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  • #727,961
  • Dec 5, 2012 10:43am Dec 5, 2012 10:43am
Quoting KillerWhale
Maybe that's gonna take a looooong time
Few hours is a very long time in these modern days ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #727,962
  • Dec 5, 2012 10:44am Dec 5, 2012 10:44am
Quoting attila
I think there's one more leg up, and this slow move down is just a pull back. Now here's the problem.. If it get's higher than this top and I go short.. I'll take it to where? They'll not touch London low, that's for sure, and 76 is now support. So then I'll have to wait for Sydney and TY to say something about my short, and who knows what they have in mind.. Going long here is not good either. Long was good at 61..

So these being said, I'll go take a nap.
Just noiticed sommin, TY !!
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #727,963
  • Dec 5, 2012 10:45am Dec 5, 2012 10:45am
Quoting rodrigo3
I think I am trading against everyone in this forum, but I am LONG, with a target @ 1.3120
You are not alone, I am also LONG TP @.3120, will see in next 2candels H1
  • #727,964
  • Dec 5, 2012 10:51am Dec 5, 2012 10:51am
Quoting Vachus
Few hours is a very long time in these modern days ...
I'm talking more like 2 weeks or so.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #727,965
  • Dec 5, 2012 10:52am Dec 5, 2012 10:52am
Quoting attila
I can't disagree.. It's just that I'm mostly looking at intraday moves. I like to be out of them at nyse close. It keeps my bias in leash.
i see, well my cooking is a mix of intra and swing.
  • #727,966
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:00am Dec 5, 2012 11:00am
Quoting gatorinla
st sometimes lies. st has 3144 as a min target. another for 3147.
if you make a tl from the higher closes using the 3171 and the 3139 candle, it crosses at the current high today.

for the usdx to hit 79.48, w/o leaving the wedge,... it would not hit 79.48 until 29 hours from now.. about 00 est Thursday
the setup for eu 3144 or 47 is voided.. the setup for the usdx 79.48 is still valid.. for this setup to work and remain in the wedge it will hit 79.48 in no less then about 12 hs from now. it should push the euro higher then we are atm. but that does not mean the euro will make a HH... it just means the usdx should go 10 pips lower then the current low min.

originally the eu should of made about 3135 using this and figuring 2 pips on the eu verse usdx.. atm the usdx is indicated to go 10 pips lower to make the LL.. at this time that would = 20 pips on the eu higher then the high. this may take some time to work itself out. in the end the eu may have already reached the high already.. and as the other crosses equalize it usually takes time and little movement during this period.
the usdx does not have to do this and this all may be crap. just like not reaching 3144.. both the usdx reaching 79.48 and the eu at the time reaching 3144 was normally a 80% trade. But the levels of R were bigger then a st trade.. st sometimes lies.. we still may make one more run for 79.48...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #727,967
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:11am Dec 5, 2012 11:11am
Quoting xandi
hmm...ya ya!!!I see you point, is not because pinbar, nor other some other pattern! That only applys when you are right, of course, in that cases, it could rise only because you said it..no, of course not, and in this case, you are only 100 pips wrong at the moment, but...what´s that, tomorrow or thursday will be 200 pips wrong but you will say, "let´s see"
LOL
I do what I can.
  • #727,968
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:13am Dec 5, 2012 11:13am
Quoting KillerWhale
I'm talking more like 2 weeks or so.
I don't think so , this baby wants 1.324 at least - before meeting real resistance ... If you noticed where on intraday it dropped , it was the last bear candle high 18 of October - so it was scheduled retrace. If we close above the closing of this candle which should be 1.30700 - temp bullish baise should direct the daily high wave candle !

Then, 17 of October candle OHLC should come in play ...

But i have yet to see a spinner OCL as Good resistance / support , only its high could come in play

Therefore : 1.31200 is either in few hours or before the end of week
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #727,969
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:16am Dec 5, 2012 11:16am
Quoting Vachus
I don't think so , this baby wants 1.324 at least - before meeting real resistance ... If you noticed where on intraday it dropped , it was the last bear candle high 18 of October - so it was scheduled retrace. If we close above the closing of this candle which should be 1.30700 - temp bullish baise should direct the daily high wave candle !

Then, 17 of October candle OHLC should come in play ...

But i have yet to see a spinner OCL as Good resistance / support , only its high could come in play

Therefore : 1.31200 is either in few hours or...
we do have a double top .. 3171 3139
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #727,970
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:17am Dec 5, 2012 11:17am
Quoting Vachus
I don't think so , this baby wants 1.324 at least - before meeting real resistance ... If you noticed where on intraday it dropped , it was the last bear candle high 18 of October - so it was scheduled retrace. If we close above the closing of this candle which should be 1.30700 - temp bullish baise should direct the daily high wave candle !

Then, 17 of October candle OHLC should come in play ...

But i have yet to see a spinner OCL as Good resistance / support , only its high could come in play

Therefore : 1.31200 is either in few hours...
Who knows, we might get a rate cut tomorrow
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #727,971
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:23am Dec 5, 2012 11:23am
Just come in, can anyone tell me why the Dow rallied so sharply?
  • #727,972
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:23am Dec 5, 2012 11:23am
hi evening

if we have daily close above 3082 then tomorrow we could see 130/140 pips move upward, and if closed under 3082 then 130/140 pips downward, i will close my longs and reverse to shorts

g/l
Wolves don't lose any sleep over the opinion of the sheep.
  • #727,973
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:28am Dec 5, 2012 11:28am
Quoting gatorinla
we do have a double top .. 3171 3139
true ... But in theory we are not there yet
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #727,974
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:29am Dec 5, 2012 11:29am
Quoting gatorinla
the setup for eu 3144 or 47 is voided.. the setup for the usdx 79.48 is still valid.. for this setup to work and remain in the wedge it will hit 79.48 in no less then about 12 hs from now. it should push the euro higher then we are atm. but that does not mean the euro will make a HH... it just means the usdx should go 10 pips lower then the current low min.

originally the eu should of made about 3135 using this and figuring 2 pips on the eu verse usdx.. atm the usdx is indicated to go 10 pips...
it could void itself..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #727,975
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:30am Dec 5, 2012 11:30am
Quoting KillerWhale
Who knows, we might get a rate cut tomorrow
That would give you , your 1.29 and even lower ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #727,976
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:33am Dec 5, 2012 11:33am
My strategy for the next weeks:

Short 13080, target 12880.

Then long at 12880, target 13000.

Then short 13000, target 12600.

This is my plan, dont follow me please, is my ass who gets burn.
  • #727,977
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:40am Dec 5, 2012 11:40am
Quoting Vachus
true ... But in theory we are not there yet
no theory about it. we never hit 2467....
this happens more time then it doesn't..
the cycle is incomplete.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #727,978
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:42am Dec 5, 2012 11:42am
Quoting gatorinla
no theory about it. we never hit 2467....
this happens more time then it doesn't..
the cycle is incomplete.
So, how many times triple top hold ?
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #727,979
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:46am Dec 5, 2012 11:46am
Quoting Vachus
So, how many times triple top hold ?
it dont matter.. if you trade a b/o, more times then not, your pissing away your money.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #727,980
  • Dec 5, 2012 11:48am Dec 5, 2012 11:48am
A little bit of bearish divergence on the daily
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