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AUD/USD

  • #54,881
  • Oct 25, 2012 11:49pm Oct 25, 2012 11:49pm
Quoting bogus
Steady fella, too many sugary drinks. I wouldn't call it a blood bath at this stage
holy shit when i read that, i just had a deja vu..... and this deja vu ends up me being very happy for the day.... This is scary....
im not even kidding....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,882
  • Oct 25, 2012 11:51pm Oct 25, 2012 11:51pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Of course... at such high exchange rate...why cant the australians invest in China? i dont see why not... LOL nice piece you got there... Shows exactly how at High Exchange rate the Aussie's been, INvestment's been FLOWING OUT of their economy which is hampening their growth.....
Now.... last sentence where it says economy not investing enough in education??? so they're gona let the economic weakening slip into their education system?? get ready for a decrease in their human capital value... Skilled Labour Drop and then... Lower Incomes... Lower...

big moves take time look at usdx range for a while
  • #54,883
  • Oct 25, 2012 11:52pm Oct 25, 2012 11:52pm
Quoting sidhujag
big moves take time look at usdx range for a while
i am watching... but theres not much time left... we have about 10 days left to election....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,884
  • Oct 26, 2012 12:20am Oct 26, 2012 12:20am
Guys why aussie and gold been falling from last 2hrs can't find any news kindly update guys if i have been missing some news??
GBP/USD
  • #54,885
  • Oct 26, 2012 12:27am Oct 26, 2012 12:27am
Quoting deepak925
Guys why aussie and gold been falling from last 2hrs can't find any news kindly update guys if i have been missing some news??
Risk off from today's stock market, unloading, stop hunting, etc. Hoping once it hits 61.8% retracement at 297 from yesterday's peak, we'll get a 30pip or so bounce, then resume lower.
  • #54,886
  • Oct 26, 2012 12:28am Oct 26, 2012 12:28am
Quoting deepak925
Guys why aussie and gold been falling from last 2hrs can't find any news kindly update guys if i have been missing some news??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,887
  • Oct 26, 2012 12:50am Oct 26, 2012 12:50am
This is what I think about gold. If 1680 is breached, then I can see 1600 in price's path.
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #54,888
  • Edited 1:05am Oct 26, 2012 12:50am | Edited 1:05am
Quoting Stretch
I only started with AUD/USD recently.
But let's hope it will not bottom out before 1.02755, I have put a (first) target just 5 pips above that.

But I would say 1.030x would be a high probability for a small bounce as well, maybe nice for a scalp.

1.0329 - 1.0323 could be a bumpy/ranging area as well. But at the moment I don't think it will hold if 1.0337 will give way. (need a couple H1/M30 bar closes below for confirmation)
Correct, but due to sleepy time I put a small scalp order in. Put that on 1.0302, so missed by 3 pips ... (removed now.)

No real bumb, only on M15 it got from 1.0323 to 1.0329 once, nice H1 candle

My line here is 1.03099, but I chose 1.0302 for scalp entry Long, since this lvl likes overshoots. M30/H1 closes are important for continuation or bounce back up.

I am seeing now that the M30 close below this number was enough to continue, it might (it never has too) want to retest this number later (is relative ), because it totally got through it. Note that if it retests, without M30 H1 closes above it might be a nice reload short entry.
  • #54,889
  • Oct 26, 2012 1:05am Oct 26, 2012 1:05am
Imf talking on fiscal cliff gIving dx a boost
  • #54,890
  • Oct 26, 2012 1:13am Oct 26, 2012 1:13am
Quoting Stretch
Correct, but due to sleepy time I put a small scalp order in. Put that on 1.0302, so missed by 3 pips ... (removed now.)

No real bumb, only on M15 it got from 1.0323 to 1.0329 once, nice H1 candle

My line here is 1.03099, but I chose 1.0302 for scalp entry Long, since this lvl likes overshoots. M30/H1 closes are important for continuation or bounce back up.

I am seeing now that the M30 close below this number was enough to continue, it might (it never has too)...
Very unconvincing bounce, but if you were just looking for 10 pips, that was in the money. Still waiting on a move to 295 then 30pip bounce. Daily trendline says it's safer at 260, which we may very well see in a few hours time...
  • #54,891
  • Oct 26, 2012 1:19am Oct 26, 2012 1:19am
Quoting Arkv
Very unconvincing bounce, but if you were just looking for 10 pips, that was in the money. Still waiting on a move to 295 then 30pip bounce. Daily trendline says it's safer at 260, which we may very well see in a few hours time...
Like I said, just a scalp scalp for me is 1-15 (max 20) pips in just a few minutes. A few scalps a day/week are a nice bonus. But yes unconvincing bounce.

