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EURUSD

  • #712,561
  • Oct 30, 2012 6:25pm Oct 30, 2012 6:25pm
Quoting mercy seat
Oct 29, 2012 23:47 (13 hr ago)

Quick survey for the EUR/USD based on latest rollover-reopen ...




2012-10-29_23h15 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Rollover _ W-44 # FG51 (EN - IMM)

Outlook with latest "End of Day Idea" for Tuesday ...




;-|
Oct 30, 2012 23:21 (58 min ago)

Quick survey for the EUR/USD based on latest rollover-reopen ...




2012-10-30_23h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Rollover _ W-44 # FC51 (NA)

2012-10-30_23h15 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Rollover _ W-44 # FC51 (EN Elliott)

Outlook for Wednesday ...




;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #712,562
  • Oct 30, 2012 7:14pm Oct 30, 2012 7:14pm
Quoting wiseambition
It's a typical SL which this thing calculates

The risk reward ratio is a bit uncomfortable, but given its win rate, and traded at say 2 or so per cent risk it won't dent an account too badly unless there is a long string of losers
If the SL is that huge don't you think it is better to buy then the SL will be your TP ?
  • #712,563
  • Edited 7:30pm Oct 30, 2012 7:28pm | Edited 7:30pm
Down we go?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #712,564
  • Oct 30, 2012 7:28pm Oct 30, 2012 7:28pm
Given the setup with a pivot point at 1.292.
I entered at 1.2962 with a target of 1.2999.
Going small steps!!
Attached Image
  • #712,565
  • Oct 30, 2012 7:31pm Oct 30, 2012 7:31pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
Down we go?
Agreed.............
Got 2 hourly candle say so.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #712,566
  • Oct 30, 2012 7:37pm Oct 30, 2012 7:37pm
Quoting DudeSepii
Agreed.............
Got 2 hourly candle say so.
...but too late for the people who were conned into buying .eu by all the crazy rally talk this afternoon.
  • #712,567
  • Oct 30, 2012 7:49pm Oct 30, 2012 7:49pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
Down we go?
I'm thinking so. Looks like we got a lower high and we are rejecting the downward TL.
  • #712,568
  • Oct 30, 2012 8:04pm Oct 30, 2012 8:04pm
Quoting 1candlepower
...but too late for the people who were conned into buying .eu by all the crazy rally talk this afternoon.
don't be so sure, are you ignoring the fact that sandy didn't do any damage to US? to play safe let's put aside relying too much on technical thing but use our common sense to harmonize technical and fundamental


btw: i'm long since 1.29 (sandy comes in) and my tp 1.31 and move my SL to 1.2935 (just below the pivot)
  • #712,569
  • Edited 8:50pm Oct 30, 2012 8:13pm | Edited 8:50pm
Quoting xandi
for now is riding this triangle on 30 min...just curious to see how price is going to react, maybe will give clues to the weekly breakout:
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1351645564
on weekly:
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1351645564
  • #712,570
  • Oct 30, 2012 8:14pm Oct 30, 2012 8:14pm
Don't worry...it is just ranging there for the past few hours. There is no clear indication where it is going to. Maybe have to wait for euro to start.....
  • #712,571
  • Oct 30, 2012 8:28pm Oct 30, 2012 8:28pm
Quoting namesnaw
don't be so sure, are you ignoring the fact that sandy didn't do any damage to US? to play safe let's put aside relying too much on technical thing but use our common sense to harmonize technical and fundamental


btw: i'm long since 1.29 (sandy comes in) and my tp 1.31 and move my SL to 1.2935 (just below the pivot)

well, the carping about how .eu would start going up was based largely on technical arguments... my viewpoint has been simply that today's rise was meaningless (bunch of big players pushing price around in low liq environ...nothing at all wrong with that btw...it's part of how fx is played) and tomorrow i think it will revert.

as to common sense, the best analysis i've seen was posted by trader gator a little over an hour ago:

---------------------------------------
"after 911 markets were closed. when they opened we had a drop. there are lots of people on the east coast affected by the storm. most will have insurance, some will not. some will be under insured. many will not have flood insurance. some will need cash, and may sell the market, to get it.

