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  • #703,761
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:29pm Oct 5, 2012 12:29pm
Quoting forex_J
AUD, NZD, TRY, and ZAR all high interest pairs seem to be falling.... What's going on? Maybe because Gold is falling?

EUR... holding
patience we will see within 15 minute, longs need be careful
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #703,762
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:29pm Oct 5, 2012 12:29pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
this my kiwi daily
it is building expanding megaphone ecompassing the 2 previous restence zones, I believe very bearish sign also rejecting the utl of a falling wedge, presently consolidating around my monthly level 8224, yes her has some work to do variuos levels need to be taken out, but if she breachs the ltl of the wedge, her will be bearish for quite awhile
is my plan anyway
It's the same thing for the most risk-correlated pairs/asset. They are completing their respective bearish pattern (AB-CD, harmonic, etc.) that herald a massive selloff of riskon asset (Maybe @ 21/12/2012? eheheh), but not before a last climb/consolidation as shown by most of my daily chart

For the Kiwi, if 0,382 hold we may see a last climb, otherwise there may be a consolidation area similar to the zone market but shorter until the selloff wich would lead Nzd to 0,96 as you said
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZD.png Size: 66 KB


Something similar to the Euro could happen for the Kiwi too?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EurUsdlongterm.png Size: 56 KB


  • #703,763
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:29pm Oct 5, 2012 12:29pm
What's goin on?
  • #703,764
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:31pm Oct 5, 2012 12:31pm
Quoting Fortunecry
What's goin on?
Spain's PM says no decision taken yet on bailout => bear manage to take support
Mohan
  • #703,765
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:33pm Oct 5, 2012 12:33pm
hit sl with 67 in green today (because of the last leg down) . have a nice weekend you all.
  • #703,766
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:33pm Oct 5, 2012 12:33pm
Quoting Fortunecry
What's goin on?
Bullish divergence for USD everywhere, they are coming true
  • #703,767
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:36pm Oct 5, 2012 12:36pm
What is it about NFP day? Can't leave it alone even though I know I should, gambling mentality I guess

Glad i'm on hol next week, need it. Another week trying to be disciplined ending in failure, the NY session can't be traded by me so I need to accept that & leave it well alone.
  • #703,768
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:36pm Oct 5, 2012 12:36pm
Quoting mohan76
Spain's PM says no decision taken yet on bailout => bear manage to take support
Yeah, but it's been playing for weeks now, Rajoy is stubborn, holding up 6 other nations in line, recently before this, Spain reinforced it's stand on not taking a bailout, even heckled for that, essentially killed the bailout rumors short term earlier today. So people need 2 official statements in a day to kill rumors?
  • #703,769
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:37pm Oct 5, 2012 12:37pm
Quoting mikijk3
It's the same thing for the most risk-correlated pairs/asset. They are completing their respective bearish pattern (AB-CD, harmonic, etc.) that herald a massive selloff of riskon asset (Maybe @ 21/12/2012? eheheh), but not before a last climb/consolidation as shown by most of my daily chart

For the Kiwi, if 0,382 hold we may see a last climb, otherwise there may be a consolidation area similar to the zone market but shorter until the selloff wich would lead Nzd to 0,96 as you said
Attachment

Something similar...
nope 76 cent is her target
them are off lol 2 have tap fence 1 not to big cable little bigger fence, but there seem to be some momentum buided, ac has hit big fence too, but she has just drove through parity like butter, so will be interest to see how her hanlde previous lows
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #703,770
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:37pm Oct 5, 2012 12:37pm
Just seeing other currency falling so fast, I feel so stupid waiting EUR to fall....
  • #703,771
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:38pm Oct 5, 2012 12:38pm
It didn't manage to get a new high. I was hoping that after the retracement but unfortunately didn't happen. I'm short now till monday.
Work smarter,not harder
  • #703,772
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:40pm Oct 5, 2012 12:40pm
Yeah! I know what you mean. I think (after 1 year trading only EU/USD) will move on to another currency like AUD/USD because trends much better than EU.

Quoting forex_J
Just seeing other currency falling so fast, I feel so stupid waiting EUR to fall....
Work smarter,not harder
  • #703,773
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:41pm Oct 5, 2012 12:41pm
I had an intution that it may close flat and it alomst came close to yesterday's high. what is worrying me is JPY's weakness which is making me think twice whether to keep shorts open for next week.
  • #703,774
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:41pm Oct 5, 2012 12:41pm
Quoting Fortunecry
What's goin on?
LOL That's the Every Day Question
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #703,775
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:42pm Oct 5, 2012 12:42pm
Quoting bennyblanco
What is it about NFP day? Can't leave it alone even though I know I should, gambling mentality I guess

Glad i'm on hol next week, need it. Another week trying to be disciplined ending in failure, the NY session can't be traded by me so I need to accept that & leave it well alone.
Yeah...I know what you mean. Here I am trading the NY session. Got to learn to quit when ahead!
"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent"
  • #703,776
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:45pm Oct 5, 2012 12:45pm
Quoting Nachiket
I had an intution that it may close flat and it alomst came close to yesterday's high. what is worrying me is JPY's weakness which is making me think twice whether to keep shorts open for next week.
Could you explain why the weakness of JPY is relevant? Thanks.
  • #703,777
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:48pm Oct 5, 2012 12:48pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
nope 76 cent is her target
them are off lol 2 have tap fence 1 not to big cable little bigger fence, but there seem to be some momentum buided, ac has hit big fence too, but she has just drove through parity like butter, so will be interest to see how her hanlde previous lows
Sorry, it was what I wanted to say
  • #703,778
  • Edited 1:01pm Oct 5, 2012 12:48pm | Edited 1:01pm
Nice drop, about 25 pips, I hope it will continue in this north way

Anybody else holding shorts here? What are your targets?
  • #703,779
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:51pm Oct 5, 2012 12:51pm
Quoting anton.olff
Yeah...I know what you mean. Here I am trading the NY session. Got to learn to quit when ahead!
Me too. I constantly fail on this, I make great pip runs in London only losing some on anticipation of possible reversals that turn out to be continuations but not enough to erase my takes. NY reminds me I'm dumb and quick to the trigger.

On that note, I closed my almost hopeless short from 5 hours ago. I'm out, dodged a bullet.
  • #703,780
  • Oct 5, 2012 12:52pm Oct 5, 2012 12:52pm
Euro 3 min: Long @ .3028 quick scalp
Without VSA, you're playing checkers while the Smart Money plays chess.
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