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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #60,601
  • Nov 12, 2012 6:37am Nov 12, 2012 6:37am
Quoting fxcode
Hopefully Yorkers could take us down.PA setting up for a short already IMO.
Seriously, I'm ready for some action already...

EUR/AUD had some decent action today moving down roughly 75 pips or so. GBP/AUD moved down 100 pips!

Like you said, hopefully the Yorkers will take the EUR down a bit... Oh, and send AUD up!
  • #60,602
  • Nov 12, 2012 6:55am Nov 12, 2012 6:55am
Quoting 100PipsADay
Seriously, I'm ready for some action already...

EUR/AUD had some decent action today moving down roughly 75 pips or so. GBP/AUD moved down 100 pips!

Like you said, hopefully the Yorkers will take the EUR down a bit... Oh, and send AUD up!
I know why it's peaceful in AUDUSD, the bear is in early hibernation.
  • #60,603
  • Nov 12, 2012 6:59am Nov 12, 2012 6:59am
Quoting Ken A
I know why it's peaceful in AUDUSD, the bear is in early hibernation.
LOL exactly!

As far as I'm concerned he can remain in hibernation for the next 12 months or so...
  • #60,604
  • Nov 12, 2012 7:50am Nov 12, 2012 7:50am
Quoting 100PipsADay
LOL exactly!

As far as I'm concerned he can remain in hibernation for the next 12 months or so...
if we thought friday was quiet, prepare for silence today.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #60,605
  • Nov 12, 2012 8:28am Nov 12, 2012 8:28am
Quoting Ken A
I know why it's peaceful in AUDUSD, the bear is in early hibernation.
Thought the Bear had been eaten by the Rabbit????
Short Euro and remaining that way. That's just the way it is !
  • #60,606
  • Nov 12, 2012 9:37am Nov 12, 2012 9:37am
Quoting PipTrapper
Hi PJ.. That all depends on you. I suggest using both of them and then decide. With FXCM, One username and password will allow you to use both of them simultaneously. My preference for chart analysis is MT4 because it is much simpler and more user friendly. However, TSII offers much quicker execution.
Cheers
PT
Thanks PT, Good week and green pips for all
  • #60,607
  • Nov 12, 2012 11:17am Nov 12, 2012 11:17am
Market is set to create a new Low tomorrow. Today missed the sale order @ 1.2740 for 1 pip. Time for sleep.
  • #60,608
  • Nov 12, 2012 11:52am Nov 12, 2012 11:52am
Quoting Ken A
I know why it's peaceful in AUDUSD, the bear is in early hibernation.
yap time to sleep,bear is HI-BBING
Life is beautiful the way you dress it.
  • #60,609
  • Nov 12, 2012 11:52am Nov 12, 2012 11:52am
Quoting rekon67
Market is set to create a new Low tomorrow. Today missed the sale order @ 1.2740 for 1 pip. Time for sleep.
sure
Life is beautiful the way you dress it.
  • #60,610
  • Nov 12, 2012 2:49pm Nov 12, 2012 2:49pm
hi every one!!!

i have with after very extensive and precise calculation come with new numbers

if euro$ recent low breaks then 2651/53/55 could be potential bottom

pound$ if this recent low breaks then 5831/33/35 could be potential bottom

eur/jpy if this recent low breaks then 100.13/15 or 99.83/85/87

USDOLLAR recent high 9991 breaks then 10005/07 could be potential top

thanks and GL all

charts are here
Post 109
Learning Requires Failure
  • #60,611
  • Nov 12, 2012 3:03pm Nov 12, 2012 3:03pm
Quoting tirmizi
hi every one!!!

i have with after very extensive and precise calculation come with new numbers

if euro$ recent low breaks then 2651/53/55 could be potential bottom

pound$ if this recent low breaks then 5831/33/35 could be potential bottom

eur/jpy if this recent low breaks then 100.13/15 or 99.83/85/87

USDOLLAR recent high 9991 breaks then 10005/07 could be potential top

thanks and GL all

charts are here
[url="http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6187532#post6187532"]Post...
i have a pending @2680 and am aiming till i cant BEAR any more. gud luck to us tir
Life is beautiful the way you dress it.
  • #60,612
  • Nov 12, 2012 3:09pm Nov 12, 2012 3:09pm
Quoting fxcode
i have a pending @2680 and am aiming till i cant BEAR any more. gud luck to us tir
good luck buddy i had two longs at 2710 and 2695 just closed it at 2710 and i have a pending at 2660 just in case if prices come to 2653/55 zone
Learning Requires Failure
  • #60,613
  • Edited 3:54pm Nov 12, 2012 3:42pm | Edited 3:54pm
Possible HS forming on 1hr could be good buy zone - the only thing is the US fiscal cliff would be troublesome no? Also in relation to the EurUsd would that then dictate more bearish move. Edit: Checked Daily and other indicators and it would appear price bounced off the 38 level from the recent low to high move (28 sept to 2nd november). All in all, I am thinking about entering some longs here but feel shaky due to the US fiscal cliff - or is it just overblown issue?

http://i.imgur.com/t0yzT.png
  • #60,614
  • Nov 12, 2012 8:10pm Nov 12, 2012 8:10pm
Quoting Unknownpips
Possible HS forming on 1hr could be good buy zone - the only thing is the US fiscal cliff would be troublesome no? Also in relation to the EurUsd would that then dictate more bearish move. Edit: Checked Daily and other indicators and it would appear price bounced off the 38 level from the recent low to high move (28 sept to 2nd november). All in all, I am thinking about entering some longs here but feel shaky due to the US fiscal cliff - or is it just overblown issue?

http://i.imgur.com/t0yzT.png
Try to think Risk On VS Risk Off. As long as the Dow goes down money will end up in the US Bonds mostly. That means buying US Dollars to buy the 2 Year, 5 Year, 10 Year and 30 Year US Bonds.