then other then the home depotes .. other businesses will lose revenue. at least in the st while they rebuild. insurance company's are going to take a hit. in the st gbp will suffer until the rebuild creates demand. and all the crap lost is causing demand. with a blizzard keeping people inside on the edges.." - gatorinla
---------------------------------------

which is another common sense reason why .eu is likely to start falling tomorrow.
  • #712,572
  • Oct 30, 2012 8:37pm Oct 30, 2012 8:37pm
I might be wrong (it doesn't look like it wants to go down atm) but if I were in charge with other people money, I would sell first (move into cash) and ask questions later. Nobody knows what the real impact will be (millions of people and homes affected) until much later.

Quoting 1candlepower
well, the carping about how .eu would start going up was based largely on technical arguments... my viewpoint has been simply that today's rise was meaningless (bunch of big players pushing price around in low liq environ...nothing at all wrong with that btw...it's part of how fx is played) and tomorrow i think it will revert.

as to common sense, the best analysis i've seen was posted by trader gator a little over an hour ago:

---------------------------------------
"after 911 markets were closed. when they opened we had a drop. there...
  • #712,573
  • Oct 30, 2012 8:38pm Oct 30, 2012 8:38pm
Quoting attila
I might be wrong (it doesn't look like it wants to go down atm) but if I were in charge with other people money, I would sell first (move into cash) and ask questions later. Nobody knows what the real impact will be (millions of people and homes affected) until much later.
that makes a lot of sense too.
  • #712,574
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:02pm Oct 30, 2012 9:02pm
Quoting 1candlepower
well, the carping about how .eu would start going up was based largely on technical arguments... my viewpoint has been simply that today's rise was meaningless (bunch of big players pushing price around in low liq environ...nothing at all wrong with that btw...it's part of how fx is played) and tomorrow i think it will revert.

as to common sense, the best analysis i've seen was posted by trader gator a little over an hour ago:

---------------------------------------
"after 911 markets were closed. when they opened we had a drop. there...


yes, we will see it tomorrow and only have 2 directions, north or south. For me is simple, if the direction is heading north... i'll close my 200 pips in green and if the direction is south i still own 35 green pips... nothing to loose
  • #712,575
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:34pm Oct 30, 2012 9:34pm
Quoting xandi
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1351645564
on weekly:
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1351645564
I enjoy your charts xandi.

I used it on the GBPUSD and it was perfect. Now looking at breakout scenario.

Personally I am short on the EU looking at the drop back into the downward channel.
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #712,576
  • Oct 30, 2012 10:10pm Oct 30, 2012 10:10pm
Clearly the upper bound of the channel has broken. I see this as a retrace and a continuation of the downwards channel should occur. 1.2900 is my target.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #712,577
  • Oct 30, 2012 10:35pm Oct 30, 2012 10:35pm
Notice where price is fighting right now. Then glance to the left and see the big X in the middle of the last swing high/low. Right where price is at now, in the middle of it. And the weekly pivot is @ 1.2966. I'll be buying above 70 and selling below 35. Staying out of the noise in between.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: makeorbreakdaily.jpg Size: 127 KB
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #712,578
  • Oct 30, 2012 10:45pm Oct 30, 2012 10:45pm
Small long. Going for less than 10 pips.

Nervous about entering trades in EU at the moment. Will wait for direction (expecting down).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #712,579
  • Oct 30, 2012 10:50pm Oct 30, 2012 10:50pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
Notice where price is fighting right now. Then glance to the left and see the big X in the middle of the last swing high/low. Right where price is at now, in the middle of it. And the weekly pivot is @ 1.2966. I'll be buying above 70 and selling below 35. Staying out of the noise in between.
Valid point but the motion at other usd pairs is pointing down.
  • #712,580
  • Oct 30, 2012 11:09pm Oct 30, 2012 11:09pm
On the 4 hour chart, the decline Moving Average 50-100-200 will keep EUR / USD in a bearish channel. However, stochastics indicator is in overbought area and the increase may be limited to the upper limit of the bearish channel. Strategy still sell on rallies with the entry level in the range of 1.2991. to all my friends in this forum forexfactory thanks for your time to read my analysis. have a nice trading Bro
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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