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  • #119,641
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:32am Oct 25, 2012 8:32am
Took a long down here for a bounce - small risk if wrong rr about 5:1
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  • #119,642
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:41am Oct 25, 2012 8:41am
Due to daylight saving time change , we are on GMT +24 where I live, so it is already Friday afternoon...no trading on Fridays.

crap...i am going to meet my mates and have a few beers



Have a great weekend all , catch up next week
" Never let the past hold the future to ransom "
  • #119,643
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:41am Oct 25, 2012 8:41am
Quoting Gleneagles
if i had more pips in the bank , a buy @ 74 with a tight stop would have been tempting

small range today? 2 beats down 1 beat up?
took a break so i wouldn't be tempted. i did get a buy signal too ... let's see what NY does here ADR is only 59 and these first 10 min are going my way now
  • #119,644
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:42am Oct 25, 2012 8:42am
Quoting Gleneagles
Due to daylight saving time change , we are on GMT +24 where I live, so it is already Friday afternoon...no trading on Fridays.

crap...i am going to meet my mates and have a few beers



Have a great weekend all , catch up next week
you live in lala land

you have a great weekend too ... see ya
  • #119,645
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:46am Oct 25, 2012 8:46am
Anyone interested in Aussie shorts here? We may still have some room to go up. Here, or 1.0520. If the 1h can turn here, I may risk a few.
  • #119,646
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:47am Oct 25, 2012 8:47am
Quoting Venice
Cable... i'm looking for 1.6125'ish. To sell. Come on baby, don't be so slow... Targets still around 5750'ish to continue uptrend.
Ally? hehe, I played the counter up to this area.
  • #119,647
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:52am Oct 25, 2012 8:52am
Quoting Venice
Ally? hehe, I played the counter up to this area.
i remember you were looking for that number ... sweet

i did take a short at 30 and bout ready to close it due to lack of movement
  • #119,648
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:52am Oct 25, 2012 8:52am
Quoting AllyB
i remember you were looking for that number ... sweet

i did take a short at 30 and bout ready to close it due to lack of movement
1h is about to give the signal to short for about 300 pips... Risk... 10-20 'ish.
  • #119,649
  • Oct 25, 2012 8:58am Oct 25, 2012 8:58am
Quoting Venice
1h is about to give the signal to short for about 300 pips... Risk... 10-20 'ish.
sounds good to me
  • #119,650
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:02am Oct 25, 2012 9:02am
Quoting gatorinla
no at least after 6137
got there.. thinking more...
watching for eu bear weakness... we got under 2983.. 2952 is in the sequence. still looking to s a bounce to 3079 area. that could happen at any time. 2969 atm.. eclose in 1.5 h
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,651
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:11am Oct 25, 2012 9:11am
Quoting gatorinla
got there.. thinking more...
watching for eu bear weakness... we got under 2983.. 2952 is in the sequence. still looking to s a bounce to 3079 area. that could happen at any time. 2969 atm.. eclose in 1.5 h
H4 lost 1.299x again. Is just air now in the middle 100 tick up / 100 ticks down.... I prefer a test outside of the range to 1.327x (in quick move...cleaning everything above) but every attempt lower/higher to move outside of the mid of the consolidation range is bought/sell in "minutes".

Swing down is so clear in the Euro but no clear trigger in almost 30 days. Let see tracking this time only that 1.299x for H4 and daily charts... Intraday tradable to the upside while daily/weekly (and now monthly) for the swing down....

On the rest, just chop across the board and NY looks like it has no interest in doing much today ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #119,652
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:16am Oct 25, 2012 9:16am
Quoting Venice
1h is about to give the signal to short for about 300 pips... Risk... 10-20 'ish.
And now, of course, it closed with a not-so-clear intention. lol Fracking markets. They can't ever make it easy, can they?
  • #119,653
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:18am Oct 25, 2012 9:18am
Quoting Venice
1h is about to give the signal to short for about 300 pips... Risk... 10-20 'ish.
i gave it 15 min to show me the money and finally closed it for -5