Watch USD/JPY below 80 and watch EUR/JPY as it leads EUR/USD. There is still more trouble in Europe with Greece and Spain. The Dow leads the way each day with Risk On or Risk Off. Your Charts are excellent.
  • #60,615
  • Nov 12, 2012 8:37pm Nov 12, 2012 8:37pm
Quoting rekon67
Market is set to create a new Low tomorrow. Today missed the sale order @ 1.2740 for 1 pip. Time for sleep.
A new low is created. Interested to see an upside run for 100-200 pips by next week considering a thik support, oversold RSI and CCI.
  • #60,616
  • Nov 12, 2012 9:12pm Nov 12, 2012 9:12pm
Didn't jump in on the continuation of the downtrend from 101.3 (had been stopped out previously). Nevertheless looking to reenter shorts on EurJpy if daily closes below 38.2 level. Considering this would confirm a definite close and bear move below the uptrend from the 28 may low, possible looking to enter 100.2/3 on daily close below 100.5 and see if 100 psychological holds. If not, there could be a good risk:reward for a potential 240pip towards the 61 significant level of 98.x. Obviously there could be hurdles along the way, but I think this would be a good trade to take.

I haven't looked at other indicators but simple MAs and bollinger band seem to suggest a move to that level.
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  • #60,617
  • Nov 12, 2012 10:29pm Nov 12, 2012 10:29pm
Monday Report.

This report contains: Econometric, Technical, cyclical fundamental and order flow analysis.

It’s exclusively designed for professional traders.

Made by Gino

(Anyone who wants this report via email, just send me an email to [color=blue][email protected][/color]) I usually post the report at this hour. (10 pm GMT -6)
Guys any doubts or questions will be solved on Weekend. I will make a FAQ with any questions you have.
(Also if I missed any subscriber please let me know ASAP)
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File Type: pdf 12.11.2012.pdf   816 KB | 215 downloads
  • #60,618
  • Nov 12, 2012 11:49pm Nov 12, 2012 11:49pm
Quoting Unknownpips
...All in all, I am thinking about entering some longs here but feel shaky due to the US fiscal cliff - or is it just overblown issue?

http://i.imgur.com/t0yzT.png
note that USA increase oil export, may be it is not just a political step to Iran side but also should cover some part of US fiscal cliff
  • #60,619
  • Nov 13, 2012 1:46am Nov 13, 2012 1:46am
Good morning everyone...

Market sentiment is still in risk aversion mode today as we continue on with the Greek drama, the Spanish complacency, the EZ Banking Union negotiations and the US Fiscal Cliff standoff. The biggest issue in the forefront right now is the most urgent one and that is the Greek drama. There is now much disagreement between the EU and the IMF over Greece's fiscal targets. While the EU has relaxed some requirement by allowing Greece two more years to reach a watered down target of 125% debt to GDP ratio by 2022, the IMF is sticking hard to its demand that Greece's debt targets should remain at 120% by 2020. My view is that Greece will not reach either of those targets... ever, until/unless the Eurozone embraces a full fiscal and political union. Until then, the situation in Greece and other EZ periphery nations will worsen and more than likely drag the core countries down with them. I am certain that the EU and the IMF will reach some kind of compromise and that Greece will get its next aid tranche before they go bankrupt, even if such deal includes another haircut. This week Greece needs to come up with €5 billion to pay off bonds maturing on the 16th. There was a publication yesterday that suggested the ECB was going to relax the collateral requirements for Greek banks so that they could purchase Greek bonds and use them as collateral at the ECB. However, 3 hours later, there was an official denial from the ECB. This all reminds me of a very bad soap opera. When will it end, and how? Stay tuned.

Today's calendar is fairly light for the Euro and USD with only one high impact event at 10:00 GMT. The ZEW economic sentiment index for Germany is expected to be -9.9 versus -11.5 prior and the aggregate EZ index is expected to be 0.2 versus -1.4 prior. Therefore, other than a ZEW number in left field, the only news that will move this pair today will come out in the form of verbal diarrhea from the EcoFin meetings or at least a disappointment by the market over their expectations of a resolution for Greece / banking union.

Technically, we have almost reached my 1.2658 measured target from last week's head and shoulders formation. Low so far is 1.2672; just 14 pips shy of target. If we get a break back above 1.2710/20 resistance, I may be compelled to abandon or delay the original target. It all depends on news now and the lack of positive fundamental drivers should allow price to reach my target and most likely continue beyond to the next support level at 1.2605.

So, as always, be well and trade safe.

Pete Jackson's Order Board:

EUR/USD: Bids 1.2650/60 (daily cloud base 1.2653) ahead of tech support at 100 day MA of 1.2639. Likely sell stops below ahead of more bids 1.2600/10 (1.2605- 50% of 24/7-17/9 rally). Offers 1.2700/10 possible buy stops above ahead of offers 1.2730/40, buy stops through 1.2750

Today's Euro FX Option Expiries at 15:00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.2700, 1.2725, 1.2775, 1.2800,

E/U H4:
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E/U Weekly:
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #60,620
  • Nov 13, 2012 1:53am Nov 13, 2012 1:53am
Quoting ohenry
I have but one argument a setup on the daily: Anticipated DD till around 6030 / TP @ 5772 with partial @ 5863...SL @ 6140...no bells & whistles required... So I would assume that you are long?
Closed out my short...price stalling..more buying momentum picking up..
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Those that say do not know. Those that know do not say.
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