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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #62,141
  • Dec 4, 2012 2:29am Dec 4, 2012 2:29am
FED's Rosenberg:

"Strong case for 85BLN in total asset buys"...unfckingbelievable...
  • #62,142
  • Dec 4, 2012 2:36am Dec 4, 2012 2:36am
Expected and believable. If they have learned something in 2008, they are not going to see the Equities to crash right in front of them.
  • #62,143
  • Dec 4, 2012 2:42am Dec 4, 2012 2:42am
nothing seems able to stop this euro...
Spain’s November jobless rises 1.5% m/m Written by Gerry Davies
  • #62,144
  • Dec 4, 2012 2:47am Dec 4, 2012 2:47am
Quoting lumesh
FED's Rosenberg:

"Strong case for 85BLN in total asset buys"...unfckingbelievable...
Very believable...

Exactly what I posted a few days ago (two articles posted which support this)
  • #62,145
  • Dec 4, 2012 2:48am Dec 4, 2012 2:48am
Quoting wingou
nothing seems able to stop this euro...
Spain’s November jobless rises 1.5% m/m Written by Gerry Davies


well, as they say: The data sucked less totally than was anticipated.




PS: Short the shit out of cable.
  • #62,146
  • Dec 4, 2012 2:51am Dec 4, 2012 2:51am
Quoting lumesh
well, as they say: The data sucked less totally than was anticipated.




PS: Short the shit out of cable.
Looks like Cable is headed to 1.623 Weekly TL...

Why short now?
  • #62,147
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:03am Dec 4, 2012 3:03am
Quoting 100PipsADay
Looks like Cable is headed to 1.623 Weekly TL...

Why short now?
To reverse the trend?
  • #62,148
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:04am Dec 4, 2012 3:04am
Professor over slept his class again..
69
  • #62,149
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:05am Dec 4, 2012 3:05am
Quoting Likerty
Professor over slept his class again..
You are making fun of professor.
  • #62,150
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:17am Dec 4, 2012 3:17am
Quoting Ken A
To reverse the trend?
I'm not too sure why everybody here wants to short everything and anything against the USD at this time. I didn't see any reason to short the EUR last week and I still don't see a solid technical reason as of yet. My 1.312 target (triple top) has almost been hit... Let's see what happens after.

Same with Aussie... (they cut rates today and it still goes up LOL)

Same with Cable...
  • #62,151
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:19am Dec 4, 2012 3:19am
Quoting 100PipsADay
I'm not too sure why everybody here wants to short everything and anything against the USD at this time. I didn't see any reason to short the EUR last week and I still don't see a solid technical reason as of yet. My 1.312 target (triple top) has almost been hit... Let's see what happens after.
Perhaps they are just scalping for quick pips which is fine but with the risk of overshooting.

Re Aussie, where's that silly girl?
  • #62,152
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:22am Dec 4, 2012 3:22am
Quoting Ken A
Perhaps they are just scalping for quick pips which is fine but with the risk of overshooting.

Re Aussie, where's that silly girl?
Possibly...


LOL, I don't think she'll be showing up again until the down trend starts... That way she can say "I told you so."
  • #62,153
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:22am Dec 4, 2012 3:22am
"Low quality rumor originating from twitter about German N-TV comments that Germany could lose its AAA rating"

We classify rumors now ?
  • #62,154
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:25am Dec 4, 2012 3:25am
Quoting 100PipsADay
Possibly...


LOL, I don't think she'll be showing up again until the down trend starts... That way she can say "I told you so."
I was about to tell her go to charms school then go post in rookies section. If she was able to impress someone in that sandbox then comeback to impress everyone
  • #62,155
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:27am Dec 4, 2012 3:27am
Quoting 100PipsADay
I'm not too sure why everybody here wants to short everything and anything against the USD at this time. I didn't see any reason to short the EUR last week and I still don't see a solid technical reason as of yet. My 1.312 target (triple top) has almost been hit... Let's see what happens after.

Same with Aussie... (they cut rates today and it still goes up LOL)

Same with Cable...
Personaly, I'm short on EUR/USD because Spain, Italy, France deficits are huge, gdp in Q4 will be negative (or near 0 for Germany), because greece is in failure, and because even if it's with the help of lot of money printed by BB, US growth is positive. IMO fundamentals are better for the USD and EUR/USD is just @1.30 because market consider it too big to fail...as i don't...
  • #62,156
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:35am Dec 4, 2012 3:35am
Quoting wingou
Personaly, I'm short on EUR/USD because Spain, Italy, France deficits are huge, gdp in Q4 will be negative (or near 0 for Germany), because greece is in failure, and because even if it's with the help of lot of money printed by BB, US growth is positive. IMO fundamentals are better for the USD and EUR/USD is just @1.30 because market consider it too big to fail...as i don't...
I see.

I tend to stay away from fundamental type of trading as things can take a long time before results kick in. For example: All of the things you mentioned above have been going on for the majority of 2012 yet the EUR did not tank. EUR could find itself at 1.35 or even 1.40 before reality kicks in... Another example: Today Australia rate cut but rally in AUD...

To each his own though
  • #62,157
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:37am Dec 4, 2012 3:37am
Quoting Ken A
I was about to tell her go to charms school then go post in rookies section. If she was able to impress someone in that sandbox then comeback to impress everyone
LOL
  • #62,158
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:38am Dec 4, 2012 3:38am
Quoting 100PipsADay
I see.

I tend to stay away from fundamental type of trading as things can take a long time before results kick in. For example: All of the things you mentioned above have been going on for the majority of 2012 yet the EUR did not tank. EUR could find itself at 1.35 or even 1.40 before reality kicks in... Another example: Today Australia rate cut but rally in AUD...

To each his own though
That's my problem, as I have a Master in economics, i can't forget the fundamentals
And my shorts are all in red
  • #62,159
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:43am Dec 4, 2012 3:43am
Quoting wingou
That's my problem, as I have a Master in economics, i can't forget the fundamentals
And my shorts are all in red
I wish you the best for your trades Wingou. Like PT says, as long as you have sound money management and position yourself accordingly you should be fine. The EUR will have to come down sooner or later... In your case I hope it is sooner
  • #62,160
  • Dec 4, 2012 3:52am Dec 4, 2012 3:52am
Quoting wingou
Personaly, I'm short on EUR/USD because Spain, Italy, France deficits are huge, gdp in Q4 will be negative (or near 0 for Germany), because greece is in failure, and because even if it's with the help of lot of money printed by BB, US growth is positive. IMO fundamentals are better for the USD and EUR/USD is just @1.30 because market consider it too big to fail...as i don't...
Your argument is not very clear. What deficits? public, fiscal? trade? current account? balance of payment? ... You said that you have a master in economics but not sure if you have been trading for long...if not, my 2 cents is that you need to see the Macro fundamentals with a whole different approach if you want to translate FA factors into trading....otherwise you may get stuck as a market analyst and not a trader ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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