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  • #689,281
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:48am Sep 7, 2012 6:48am
Quoting mohan76
moved your s/l from 1.2750 ? , looks some one targeting your s/l
LOL
"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon."
  • #689,282
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:48am Sep 7, 2012 6:48am
Quoting divak
1 month climbing, first on nothing, then on BS of a QE3 that wont happen, now on some positive EU news, though conditionality on bond buying is still complete darkness...
I'm convinced it will fall. Then i may be wrong.

But i prefer to lose a lot on something i believe in than winning without any fucking clue.
I totally agree with you. This movement is kind of ridiculous. Buy the rumor, sell the new I guess. I have short at 1.275 level.

Rule 1: Have confidence in your trade. Rule 2: Have conviction in your trade.
  • #689,283
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:50am Sep 7, 2012 6:50am
Normal range for todays hourly NFP 1.2600 - 1.2750.

Wider 1.2550 - 1.2800.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #689,284
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:51am Sep 7, 2012 6:51am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Market makers want stops ran and 100 pip range for this pair.
They got their 100 pip range.

You are right though. Run the stops before Ben, then bring it back to an equilibrium point, then make the real move.

Do people honestly expect Ben to give us QE3 TODAY (obviously its coming someday) when its already so heavily priced into the market?

I just don't see it. Maybe in Q1 2013 after the market destroys the Euro.

But if we do get it, of course its a game changer, and I will add to my metal positions.


IMO 2746 or a stop hunt is still possible today, not likely but possible (not likely because of the large daily range already without any decent retracements to speak of)
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #689,285
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:51am Sep 7, 2012 6:51am
Dont panic if u short.
We forgot german bundestad at september 12th.

that created new expectation. the reaction we will see next week.
i think its going to hit 2750-2800 maximum. then the up trend channel will
stop.

i will keep my shorts 2625 and 2670 cause i see that maksimum is 2800. no more.

today euro is rising due to spain and italy 10y bonds.
ECB action. its short term action.
cause next week those bonds yields will start rising again.
  • #689,286
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:53am Sep 7, 2012 6:53am
but i actually was thinking that 2700 will be max.
faking masons from all over the world.
  • #689,287
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:53am Sep 7, 2012 6:53am
Quoting Mike8
LOL
still holding your long term trade ?
Mohan
  • #689,288
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:55am Sep 7, 2012 6:55am
Quoting mohan76
still holding your long term trade ?
cable has pierce bottom todays zone , just pierce at this stage but i will take every little effort my bears put in 5 min to hr close
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #689,289
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:55am Sep 7, 2012 6:55am
sometimes i got i feeling that those fat asses from JP morgan reading our comments.
  • #689,290
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:56am Sep 7, 2012 6:56am
Quoting Trader88q
Dont panic if u short.
We forgot german bundestad at september 12th.

that created new expectation. the reaction we will see next week.
i think its going to hit 2750-2800 maximum. then the up trend channel will
stop.

i will keep my shorts 2625 and 2670 cause i see that maksimum is 2800. no more.

today euro is rising due to spain and italy 10y bonds.
ECB action. its short term action.
cause next week those bonds yields will start rising again.
but outcome likly to be favor of ESM , but i will not trade any $ pair on that day
Mohan
  • #689,291
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:57am Sep 7, 2012 6:57am
Quoting Trader88q
Dont panic if u short.
We forgot german bundestad at september 12th.

that created new expectation. the reaction we will see next week.
i think its going to hit 2750-2800 maximum. then the up trend channel will
stop.

i will keep my shorts 2625 and 2670 cause i see that maksimum is 2800. no more.

today euro is rising due to spain and italy 10y bonds.
ECB action. its short term action.
cause next week those bonds yields will start rising again.
==================

You right.
Personalli I will sell when 10Y BTP-Bund wil be below 300 (250 better)
  • #689,292
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:57am Sep 7, 2012 6:57am
Quoting divak
1 month climbing, first on nothing, then on BS of a QE3 that wont happen, now on some positive EU news, though conditionality on bond buying is still complete darkness...
I'm convinced it will fall. Then i may be wrong.

But i prefer to lose a lot on something i believe in than winning without any fucking clue.

And i'd rather be lucky than clever.

Follow price,not what some "hairdryer"
on the TV says.
Just IMHO.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #689,293
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:57am Sep 7, 2012 6:57am
it has to reach 161.8%
I think still has space for bull profit 45 tick.
and then down back to 1.26500 ????????????????
  • #689,294
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:57am Sep 7, 2012 6:57am
Quoting droox
Usually i don't trade long term , but there is a high probability for a big correction to 1,2950 level . I see 3 levels which should be taken to confirm this scenario.

First one 1,2142 (4th wave of the 1,2326-1,2038 move) already taken.
Second one 1,2326 (4th wave of the 1,2752-1,2038 move)
Third one 1,2752(4th wave of the 1,3488 - 1,2038 move)

My plan is to add longs on each pullback unil 1,3000 where i will adjust my stops or will take some profits.

Moreover the montly time frame is oversold and
close to a big support a previuos...
Looks like i was right
  • #689,295
  • Sep 7, 2012 6:58am Sep 7, 2012 6:58am
Quoting onlyfortrade
According to future marketing we can expect nice opening of US opening till now, now if NFP positive + London closing = ???
It will range in 1.26650 /1.26850 , waiting for 12 Of Sep to continue the journey north. However, i don't think Futures or even anything is effecting EUR today except NFP ... today EUR is driving ! ( cable is falling, and Gold - but Euro keeps moving up )

Plus : There is 80% Probability that NFP is negative
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #689,296
  • Sep 7, 2012 7:01am Sep 7, 2012 7:01am
Quoting Trader88q
Dont panic if u short.
We forgot german bundestad at september 12th.

that created new expectation. the reaction we will see next week.
i think its going to hit 2750-2800 maximum. then the up trend channel will
stop.

i will keep my shorts 2625 and 2670 cause i see that maksimum is 2800. no more.

today euro is rising due to spain and italy 10y bonds.
ECB action. its short term action.
cause next week those bonds yields will start rising again.
yes that is exactly what is going on

and people forget there is still a trendline above here..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU-Daily-9-7-2012.jpg Size: 417 KB
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #689,297
  • Sep 7, 2012 7:01am Sep 7, 2012 7:01am
Quoting Trader88q
sometimes i got i feeling that those fat asses from JP morgan reading our comments.
GS says 1.3 so I assume E/U definitely turns before that
  • #689,298
  • Sep 7, 2012 7:03am Sep 7, 2012 7:03am
laugh a little about this chart eur / usd!!by the way i'm short.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: xxx.jpg Size: 32 KB
  • #689,299
  • Sep 7, 2012 7:03am Sep 7, 2012 7:03am
i think we will drop big time today, just question is from where. if we go above 760 than shorts should be careful
  • #689,300
  • Sep 7, 2012 7:03am Sep 7, 2012 7:03am
Quoting droox
Looks like i was right

Great call.
Shame you didn't update it as we moved higher though.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
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