsr_nQEfE

All PMI below 50 = Europe Economy shrinks especially Spain
Time to laugh, Europe shrinks Euro so High...ka-ching is a question of time

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JNs5qHOWJgM
Europe ...you can dance
But Greece in default...is a really a "news?
  • #62,428
  • Dec 5, 2012 5:28pm Dec 5, 2012 5:28pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Democrats ready to go over fiscal cliff if Republicans do not agree to raise taxes on top 2% (high earners)

Deutsche Bank hid about $12 Billion in losses to avoid asking for a bailout (Who else hid losses?)

[url="http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=96bfd742-fb91-4409-b632-b735cd0e12b6"][b]Greece...


pretty soon we will have to add the kaching wave to the other market patterns like head & shoulders.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #62,429
  • Dec 5, 2012 5:54pm Dec 5, 2012 5:54pm
Quoting rekon67
How do you calculate them? Enrich us with some knowledge vitamin
Generally, here's a link for some background info:

http://ws.acs.org.au/jrpit/JRPITVolu...PIT37.1.43.pdf

also, google "time series forecasting using neural nets"
  • #62,430
  • Dec 5, 2012 6:56pm Dec 5, 2012 6:56pm
Quoting Ken A
I honestly don't know Chod. I wish I knew. Just watch the levels how the PA reacts to it. Might be a good idea not to be fixated to the problems in Eurozone and US Fiscal Cliff alone. Markets are so dynamics and money always go for high yields and relatively safe places.

And TA is always as guide to history not the future.
Ken i like this sentence
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #62,431
  • Dec 6, 2012 3:15am Dec 6, 2012 3:15am
Inserted Video
!
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #62,432
  • Dec 6, 2012 3:35am Dec 6, 2012 3:35am
test of that massive trendline that kept holding and holding...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #62,433
  • Dec 6, 2012 4:41am Dec 6, 2012 4:41am
PT, what's your take on the Greek bond buy back plan agenda ?

What could be the possible outcomes tomorrow and how could that have an effect on sentiment in your view ?
  • #62,434
  • Dec 6, 2012 5:03am Dec 6, 2012 5:03am
Quoting PipTrapper
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OB4p-1-bibk#!
So you letting others to do it for you now, hugh!? You, lazy bas***d!
69
  • #62,435
  • Dec 6, 2012 5:23am Dec 6, 2012 5:23am
Quoting PipTrapper
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OB4p-1-bibk#!
Hello PipTrapper and everyone!

Could someone explain to me why EUR/CHF was practically dead for almost 5 months? Is it this pair's normal behaviour?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.PNG Size: 29 KB


Thanks.
  • #62,436
  • Dec 6, 2012 5:24am Dec 6, 2012 5:24am
Quoting CheG
Hello PipTrapper and everyone!

Could someone explain to me why EUR/CHF was practically dead for almost 5 months? Is it this pair's normal behaviour?

Attachment

Thanks.
SNB pegged the cross' floor at 1.20
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #62,437
  • Dec 6, 2012 5:42am Dec 6, 2012 5:42am
Quoting redteamgo
SNB pegged the cross' floor at 1.20
Thank you redteamgo!
  • #62,438
  • Dec 6, 2012 6:59am Dec 6, 2012 6:59am
Quoting lumesh
PT, what's your take on the Greek bond buy back plan agenda ?

What could be the possible outcomes tomorrow and how could that have an effect on sentiment in your view ?
It's quite simple. If it fails, Greece doesn't get their dosh. If so, they either go bankrupt, or the most likely outcome is they will be put on minimum life support by the ESM until after the German elections next year. In the mean time they could have a political confidence crisis and end up going back to the polls.

However, if they pull it off, they get their next aid tranche and two more early in 2013 and then end up in the same situation again after the German elections next year.

It's gonna be a long long time before Greece can go back to the bond market for funding no matter what the outcome is. After the buy back, over 80% (unconfirmed) of Greek debt will be held by the Troika.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #62,439
  • Dec 6, 2012 7:10am Dec 6, 2012 7:10am
Someones defending the Euro... Did you see that last bounce in m15 after a break lower? Crazy buying power! Unless it was reaction to the unchanged ECB rate? :-D
@pawpaw1000 on Twitter
  • #62,440
  • Dec 6, 2012 7:10am Dec 6, 2012 7:10am
So the question in todays show is, does new york run us back up again ?

to be honest i'm torn on this one but with lots of sellers.....
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