I like that 260 better I have 256 there, just above I have 275, like I posted before. And my first target put a bit above at 280.
  • #54,892
  • Oct 26, 2012 1:22am Oct 26, 2012 1:22am
Quoting Arkv
Very unconvincing bounce, but if you were just looking for 10 pips, that was in the money. Still waiting on a move to 295 then 30pip bounce. Daily trendline says it's safer at 260, which we may very well see in a few hours time...
But I will keep my eye on that 295 of yours, thank you. Might take a few off my short there (or all, will decide there, depends on my mood swings )
  • #54,893
  • Oct 26, 2012 2:00am Oct 26, 2012 2:00am
Quoting sidhujag
Its hard to explain in a short post.. but this is the interest rate bottom (it is a cycle) soon market will start pricing in rises in rates... and FED can't do much more printing without totalling ruining market confidence... so if market is to even exist it must exist under itself and not without fed help... so if that premis is true then global growth (jobs, real estate) must grow in order for us to grow out of the economy. I'm kind of assuming this because if it doesn't who knows what black hole we fall into.. i'm hedging my thoughts so that...
Like I said how is the Fed going to hike rates with the multi trillion debt? Its fine if your country is running a surplus and you want to control inflation. But when you're running the biggest deficit in the world and you can't even pay off the interest at next to 0 without running into a fiscal cliff. Its not going to happen. The choices the USA currently faced with is either a) finance debt with more debt and pass the buck to the next generation b) continue printing money to inflate their way out of debt (this is what they're currently going for), and c) default on their debt, lose their reserve currency status, have bank runs and social upheaval for decade or two.

It sounds like you think the solution to making US an exporter is through.... robots?? This kind of sounds like a pipe dream to me. There's are robots used in manufacturing but US companies just puts them in their plants in Malaysia, Taiwan, etc. The only usa exclusive manufacturing are ones that involve weapons and cruise missiles.
  • #54,894
  • Oct 26, 2012 4:16am Oct 26, 2012 4:16am
oppotunity to sell. SL can be 20 pips and TP about 45-50 pips at least.
  • #54,895
  • Oct 26, 2012 4:31am Oct 26, 2012 4:31am
Quoting Iro
Like I said how is the Fed going to hike rates with the multi trillion debt? Its fine if your country is running a surplus and you want to control inflation. But when you're running the biggest deficit in the world and you can't even pay off the interest at next to 0 without running into a fiscal cliff. Its not going to happen. The choices the USA currently faced with is either a) finance debt with more debt and pass the buck to the next generation b) continue printing money to inflate their way out of debt (this is what they're currently going...
Lol man... im not even gona begin the argument..... you think the fed wont increase rates if they want to?? FED doesnt care about US being in Debt... FED is not US... FED is not a part of the US government... in fact THe HIGHER the US debt is... the More Money they make out of the US economy through interest, the only reason why the are keeping rates down is to stimulate growth through housing recovery, but when this housing recovery is done... they would be MORE THAN HAPPY to raise INTEREST RATES, since.. its gona wind up having most of these Debt paid back by Tax Payers with thier IRS going to reclaim unpaid debts like a loan shark....

First you fuck up your fundies view on china, now you wana talk about the US?? how much do you even know about the US do you even know that the Fed is a Private Bank? sheesh....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,896
  • Oct 26, 2012 4:59am Oct 26, 2012 4:59am
good recovery in aud FxT

i understand now what apple is about thanks to JP.
  • #54,897
  • Oct 26, 2012 5:01am Oct 26, 2012 5:01am
Quoting fxtyrant
First you fuck up your fundies view on china, now you wana talk about the US?? how much do you even know about the US do you even know that the Fed is a Private Bank? sheesh....
do you really think the us gov exerts no influence over the fed and is totally independent? seems pretty naive to me
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #54,898
  • Oct 26, 2012 5:04am Oct 26, 2012 5:04am
Quoting redteamgo
do you really think the us gov exerts no influence over the fed and is totally independent? seems pretty naive to me
It would not if you knew who owned the Fed.
  • #54,899
  • Oct 26, 2012 5:06am Oct 26, 2012 5:06am
Quoting prive
It would not if you knew who owned the Fed.
i am aware that it is privately held. those same people are CLOSELY linked to those holding political power. do you really think there is no overlap between those relationships? why is it that political office yields such incredible wealth and power? hmm?
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #54,900
  • Oct 26, 2012 5:27am Oct 26, 2012 5:27am
Quoting redteamgo
i am aware that it is privately held. those same people are CLOSELY linked to those holding political power. do you really think there is no overlap between those relationships? why is it that political office yields such incredible wealth and power? hmm?
You must be joking.... The last president who tried to defy the fed got shot....
Also the fed is the government.... The government has its treasury, and over the last 10 decades.... I wonder who has more influence ben bernanke or tim geithner??
Please, its you being naive, the government doesnt even have the power who to elect for the fed chairman position....so please gimme a break.... Remember..... Te fed has power to primt as much money as they want.... If they thing they wint last, they could print so much money that the vaue of dollar could end up being 0 with no chance of recovering.... So the government if they want to rout out the fed, will have to sacrifice their economy back to the stone age, to do so....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
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