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AUD/USD

  • #52,441
  • Sep 15, 2012 10:04am Sep 15, 2012 10:04am
Quoting 100PipsADay
In all fairness your long AUD/USD call was a gamble due to the MAJOR news event with FOMC.

There is no way anybody could have known 100% for sure what the outcome could be. But regardless, I'm glad you were profitable with your trades!
Trading is a probability game, not a certainty game. I traded with the trend, that's all.
  • #52,442
  • Sep 15, 2012 7:12pm Sep 15, 2012 7:12pm
Risk Off ??

European Bank Overhaul Meets Opposition From Finance Ministers


http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/16/bu...er=rss&emc=rss
  • #52,443
  • Sep 16, 2012 4:59am Sep 16, 2012 4:59am
I am still learning how to read the Cot report. Just watched a video about it on youtube.

I am slow learner.. so little by little it is sinking in. Since that report is a lagging indicator.. not sure how it will work with real time price action. As of last Tuesday.. non-commercial speculators were very heavy long on the AUD/USD long and very strong on the EUR/USD short. Just something to ponder for now.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,444
  • Sep 16, 2012 6:42am Sep 16, 2012 6:42am
Been watching the weekend rates on the Aussie and a couple of other pairs. The Aussie is now trading at 1.05445 (ask price). So, from its peak it has dropped 81.2 pips. So, now it is below the opening ask price of Friday which was 1.05471. So, it should be interesting to see where it will be when the major liquidity providers come back on line in the next 12 hours or less. If it stays at that price then we will get a gap down of 2.6 pips on the ask. During the weekend it did pop up to 1.0578. The highest that I saw it for the after hours was 1.05695. Also, with Japan having a bank holiday, I am wondering how far it will be pushed up or down with limited liquidity in the Asian session. Hmmmm.... time will tell.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,445
  • Sep 16, 2012 6:53am Sep 16, 2012 6:53am
Quoting Pair-me-up
Been watching the weekend rates on the Aussie and a couple of other pairs. The Aussie is now trading at 1.05445 (ask price). So, from its peak it has dropped 81.2 pips. So, now it is below the opening ask price of Friday which was 1.05471. So, it should be interesting to see where it will be when the major liquidity providers come back on line in the next 12 hours or less. If it stays at that price then we will get a gap down of 2.6 pips on the ask. During the weekend it did pop up to 1.0578. The highest that I saw it for the after hours was 1.05695....
hey u need to step back ur in too deep
  • #52,446
  • Sep 16, 2012 7:25am Sep 16, 2012 7:25am
Quoting sidhujag
hey u need to step back ur in too deep

I don't understand. How am I in too deep? I just simply posted my observation without any bias one way or the other.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,447
  • Sep 16, 2012 8:34am Sep 16, 2012 8:34am
AUD trading higher on Bernanke stimulus and Eurozone borrowing costs lowering, pushing USD lower not necessarily a higher aud relative to other currencies.
  • #52,448
  • Sep 16, 2012 9:13am Sep 16, 2012 9:13am
hello,

anyone here belives in double top at 1,06xx, despite QE3? Aussie should have been a leader after announcement ad it didn't happened..............
  • #52,449
  • Sep 16, 2012 1:28pm Sep 16, 2012 1:28pm
Quoting Pair-me-up
I don't understand. How am I in too deep? I just simply posted my observation without any bias one way or the other.
weekend price usually dont matter u gotta look when volume is high rest is noise. Weekend is also a time to take ur mind off work.
  • #52,450
  • Sep 16, 2012 4:34pm Sep 16, 2012 4:34pm
Quoting sidhujag
weekend price usually dont matter u gotta look when volume is high rest is noise. Weekend is also a time to take ur mind off work.

Where can I see the true volume on the foriegn exchange market.

Also, I relaxed on the weekend, went out with frieds, spent great time with m wife, and got some new books. I also like to use the weekend to study and prepare projections for the up coming trading week. Anyways.. it is Monday morning here. Although it is still the weekend for some people in the world. Have nice weekend if it is still Sunday for you.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,451
  • Sep 16, 2012 4:57pm Sep 16, 2012 4:57pm
Hi guys, I've had a couple of weeks in Australia researching the economy (A holiday with the family ) I didn't trade and am keen to get back into it. Looks like there have been some nice moves.
We are at an interesting point, a double top, and pretty much a pin bar on daily. Hope we all have a good week.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #52,452
  • Sep 16, 2012 5:01pm Sep 16, 2012 5:01pm
Intraday is up. Trend is bullish.
Good luck to you all today and this week.
  • #52,453
  • Sep 16, 2012 5:15pm Sep 16, 2012 5:15pm
Quoting Pair-me-up
Where can I see the true volume on the foriegn exchange market.

Also, I relaxed on the weekend, went out with frieds, spent great time with m wife, and got some new books. I also like to use the weekend to study and prepare projections for the up coming trading week. Anyways.. it is Monday morning here. Although it is still the weekend for some people in the world. Have nice weekend if it is still Sunday for you.
hi
you cant get true volume only change rate of
bids gives a good idea when volume is high.
  • #52,454
  • Sep 16, 2012 5:34pm Sep 16, 2012 5:34pm
Quoting sidhujag
hi
you cant get true volume only change rate of
bids gives a good idea when volume is high.
When you say change rate of bid.. Are you saying that when the spread widens or narrows is how an individual should calculate the hypothetical volume on the foreign exchange market?

If that is the case..Wow the market must have tons of volume about 6 or 7 hours before the Tokyo open everyday. I better wake up in the middle of the night to catch that great volume that is causing the spead to widen between the bid and the ask price.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,455
  • Sep 16, 2012 5:42pm Sep 16, 2012 5:42pm
Good morning everyone. Tokyo is closed today wouldn't expect major moves until london.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #52,456
  • Sep 16, 2012 5:50pm Sep 16, 2012 5:50pm
Looking to enter a long around the 1.04814 area with a stop loss at 1.04277. Will be looking for a TP of about 1.0700, but will watch the trade as it goes. This is off the 240 min chart. 200 MA, 38.2 fib, upward trend off the daily.

http://i.imgur.com/3aJwi.png
  • #52,457
  • Sep 16, 2012 6:36pm Sep 16, 2012 6:36pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...66#post6010966

per the last post we have topped out at the 127.2% at 1.0619 and have come back down to retest the lower rising trendline.

I have 1,200,000 still open but now closing 400,000 at this current level
  • #52,458
  • Sep 16, 2012 7:12pm Sep 16, 2012 7:12pm
Still holding my short from 1.0611 from last week
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #52,459
  • Sep 16, 2012 7:32pm Sep 16, 2012 7:32pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Still holding my short from 1.0611 from last week
And I put in more short @ 1.0550
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #52,460
  • Sep 16, 2012 7:34pm Sep 16, 2012 7:34pm
Quoting KillerWhale
And I put in more short @ 1.0550
First we need to go to 1.0435
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
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