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  • #707,441
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:30pm Oct 15, 2012 4:30pm
Quoting attila
What-a-piece-of-shit-session !!!
don't know if you noticed but lately the market has been favoring the low side of the inter quartile range when it comes to volatility.....meaning volatility for some reason has been decreasing.

Perhaps the trend is more visible in a long term macro environment.
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #707,442
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:31pm Oct 15, 2012 4:31pm
Quoting Vachus
Just a question : Why are they selling it , while they can make 800% revenue or growth ?



PS : I'm already short but not far away till 1.28 area ..
They want to make it 801%
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #707,443
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:33pm Oct 15, 2012 4:33pm
Quoting the redlion
don't know if you noticed but lately the market has been favoring the low side of the inter quartile range when it comes to volatility.....meaning volatility for some reason has been decreasing.

Perhaps the trend is more visible in a long term macro environment.
I have noticed this in the fact that taking smaller more consistent profits has been working lately in favor of "setting and forgetting" for 30-40 pip wins.

10-20 pip wins are happening more frequently and generating higher profits.

However, I've also noticed a benefit from wider more "macro trend" stop losses.

Then when I'm 10 pips in profit I've been moving the SL to 1 pip or break even.

----

This may be unorthodox, but I feel we are in unorthodox times.

However I've only been actively trading since the end of the 1st quarter of this year. (So while I'm here and posting and giving my thoughts/trades, please realize I'm technically a "newbie")
  • #707,444
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:38pm Oct 15, 2012 4:38pm
Waiting until at least the end of this hour. It's a dart board guess which way the next 30 pips will head with this little price action.
  • #707,445
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:39pm Oct 15, 2012 4:39pm
Quoting Chicky
They want to make it 801%
Isn't it always about this extra 1 % ... i bet this where their profit is !
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #707,446
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:40pm Oct 15, 2012 4:40pm
Quoting the redlion
don't know if you noticed but lately the market has been favoring the low side of the inter quartile range when it comes to volatility.....meaning volatility for some reason has been decreasing.

Perhaps the trend is more visible in a long term macro environment.
yeah, I see this every god damn NY session.
  • #707,447
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:47pm Oct 15, 2012 4:47pm
Check the spike on the Aussie NZD
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #707,448
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:49pm Oct 15, 2012 4:49pm
Quoting attila
yeah, I see this every god damn NY session.
I can tell you with 95% confidence level (that is as sure as I have ever been in forex or investing) that every session will at least be greater than 49pips from high to low.

with 50% confidence that it will be range from 78 pips to 148 pips.

with 95% confidence that it wont be greater than 231 pips in a given day.

this stats I compiled through R, of 3305 trading days, using

http://www.global-view.com/forex-tra...ory/index.html

to gather the OHLC data
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #707,449
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:52pm Oct 15, 2012 4:52pm
maybe.. too bad those ranges don't happen when I'm trading.. BTW, I have a data warehouse of e/u tick data.. I can query it whichever way I want...

Having a masters in Computer Science helps too..

Quoting the redlion
I can tell you with 95% confidence level (that is as sure as I have ever been in forex or investing) that every session will at least be greater than 49pips from high to low.

with 50% confidence that it will be range from 78 pips to 148 pips.

with 95% confidence that it wont be greater than 231 pips in a given day.

this stats I compiled through R, of 3305 trading days, using

http://www.global-view.com/forex-tra...ory/index.html

to gather the OHLC data
  • #707,450
  • Oct 15, 2012 4:59pm Oct 15, 2012 4:59pm
Quoting attila
maybe.. too bad those ranges don't happen when I'm trading.. BTW, I have a data warehouse of e/u tick data.. I can query it whichever way I want...

Having a masters in Computer Science helps too..
actually todays trading range was 89 pips form high to low.

as I said before the days have been more towards the 1st quartile to the mean

78-120, so the volatility of the market has been decreasing....maybe the uncertainty in the direction might also be decreasing.....

Greece is out of the EZ as far as the market is concerned
Italy and Spain will take the bail out printed by the ECB, and the dollar is going to depreciate....change this and you got more uncertainty aka more volatility......

YIELD is the most important thing for investors
Growth and Employment is the most important thing for the Economy
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #707,451
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:01pm Oct 15, 2012 5:01pm
Quoting attila
maybe.. too bad those ranges don't happen when I'm trading.. BTW, I have a data warehouse of e/u tick data.. I can query it whichever way I want...

Having a masters in Computer Science helps too..
That being said, the only thing I found it works are my stupid lines.. These have been on my charts since forever..

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  • #707,452
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:13pm Oct 15, 2012 5:13pm
Quoting attila
maybe.. too bad those ranges don't happen when I'm trading.. BTW, I have a data warehouse of e/u tick data.. I can query it whichever way I want...

Having a masters in Computer Science helps too..
masters in computer sciences here too
  • #707,453
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:17pm Oct 15, 2012 5:17pm
Quoting HassanSheikh
masters in computer sciences here too
Head master in computer science
  • #707,454
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:28pm Oct 15, 2012 5:28pm
Hi Guys

Anyone able to give me a screen dump of 5Min chart Eur/Aud set to bid price.
Any feed will do apart from Oanda Or Fxcm. Time approx 2200 GMT 1700 Est will be fine.
Pretty sure Fxcm being arseholes! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon8.gif

Thanks
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Once You See, You Can't Unsee But You Will Get The Odd Poke In The Eye
  • #707,455
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:40pm Oct 15, 2012 5:40pm
H4 chart
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  • #707,456
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:40pm Oct 15, 2012 5:40pm
im still short bias..anyone else?
  • #707,457
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:44pm Oct 15, 2012 5:44pm
Depends on what SL and TP you are working with.
  • #707,458
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:46pm Oct 15, 2012 5:46pm
Guys couple posts above. Can anyone help ? Please
Once You See, You Can't Unsee But You Will Get The Odd Poke In The Eye
  • #707,459
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:46pm Oct 15, 2012 5:46pm
Quoting Stu Effex
Hi Guys

Anyone able to give me a screen dump of 5Min chart Eur/Aud set to bid price.
Any feed will do apart from Oanda Or Fxcm. Time approx 2200 GMT 1700 Est will be fine.
Pretty sure Fxcm being arseholes! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon8.gif

Thanks
Hey mate...

FXCM are NOTORIOUS for widening their spread through the roll...especially on crosses. If you're going to hold through the roll, you really need to widen (if not temporarily remove) your stops.

Needless to say...no such prices on my brokers. They'll say they've done nothing wrong, though...which, in theory, they haven't.
  • #707,460
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:54pm Oct 15, 2012 5:54pm
Quoting kenfen69
Hey mate...

FXCM are NOTORIOUS for widening the spread through the roll...especially on crosses. If you're going to hold through the roll, you really need to widen (if not temporarily remove) your stops.

Needless to say...no such prices on my brokers. They'll say they've done nothing wrong, though...which, in theory, they haven't.
Thanks for the info. Spread went to 3.8 and should not have touched my stop the bastards.
Once You See, You Can't Unsee But You Will Get The Odd Poke In The Eye
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