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AUD/USD

  • #56,801
  • Nov 28, 2012 1:18pm Nov 28, 2012 1:18pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
Can you explain your analysis using a chart, OMG! LOL

Also, why 3-5 weeks?
100pips, don't laugh, i can't post a chart, but trust me, this is the most dangerous pair right, now.
It's dangerously bearish on the monthly chart, but in the real world, AU has many aces in the sleeve and it's going up or keeps the price above par with ease.
That's why technicals did not work and don't work.

I just watch and look like at TV. Few times in life i could keep my finger off the order button, but in this case, i can easily do it.

We will see.
I'll shop after the drop
  • #56,802
  • Nov 28, 2012 1:38pm Nov 28, 2012 1:38pm
Quoting Willow
100pips, don't laugh, i can't post a chart, but trust me, this is the most dangerous pair right, now.
It's dangerously bearish on the monthly chart, but in the real world, AU has many aces in the sleeve and it's going up or keeps the price above par with ease.
That's why technicals did not work and don't work.

I just watch and look like at TV. Few times in life i could keep my finger off the order button, but in this case, i can easily do it.

We will see.
Willow,

Not trying to be rude but why would I trust your words as you sound extremely worried about buying the Aussie but provide no type of technical or fundamental analysis to back your claim? Furthermore, you say technicals don't work with the Aussie...says who?

AUD/USD the most dangerous pair? I would have to beg to differ on this statement. You also did not explain why 3-5 weeks the Aussie will drop over 1000 pips...

All the best Willow.
  • #56,803
  • Nov 28, 2012 2:18pm Nov 28, 2012 2:18pm
This is the same old chart I've posted a few times with nothing changed, just time gone by. I haven't been trading AU much because it doesn't move how it used to at the moment. On the higher timeframes that I don't trade, it looks bullish to me.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1q.gif Size: 28 KB
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #56,804
  • Nov 28, 2012 2:35pm Nov 28, 2012 2:35pm
HERE is some interesting news I just read and iron ore prices
RBA reports a cash deficit of A$1.739 Bln. Holds A$1.027 Bln in Aussie bank funds.
Appeals court grants emergency halt on Argentine bond payment (that headline risk has been halted as well at least for now the 120 level was a big support now broken on Iron ORE
http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/wp-c...l5-300x213.png
http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/wp-c...10-300x184.png
Looks like the spike in Iron ore and prices are starting to come back down. This could further boost delays for AUD miners in expansion and possible cost cutting continues
  • #56,805
  • Nov 28, 2012 3:29pm Nov 28, 2012 3:29pm
Quoting Zircon
Never stop buying this beautiful pair, she makes me crazy.
Woowww $$$
  • #56,806
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:27pm Nov 28, 2012 4:27pm
Quoting Willow
100pips, don't laugh, i can't post a chart, but trust me, this is the most dangerous pair right, now.
It's dangerously bearish on the monthly chart, but in the real world, AU has many aces in the sleeve and it's going up or keeps the price above par with ease.
That's why technicals did not work and don't work.

I just watch and look like at TV. Few times in life i could keep my finger off the order button, but in this case, i can easily do it.

We will see.
OMG! Are you serious? Or are you trying to scare the hell out of me?

I might need a stronger pacemaker.
  • #56,807
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:29pm Nov 28, 2012 4:29pm
lol.i think i got shit in my pants ..my diaper need to be changed + we got better then forecasted but worst then last one..data so down we go
Quoting Ken A
OMG! Are you serious? Or are you trying to scare the hell out of me?

I might need a stronger pacemaker.
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #56,808
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:32pm Nov 28, 2012 4:32pm
Quoting Ken A
OMG! Are you serious? Or are you trying to scare the hell out of me?

I might need a stronger pacemaker.

That's exactly what I was thinking... LOL
  • #56,809
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:37pm Nov 28, 2012 4:37pm
Quoting eqshack
lol.i think i got shit in my pants ..my diaper need to be changed + we got better then forecasted but worst then last one..data so down we go
100-200 pips movement is nothing new to me as selling and buying are going on.

