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AUD/USD

  • #56,841
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:25pm Nov 28, 2012 11:25pm
Quoting 100PipsADay

I'm thinking a solid long term buy for GBP/JPY would be around 130.00 or so.
I started buying it last night around 130.85 & was planning to buy it down to 130.00 for a longer term buy & hold trade. If the strength keeps up I will add in small on every pause.
It works till it doesn't
  • #56,842
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:28pm Nov 28, 2012 11:28pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
gb/jpy couldn not break 61 fib level on extension from 1.30-1.3250
  • #56,843
  • Nov 28, 2012 11:30pm Nov 28, 2012 11:30pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
Hi 4rextrader,

I probably shouldn't have mentioned a time frame the way I did.

First of all I would look at the Weekly chart and see that 80.50 served as solid resistance for quite some time, now that we are above that it should serve as a pretty solid support and I don't expect USD/JPY to break this level.

Next, I look at my 20 EMA and 50 EMA on the Daily time frame and noticed that it has gone pretty far away (too fast) from the 50 EMA and should find its way back to it, or at least pretty close to it. Now, I notice that the 50 EMA will...
Thanks bro!
  • #56,844
  • Nov 29, 2012 1:20am Nov 29, 2012 1:20am
from oct 10 aud is in UP-trend. Observe higher highs on daily basis.

even Shanghai drop below 2K, shock to many, did nothing to AUD uptrend. There may be some cookies that bet on shanghai drop and shorted aud, aud index, etc and are now sweating, heheheh. looks like a trap to me. I am gonna get ya !

AUD will not fall decently until after new year-read my lips. Nothing must hurt consumer confidence as this is the only way out of this hole, temporary that is.

Imagine for moment shanghai starting to march up...
  • #56,845
  • Nov 29, 2012 2:13am Nov 29, 2012 2:13am
Quoting 100PipsADay
Willow,

Not trying to be rude but why would I trust your words as you sound extremely worried about buying the Aussie but provide no type of technical or fundamental analysis to back your claim? Furthermore, you say technicals don't work with the Aussie...says who?

AUD/USD the most dangerous pair? I would have to beg to differ on this statement. You also did not explain why 3-5 weeks the Aussie will drop over 1000 pips...

All the best Willow.
i;m not worried, one gets worried when loosing pips, but i did'n even opened a position.
there is one indicator which indicates that this can start a horrible downtrend, up to .92-94.
it can also go up equaly; very dangerous.
I'll shop after the drop
  • #56,846
  • Nov 29, 2012 3:40am Nov 29, 2012 3:40am
Quoting Willow
i;m not worried, one gets worried when loosing pips, but i did'n even opened a position.
there is one indicator which indicates that this can start a horrible downtrend, up to .92-94.
it can also go up equaly; very dangerous.
Willow chart please.
  • #56,847
  • Nov 29, 2012 4:33am Nov 29, 2012 4:33am
Quoting Tim_isoara
Willow chart please.
i cant't, i don't have time.
it's not a tragedy, just tight SL and sleep less, if you're long here.

i may have caught the AUD on the wrong foot as a short in AUD/CHF, meanwhile
if you watch that pair, you can see the danger of being long here, easier.
CHF will beat the AUD , probably..., in the coming days/weeks...

don't believe me; AUD is evil !
I'll shop after the drop
  • #56,848
  • Nov 29, 2012 4:56am Nov 29, 2012 4:56am
Quoting Willow
i cant't, i don't have time.
it's not a tragedy, just tight SL and sleep less, if you're long here.

i may have caught the AUD on the wrong foot as a short in AUD/CHF, meanwhile
if you watch that pair, you can see the danger of being long here, easier.
CHF will beat the AUD , probably..., in the coming days/weeks...

don't believe me; AUD is evil !
what do they say ? secret of sucess in trading is to know yourself.....
  • #56,849
  • Edited 5:11am Nov 29, 2012 5:00am | Edited 5:11am
Looking at Usdx it looks heavy and the fib retrace break below the 50% retrace would cement a broken uptrend consolidation pattern since the QE3 selloff. Because of this I WILL be watching AUD/USD which if the dollar follows through today in NY it should break out of this tight Week range and gun for 1.05. I will close out AUD/USD and add to A/J long if dollar follows through here.

Its no coincidence that a US politician came out yesterday 4 minutes after NY open to spin a positive note on Fiscal cliff and I suspect they might do it again this morning.
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  • #56,850
  • Nov 29, 2012 5:47am Nov 29, 2012 5:47am
Quoting Willow
i cant't, i don't have time.
it's not a tragedy, just tight SL and sleep less, if you're long here.

i may have caught the AUD on the wrong foot as a short in AUD/CHF, meanwhile
if you watch that pair, you can see the danger of being long here, easier.
CHF will beat the AUD , probably..., in the coming days/weeks...

don't believe me; AUD is evil !
Willow read a book about forex.
  • #56,851
  • Nov 29, 2012 6:02am Nov 29, 2012 6:02am
US GDP coming up in an hour and a half. Though, will the unemployment claims be affected by Hostess? Hmm...
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,852
  • Nov 29, 2012 6:06am Nov 29, 2012 6:06am
haha that is rich and a dab of sandy as well
  • #56,853
  • Nov 29, 2012 6:33am Nov 29, 2012 6:33am
If price falls back down to 1.037~, I'll be looking to go long.

24 SMA, 48 EMA

1H
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,854
  • Nov 29, 2012 6:40am Nov 29, 2012 6:40am
great time to trade the news
open up some margin place the cursor between market sell / market buy


WAIT FOR IT.. WAIT FOR IT...
  • #56,855
  • Nov 29, 2012 7:12am Nov 29, 2012 7:12am
Quoting jplazard
haha that is rich and a dab of sandy as well
brother think we may be heading much much lower in 2 days now. aussie is weakening and can threaten 1.0420 today itself
  • #56,856
  • Nov 29, 2012 7:22am Nov 29, 2012 7:22am
there is the overhang on RBA next week so yes it could certainly be range for this week as no one wants to take on the market with RBA cut pricing in around 70%
  • #56,857
  • Nov 29, 2012 7:40am Nov 29, 2012 7:40am
sitting at support here if a politician on NY open comes in with positive spin again look for a move back upwards. As a short on A/D i am advising them not to do this


Or buyers at the low this week can certainly hold the line once more we will know in few hours
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  • #56,858
  • Nov 29, 2012 7:52am Nov 29, 2012 7:52am
this just came across stil trying to find out more what the call was in detail about and who was on it

White House official says call was on fiscal cliff talks.

EDIT

The White House’s flexibility, first described by Democrat Erskine Bowles after meetings with Mr. Obama and others, and confirmed by administration officials, could envision tax rates increase from their current levels but less than Clinton-era levels.
Falling Over the Fiscal Cliff
The trade-off, Mr. Bowles said, would be limits or curbs in tax deductions, which GOP leaders have expressed openness to.




  • #56,859
  • Nov 29, 2012 6:54pm Nov 29, 2012 6:54pm
Biz and other credit decreased from prior a cut looks to b in the wrks

Sent from iphone
  • #56,860
  • Nov 29, 2012 6:58pm Nov 29, 2012 6:58pm
Quoting Niranj
i m Short on this targetting 1.412-17 region.
it hit my target spot on and went up
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