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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

You talk the talk I walk the talk 8 replies

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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #31,661
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:04pm Sep 6, 2012 4:04pm
Quoting smikester
Sorry mate, someone else might have an opinion. Baz and Ingmar are trying to mash my swede again. G'nite all.
Night bro.
  • #31,662
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:11pm Sep 6, 2012 4:11pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Naah but Jim is just verry rich he can withstand huge drawdowns etc this guy when it drops more he buys bit more same with selling if he has certain view remember when all agriculturals where falling, He was buying people thought he was crazy well where they now all time highs most, So dont underestimate him but ya need huge cash. Also he is contrarian by nature so when everybody is heavilly short or long he takes slow positions opposite side ussualy markets do agressive snapback or reversal when it is at extreme not always. But thats his vie independent...
Exactly..thats what i mean..HE is BLOODY RICH..and also TRADE without a SL..as he always says , his TIMING is LOUSY ..
So untill i make what he makes..i have to use a SL..!!

take care Buddy ..and i will see you Guys later

baz
  • #31,663
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:18pm Sep 6, 2012 4:18pm
it is probably a price anomaly, double o 7

the Democratic National Convention is on tonight and Obama is giving a speech

appearances.;....cannot having the news headline reading OIL breaks $100 and front running the TOTUS.........Americans see price at the pump, and lower OIL price adds big numbers to the ec.......out of sight out of mind

OIL is very manipulated, but then again what is not these days

my take for what that is worth

Quoting fasy007
there seems to be some sort of reverse correlation btw usoil and us/cad, at the moment usoil is down but usd/cad has not responded in kind , is it possible that there might be some sort of a delayed response by usd/cad as on some occasions usoil peaked before we could see the appropriate reaction in usd/cad , wat u guys think???///
  • #31,664
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:27pm Sep 6, 2012 4:27pm
Quoting fasy007
there seems to be some sort of reverse correlation btw usoil and us/cad, at the moment usoil is down but usd/cad has not responded in kind , is it possible that there might be some sort of a delayed response by usd/cad as on some occasions usoil peaked before we could see the appropriate reaction in usd/cad , wat u guys think???///
Hi fas007 to be honiest the oil is ok correlated with the cad right but the spread is nice here ussualy you could setup a spread trade i never did this with oil and cad but bassicly when those 2 are in past good correlated around 75 to 80% there is good change they will snapback. Close the spread now it isnt so easy because you need to calculate the volatilty according lotsize so x amount atr etc.Oil is way more volatile then the cad Also the spread isnt that huge atractive right now.
Also this 1 is to risky imo i dont know with this 1 but you pointed this out so made me look bit more 2 it.
Yeah it could be that the oil market is hinting here something but i wouldnt trade on this alone alwell roro pointed out usdcad on support back from may. But in this case on this support myslef i would be waiting for a flush of the lows and then a dailly close above or see somekind of pinbar 4h there tommorow if you wanna buy usdcad. So that would be my trading plan for usdcad. On oil if you wanna sell i would watch res around 95.80 but i wouldnt short direct in to it so fade the level it isnt strong enough in my criteria for that. So would be same scenario wanna see some price action confirmation there. That would be my plan.

Here chart on them overlayed green is usdcad red wti. You see also that the spread sometimes can extend big.
Not sure if that answer your question..
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  • #31,665
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:30pm Sep 6, 2012 4:30pm
Quoting roro53
it is probably a price anomaly, double o 7

the Democratic National Convention is on tonight and Obama is giving a speech

appearances.;....cannot having the news headline reading OIL breaks $100 and front running the TOTUS.........Americans see price at the pump, and lower OIL price adds big numbers to the ec.......out of sight out of mind

OIL is very manipulated, but then again what is not these days

my take for what that is worth
Yeah manipulated bitches in that market lol Biggest stophunter of them all
  • #31,666
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:36pm Sep 6, 2012 4:36pm
Roro Gemma asked if you tommorow also at the pool
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  • #31,667
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:41pm Sep 6, 2012 4:41pm
thanks ingmarforex and roro53
  • #31,668
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:43pm Sep 6, 2012 4:43pm
Quoting fasy007
thanks ingmarforex and roro53
Welcome mate
  • #31,669
  • Sep 6, 2012 4:44pm Sep 6, 2012 4:44pm
She cant sing but thats oke that doesnt matter


