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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #54,301
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:35am Sep 12, 2012 9:35am
They say breakfast is the most important meal of the day. I've switched my breakfast cereal to reflex what I expect during the day

http://holycrap.ca/product/holy-crap-cereal/
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I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #54,302
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:36am Sep 12, 2012 9:36am
Quoting lumesh
Sure, IF there's NO QE what so ever. I doubt that. Benny knows why markets are up and he can't come out and say: "sorry folks, you can start selling now". There's no point. Markets take a dive and the next month QE should be warranted.

I think tomorrow holds the following:
Benny will do QE without the QE. If you understand what i mean.

He has to give something but not through hard core expansion of the balance sheet. It's like he's eager to put a downside stop to equity market collapse...for now.

So, tomorrow is a soft QE day...language...
The fact that the crowd is front running the event is a sign that there will be disappointment. "Draghi Event" formerly known as "Buy the rumor, Sell the news" or "Buy the hope, Sell the reality"

Anyway, I agree Benny will deliver something tomorrow but I think it will be more in line with changing the current OpTwist target to GDP or unemployment instead of a specific date or $ amount. Perhaps, but not likely, an extension of the forward guidance on rate hikes to early 2015 from late 2014. Large Asset Purchases are definitely not in the card for tomorrow in my humble yet very strong and obnoxious opinion
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #54,303
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:54am Sep 12, 2012 9:54am
Nah, another day perhaps.

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  • #54,304
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:01am Sep 12, 2012 10:01am
Quoting rekon67
Nah, another day perhaps.

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if would to see that excel mext week
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,305
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:04am Sep 12, 2012 10:04am
Quoting rekon67
Nah, another day perhaps.

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Oh no... "Ok, reverse gears!"

Inserted Video


Fast forward to 5:15
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #54,306
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:05am Sep 12, 2012 10:05am
Quoting Cgb
But that is not the question Luis... Will the US dollar return to it's July highs and therefore cause the E/U pair to drop.
of course. happy to be short 1.2925
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,307
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:06am Sep 12, 2012 10:06am
Quoting Luis Carlos
if would to see that excel mext week
Higher High.
  • #54,308
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:13am Sep 12, 2012 10:13am
hmm... so i just woke up.... read about the GCC....

umm... isnt the fact the court ruled that the germans contributions are limited to 190bln actually "bad" news???

seems the ECB's unlimited help has become rather limited quickly....


Rally on Euro!! Rally on!
  • #54,309
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:16am Sep 12, 2012 10:16am
If fed is nt going to carry out anyaction n fomc disappoints tmr, i am saying:

Drop of 80 pips. Nothing more than 100. Because

1) qe hopium i believe has fizzled. Whahahaa
2) because pa is now in normal usual range.
3) short term bull n
4) the technical correction has happened 8 hours ago
😃😃😃😃😃😃😃😃😃
  • #54,310
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:21am Sep 12, 2012 10:21am
Quoting Wulfgar
umm... isnt the fact the court ruled that the germans contributions are limited to 190bln actually "bad" news???
They want to build up The Whole New Empty Box - ESM to amount of 500 Bn. So 190Bn ceiling from single member, is a lot. They wont even get close to limit, because other nations wont keep their promises.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,311
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:25am Sep 12, 2012 10:25am
Quoting ProfitsOnly
If fed is nt going to carry out anyaction n fomc disappoints tmr, i am saying:

Drop of 80 pips. Nothing more than 100. Because

1) qe hopium i believe has fizzled. Whahahaa
2) because pa is now in normal usual range.
3) short term bull n
4) the technical correction has happened 8 hours ago
������������������
What technical correction are you talking about? In my mind a correction would occur if we closed below a push upwards. Look at your daily chart, that has not happened since July 24th.
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #54,312
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:27am Sep 12, 2012 10:27am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
They want to build up The Whole New Empty Box - ESM to amount of 500 Bn. So 190Bn ceiling from single member, is a lot. They wont even get close to limit, because other nations wont keep their promises.

T
lame

oh well... cleared a few sheckles regardless ...

still lame though... funny watching the world ponzi itself...
  • #54,313
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:29am Sep 12, 2012 10:29am
Quoting Cgb
What technical correction are you talking about? In my mind a correction would occur if we closed below a push upwards. Look at your daily chart, that has not happened since July 24th.
Referring that 1 Min pull back is not any technical correction.
  • #54,314
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:33am Sep 12, 2012 10:33am
Quoting Wulfgar
.funny watching the world ponzi itself...
Yes, lame evolution indeed. One must admit it is fun to watch though. I think EU will ponzi itself down first .
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,315
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:41am Sep 12, 2012 10:41am
Quoting rekon67
Referring that 1 Min pull back is not any technical correction.
Ask pt, he knows what "tech correction" im talking about
  • #54,316
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:42am Sep 12, 2012 10:42am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Yes, lame evolution indeed. One must admit it is fun to watch though. I think EU will ponzi itself down first .
They cannot ponzi themselves if they have a credit limit.
Instead they will bankrupt themselves.
Greece first
Spain second
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #54,317
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:42am Sep 12, 2012 10:42am
Quoting ProfitsOnly
Ask pt, he knows what "tech correction" im talking about
Am sure I do not need to ask him.

And this adds more closer chance for an "Extreme Positive Reversal"
  • #54,318
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:43am Sep 12, 2012 10:43am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Yes, lame evolution indeed. One must admit it is fun to watch though. I think EU will ponzi itself down first .
Well they are frontrunnin the whole thing on how inflating debt away is a no win situation and just prolongs the inevitable

Im for the deflation theory as opposed to hyperinflation...
one only needs to look at Japan to see how it works ultimately.

Its only speculation but I think if things get bad enough in Europe we will see them work a way for the ECB to embark on unsterilized bond purchases... then the fioreworks will really begin
  • #54,319
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:47am Sep 12, 2012 10:47am
Haha, quite far my friend, but I am with you. We are going to get a lot more of can kicking and monetary easing. If you cant borrow cause insolvent, monetizing is all whats left. Those who are at power profiting from ponzi wont give up their fight.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,320
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:48am Sep 12, 2012 10:48am
Quoting Wulfgar
one only needs to look at Japan to see how it works ultimately.
Mate I keep on hearing about Japan lately. Dont you have some nice article I could read please?

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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