BUT 1,000 pips!!!! I need to consult my crystal ball or perform group EXORCISM.
  • #56,810
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:44pm Nov 28, 2012 4:44pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
That's exactly what I was thinking... LOL
Hey we need entertainment
  • #56,811
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:51pm Nov 28, 2012 4:51pm
well i know..im with you dude ..lol 1,000pip movement is not funny at all cuz if we got australian interest rate 3.25 we wont have that kinda fall..YET..i added shorts today and targeting 1.0330 area stoploss 1.0490
Quoting Ken A
100-200 pips movement is nothing new to me as selling and buying are going on.

BUT 1,000 pips!!!! I need to consult my crystal ball or perform group EXORCISM.
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #56,812
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:55pm Nov 28, 2012 4:55pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
AUD/JPY momentum stalling??? It just had a 400 pip run up in 2 weeks, of course there is going to be some consolidation / profit taking before it resumes its next leg up. Monthly/Weekly resistance up at 88 - 89.

Supply & Demand zones attract prices like magnets especially when looking at a larger time frame. Anybody want to make a wager that AUD/JPY hits 88 within the next few weeks?
Im in on this trade also. looking at the weekly is promising!!! Resistance at around the mid 88.625 level. Waiting for this conslidation to end, I was short this pair after being long for awhile which took a bit of my profits from the previous week. Waiting for it now...patiently
  • #56,813
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:58pm Nov 28, 2012 4:58pm
Quoting Ken A
Hey we need entertainment
LOL You got that right...

Bwahahaha
  • #56,814
  • Nov 28, 2012 5:04pm Nov 28, 2012 5:04pm
Quoting 4rextrader
Im in on this trade also. looking at the weekly is promising!!! Resistance at around the mid 88.625 level. Waiting for this conslidation to end, I was short this pair after being long for awhile which took a bit of my profits from the previous week. Waiting for it now...patiently
Nice!

Anybody interested in trading AUD/JPY or any other JPY cross pair for that matter have a look at some of the following links I have archived:

This article was sent to me yesterday: http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/1...n-headed-down/


Here are a few articles which explain the fundamental problems that Japan is facing at this time.

http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/0...vernment-debt/

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/why-t...e-49832?FIELD9

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/sover...-of-pain-50310

http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/1...-will-decline/

http://www.marketwatch.com/Story/jap...rap-2012-11-01
  • #56,815
  • Nov 28, 2012 5:14pm Nov 28, 2012 5:14pm
I want to thank 100 as usual for intro fundi on Japan and sending stuff like the above. I am now active in Yen futures and A/J cros
  • #56,816
  • Nov 28, 2012 5:16pm Nov 28, 2012 5:16pm
ABC reversal I have been referring to this week is still valid and were hitting upper resistance. If a US politician comes out tomorrow and gives more positive feedback on talks we most likely will break higher

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...8&d=1354096187
  • #56,817
  • Nov 28, 2012 5:43pm Nov 28, 2012 5:43pm
Quoting jplazard
I want to thank 100 as usual for intro fundi on Japan and sending stuff like the above. I am now active in Yen futures and A/J cros
No problem JP! I enjoy trading JPY cross pairs more than any other pairs. Except for maybe EUR/AUD...
  • #56,818
  • Nov 28, 2012 6:03pm Nov 28, 2012 6:03pm
i m Short on this targetting 1.412-17 region.
  • #56,819
  • Nov 28, 2012 6:51pm Nov 28, 2012 6:51pm
Quoting Niranj
i m Short on this targetting 1.412-17 region.

longer time frame 0.9800
  • #56,820
  • Nov 28, 2012 7:12pm Nov 28, 2012 7:12pm
Quoting knightpips
longer time frame 0.9800
longer term how long ?

mines is scalp trade

hopefully it would hit my traget in 24 hours but for that it needs to come down quick and go below 1.0450.
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