Inserted Video
  • #31,670
  • Sep 6, 2012 5:05pm Sep 6, 2012 5:05pm
Quoting baz
Have a look at what JIM ROGERS says..i respect this Guys View.. BUT cant trade the way he DOES...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3G57H...em-uploademail

baz
interesting perspective on an intended/ controlled slowdown in China to reign in inflation and cool off the over-priced property markets contrasted to the NA press spinning it relentlessly as an overwhelming negative without Roger's insights
  • #31,671
  • Sep 6, 2012 5:24pm Sep 6, 2012 5:24pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Roro Gemma asked if you tommorow also at the pool
3 days left in the pool........i will miss it
  • #31,672
  • Edited 8:06pm Sep 6, 2012 7:54pm | Edited 8:06pm
Does anyone have a strategy they use for NFP?

It has been over a year since I watched charts on a Friday, and NFP normally does not tempt me to jump in a roller coaster move.

I only have 1 hour each morning to trade, then I trade Asia session when possible, but it would be nice to pick some extra profits this week.

Thanks.

N2

AUD/USD 1 HR Chart
Super slow market, but I still do 10 pair analysis to find patterns that could end up being a trade.... 1Hr to 15min is normal procedure on the hour..
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  • #31,673
  • Sep 6, 2012 7:58pm Sep 6, 2012 7:58pm
Bullish.. pattens.. JY cross and AUD cross.. ?? will watch for retrace and hi sde
  • #31,674
  • Sep 6, 2012 8:59pm Sep 6, 2012 8:59pm
Will price go UP or DOWN???

Does it matter.......
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  • #31,675
  • Sep 6, 2012 11:31pm Sep 6, 2012 11:31pm
........this is what i'm talking about, dicoupling of the two pairs, both going up, wird, never happens.........notice moving averages going oposite ways

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The Chonchy
  • #31,676
  • Sep 7, 2012 12:02am Sep 7, 2012 12:02am
Quoting chonchy
........this is what i'm talking about, dicoupling of the two pairs, both going up, wird, never happens.........notice moving averages going oposite ways

Attachment
I tam just watching them and when direction changes.. Ie ma/ by engulf candles or pins going different ways..then put yr monie on.. i find it with the USDx and EUROX.. both go same ways and then bang change direction.. these 2 indexes do it quite often.. when direction starts to change usual u get clear signals with the crosses
  • #31,677
  • Sep 7, 2012 12:09am Sep 7, 2012 12:09am
Quoting danc
I tam just watching them and when direction changes.. Ie ma/ by engulf candles or pins going different ways..then put yr monie on.. i find it with the USDx and EUROX.. both go same ways and then bang change direction.. these 2 indexes do it quite often.. when direction starts to change usual u get clear signals with the crosses
I'm telling you man, I trade this two pairs everyday, they are my bread and buther, and I have never seing anything like this since 2009 but going down, some is very, very wrong here, this two pairs never do this, never.....

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The Chonchy
  • #31,678
  • Sep 7, 2012 12:16am Sep 7, 2012 12:16am
Quoting danc
I tam just watching them and when direction changes.. Ie ma/ by engulf candles or pins going different ways..then put yr monie on.. i find it with the USDx and EUROX.. both go same ways and then bang change direction.. these 2 indexes do it quite often.. when direction starts to change usual u get clear signals with the crosses
......It sure look like what you are saying but I'm realy freak out, I was short the franc as a hedge and now I'm concern with this mess...
The Chonchy
  • #31,679
  • Sep 7, 2012 12:17am Sep 7, 2012 12:17am
15 min direction change now??sorry didnt see above post
  • #31,680
  • Sep 7, 2012 12:22am Sep 7, 2012 12:22am
wait see if this continues engulf patten.. or closes as such.. or take chance??usdx30 min
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