bastards

held that thing for over 2 hours too
  • #119,654
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:19am Oct 25, 2012 9:19am
Quoting gatorinla
got there.. thinking more...
watching for eu bear weakness... we got under 2983.. 2952 is in the sequence. still looking to s a bounce to 3079 area. that could happen at any time. 2969 atm.. eclose in 1.5 h
if we bounce to eu 3079 (3078.9) the aud has a high to the left 1.0412 ish... its probably a top. it could set up a shorter term 1.0068.. the little longer one is for 0.9xxxx. is already set-up..as long as that high holds.. . it was about 600+ pips last i looked. we got e- close and friday...shit happens..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,655
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:25am Oct 25, 2012 9:25am
Quoting AllyB
i gave it 15 min to show me the money and finally closed it for -5

bastards

held that thing for over 2 hours too
I hate when they do this. We are running into daily supply right now, Usually it bounces a bit harder than this, buyers are just extra aggressive today I guess. We should be at or near the current swing high though. The more buyers that are absorbed, the faster we fall if the bear takes over.

The bastards may just be doing something bastardly though, in any case... if I am wrong on to the next one !
  • #119,656
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:31am Oct 25, 2012 9:31am
And of course, I didn't take the aussie play, which moved as it indicated.
  • #119,657
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:36am Oct 25, 2012 9:36am
gator, I know you look at closes <> open/closes of previous bars... I just noticed something... do you take 5th decimal place into account? Looking back across some fake outs, the only deciding factor of them not playing through was the close was higher by a margin of the 5th decimal place.

I think I am going to do some research into just using 4 digits and see if that gives me a little bit more accuracy with the fakies.

Edit: I think that was a little bit confusing. I'm not doing a very good job at communicating this morning. Basically, I am asking... does the 5th place decimal of price matter to you?
  • #119,658
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:42am Oct 25, 2012 9:42am
Quoting sisse
H4 lost 1.299x again. Is just air now in the middle 100 tick up / 100 ticks down.... I prefer a test outside of the range to 1.327x (in quick move...cleaning everything above) but every attempt lower/higher to move outside of the mid of the consolidation range is bought/sell in "minutes".

Swing down is so clear in the Euro but no clear trigger in almost 30 days. Let see tracking this time only that 1.299x for H4 and daily charts... Intraday tradable to the upside while daily/weekly (and now monthly) for the swing down....

On the rest, just...
its all norm in my eyes. 52 now or not.. some green candles now or after e-close.. gives a 3079 pump signal... then some red ones at/near 3079 is the dump ones.. i love the smell of Friday on a Thursday morning.

i never know how high these bounces will be. the one to 3014+ may have been enough.. i do know looking for weakness after a norm bounce to 3079 is rewarding in a norm move. and in norm times it sets up 2889. 3079 in norm times comes before 2889. and that is closer to 2768 and 2432.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,659
  • Oct 25, 2012 9:56am Oct 25, 2012 9:56am
Quoting Venice
gator, I know you look at closes <> open/closes of previous bars... I just noticed something... do you take 5th decimal place into account? Looking back across some fake outs, the only deciding factor of them not playing through was the close was higher by a margin of the 5th decimal place.

I think I am going to do some research into just using 4 digits and see if that gives me a little bit more accuracy with the fakies.

Edit: I think that was a little bit confusing. I'm not doing a very good job at communicating this morning. Basically, I am...
yes.. because i multiply a bunch...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,660
  • Oct 25, 2012 10:06am Oct 25, 2012 10:06am
Quoting gatorinla
its all norm in my eyes. 52 now or not.. some green candles now or after e-close.. gives a 3079 pump signal... then some red ones at/near 3079 is the dump ones.. i love the smell of Friday on a Thursday morning.

i never know how high these bounces will be. the one to 3014+ may have been enough.. i do know looking for weakness after a norm bounce to 3079 is rewarding in a norm move. and in norm times it sets up 2889. 3079 in norm times comes before 2889. and that is closer to 2768 and 2432.
Well I also got 1.307x but not as target but as stack of stops on the highs .... In any case all chop across the board ... rumors and more rumors pre election BS of a US downgrade, and last minute "undecided" big bastards all over the media positioning with Obama and/or Romney ... just noise ...

In any case, clocks changing this weekend in Europe so all H4 charts get messed up next week (coincidentally we always get a lot of chop across the board during this week in March and October until NY, London and Frankfurt are align). I am officially stop using them for intraday until then.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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