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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #54,241
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:21am Sep 12, 2012 7:21am
I've never posted here before but am a long time reader of the thread and enjoy reading it.

Just a quick question for you guys,

If the Fed announces tomorrow that there will be no QE, how far do you think the pair will drop within the day before pulling back or do you suspect it will be a free fall for a few days to an earlier level?

On the other hand how far do you think there will be a big boost to the upside if the QE is announced. Just seems like a lot might already be priced in.

Thanks
  • #54,242
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:22am Sep 12, 2012 7:22am
guys 1.2933 was reached. thats is the top.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,243
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:25am Sep 12, 2012 7:25am
Quoting Luis Carlos
guys 1.2933 was reached. thats is the top.

based on?
  • #54,244
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:27am Sep 12, 2012 7:27am
ew and .618 fib I gave thats number to cgb once friday
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,245
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:30am Sep 12, 2012 7:30am
Quoting Luis Carlos
ew and .618 fib I gave thats number to cgb once friday
lol
  • #54,246
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:33am Sep 12, 2012 7:33am
Quoting rekon67
lol
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,247
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:33am Sep 12, 2012 7:33am
Quoting Luis Carlos
guys 1.2933 was reached. thats is the top.
I hope you're correct coz I'm getting very close to break even on my latest batch of swing trades. I do not want to go underwater so there is only so long I will stay in the market. Around 1.3250 area is my limit if I don't add any more shorts.

Hail EW
Hail EW
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #54,248
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:36am Sep 12, 2012 7:36am
Quoting PipTrapper
I hope you're correct coz I'm getting very close to break even on my latest batch of swing trades. I do not want to go underwater so there is only so long I will stay in the market. Around 1.3250 area is my limit if I don't add any more shorts.

Hail EW
Hail EW
I need to have a look on my Excel Indi once I reach home.
  • #54,249
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:39am Sep 12, 2012 7:39am
Quoting PipTrapper
I hope you're correct coz I'm getting very close to break even on my latest batch of swing trades. I do not want to go underwater so there is only so long I will stay in the market. Around 1.3250 area is my limit if I don't add any more shorts.

Hail EW
Hail EW
@1.3251 it goes back to test 1.23xx
Inflation in things we need, Deflation in things we want.
  • #54,250
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:41am Sep 12, 2012 7:41am
Quoting PipTrapper
I hope you're correct coz I'm getting very close to break even on my latest batch of swing trades. I do not want to go underwater so there is only so long I will stay in the market. Around 1.3250 area is my limit if I don't add any more shorts.

Hail EW
Hail EW

for me just 1.30. you believe me that 1.15 still has .5 of probabilitis
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,251
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:47am Sep 12, 2012 7:47am
Quoting rekon67
I need to have a look on my Excel Indi once I reach home.
Run Forrest, run!
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #54,252
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:49am Sep 12, 2012 7:49am
I think it will def retest. We shall see. I think 50 probably is a better number but hey....
  • #54,253
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:55am Sep 12, 2012 7:55am
dont forget the pullback 1.32 to 1.42 lastyear
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,254
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:55am Sep 12, 2012 7:55am
Quoting Luis Carlos
for me just 1.30. you believe me that 1.15 still has .5 of probabilitis
If we have a confirmation candle below 1.2440 on the weekly, I'd say you have a 50% chance of reaching that low.
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #54,255
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:56am Sep 12, 2012 7:56am
Quoting Luis Carlos
guys 1.2933 was reached. thats is the top.
Do you mean for today or this is the top for this pair and on it's way down?
  • #54,256
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:58am Sep 12, 2012 7:58am
Quoting Thijs
@1.3251 it goes back to test 1.23xx
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #54,257
  • Sep 12, 2012 8:01am Sep 12, 2012 8:01am
Quoting Ken A
Do you mean for today or this is the top for this pair and on it's way down?
He means it's on its way down. This is it. The top of the bullish correction is a bearish trend.

ADD: I'll believe it tomorrow after the FOMC rate statement disappoints the market.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #54,258
  • Sep 12, 2012 8:02am Sep 12, 2012 8:02am
[quote=Ken A;6005750]Do you mean for today or this is the top for this pair and on it's way down?[/ QUOTE]

on its way download . i think break 1.238 the prob is 1.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #54,259
  • Sep 12, 2012 8:04am Sep 12, 2012 8:04am
Quoting PipTrapper
He means it's on its way down. This is it. The top of the bullish correction is a bearish trend.

ADD: I'll believe it tomorrow after the FOMC rate statement disappoints the market.
Nice, I still need time to think if I should close the long now with 150 pips or hang on till Thursday after FMOC.
  • #54,260
  • Sep 12, 2012 8:04am Sep 12, 2012 8:04am
So let's get serious for a minute here. I want to take a poll of what you other traders think will happen if the Fed does not launch QE3

I say the USD gets bid back up to the July highs and beyond and equities/commodities take a dive.

What say you?
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
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