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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #52,441
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:17am Sep 5, 2012 6:17am
Quoting Cgb
Still learning to get a feel for the signals. Not quite confident yet with them. I had 1.2555/57 to short but it never got that high (54 was highest).
No worries buddy. U should consider demo testing instead of live until you are ready to add it to your arsenal. Just a thought.
  • #52,442
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:17am Sep 5, 2012 6:17am
Quoting mka_78
My sell limit was missed again by 1 pip
dont be scare if u had a good plan and money management...
Relax!
  • #52,443
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:19am Sep 5, 2012 6:19am
Quoting FXSwissTrader
No worries buddy. U should consider demo testing instead of live until you are ready to add it to your arsenal. Just a thought.
sometimes it is not good to take a long time with demo...
You can't feel it ... it's true..

So trade it..
  • #52,444
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:22am Sep 5, 2012 6:22am
Quoting smilemiz
dont be scare if u had a good plan and money management...
Relax!
not scared at all and I don't regret any trade i enter, i am just learning to be more patient and not to run after pips, I want them to come to me
  • #52,445
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:23am Sep 5, 2012 6:23am
Quoting mka_78
not scared at all and I don't regret any trade i enter, i am just learning to be patient and not to run after pips, I want them to come to me

  • #52,446
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:24am Sep 5, 2012 6:24am
Quoting smilemiz
sometimes it is not good to take a long time with demo...
You can't feel it ... it's true..

So trade it..
I was going to write the same thing. Perhaps the alternative is to trade micro lots until I get a better feel for it.
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #52,447
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:27am Sep 5, 2012 6:27am
Quoting Cgb
I was going to write the same thing. Perhaps the alternative is to trade micro lots until I get a better feel for it.
Just wondering why you and our Austrian(mka78) friend chose sell limits at 1.2555?
  • #52,448
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:29am Sep 5, 2012 6:29am
Quoting Cgb
I was going to write the same thing. Perhaps the alternative is to trade micro lots until I get a better feel for it.
alright...that's good....

and being pretending that the micro lot is a standard lot that we need to care it so much. Love it and trying to make a good trades

always cautious and not be easily to trade just because it is micro lot
  • #52,449
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:30am Sep 5, 2012 6:30am
Quotes from Societe Generale Cross Asset Research:

-The CAD has enjoyed a stellar year so far, posting solid gains vs all its G10 counterparts including the EUR (+6.6%), the USD (+3.2%) and GBP (+1.3%). On a quarterly basis, the currency also tops the charts in Q3, following the shift towards a more hawkish posture by the central bank, which has seen markets start to price in a 25bp tightening in policy rates.

-However, the futures curve has flatlined over the last month following the initial parallel shift, and this makes the currency more susceptible to surrendering gains, should tightening expectations be pushed forward. A worsening of the global macro backdrop and softening of oil prices into Q4 could, in equal measure, take the gloss off the currency into the latter part of 2012.
  • #52,450
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:31am Sep 5, 2012 6:31am
Quoting Cgb
I was going to write the same thing. Perhaps the alternative is to trade micro lots until I get a better feel for it.

I started like this, using a real account with 0.01 lot. I have made more profit in demo than in the real one and the reason is the feeling.
  • #52,451
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:32am Sep 5, 2012 6:32am
Quoting FXSwissTrader
Just wondering why you and our Austrian(mka78) friend chose sell limits at 1.2555?
For me it was the 200SMA on the hourly, weekly pivot and the bottom of yesterday's Market Profile box.

EDIT: That was the 55EMA on hourly, or near to it.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_Sep05_0730.gif Size: 189 KB
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #52,452
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:34am Sep 5, 2012 6:34am


Quoting smilemiz
alright...that's good....

and being pretending that the micro lot is a standard lot that we need to care it so much. Love it and trying to make a good trades

always cautious and not be easily to trade just because it is micro lot
AM Signal Provider
  • #52,453
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:34am Sep 5, 2012 6:34am
Quoting foto
Much ECB money comes from swap lines with the other C.B's to reliquify banks as private monies exit Europe.

Backdoor QE globaly has certainly been happening. But that money still has to be repaid so it is not theoreticaly unlimited. Am sure the Central Bankers would swear to heaven that it is all on the up and up. The ECB does have some political threshold as to balance sheet expansion and Germanys Weidman's disassociation from ECB policy makers is the beginning rumbles of public discontent.

I do wish that we could get some clearer direction...
Mate pls could you expand on those South China Sea tensions? One of my conspirational theories says if OhBummer is loosing, he is going to a)run QE b)Charge Syria or Iran. So, I dont know what is happening, but can imagine China flexing muscles to prevent the attack.

Regarding backdoor QE, sure it is happening and sure it has to be payed back. But imo the payback wont be that harsh, since swap rates are really low. In fact, and that is something we should also be looking at, BB spoke about lowering of those rates at Jackson. Not about future lowering, but he consideres lowering of those rates beeing success. So this is another policy tool he can use to prop up the markets. Let me quote him:

"Federal Reserve took extraordinary steps to provide liquidity and support credit market functioning, including the establishment of a number of emergency lending facilities and the creation or extension of currency swap agreements with 14 central banks around the world."

"These actions--along with a host of interventions by other policymakers in the United States and throughout the world--helped stabilize global financial markets, which in turn served to check the deterioration in the real economy and the emergence of deflationary pressures. "

In the end of speech, he clearly stated FED is going to use policies which worked in the past (Which, according to his speech, is everything he did).

Regarding Weidman, thats just a political game in Germany. I dont know the exact voting system in ECB governing council, but am sure it is not 100% has to be pro buying. There are 17 members and only one Weidman. He cant stop em.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #52,454
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:35am Sep 5, 2012 6:35am
Quoting FXSwissTrader
Just wondering why you and our Austrian(mka78) friend chose sell limits at 1.2555?
5 pips below weekly pivot, 55ema hourly, 100sma hourly should offer good res
ADD: CGB was faster but we had the same point of view
  • #52,455
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:37am Sep 5, 2012 6:37am
Quoting mka_78



I started like this, using a real account with 0.01 lot. I have made more profit in demo than in the real one and the reason is the feeling.
And 0.001 lot = $ ? Can you grab a hamburger with that?
  • #52,456
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:38am Sep 5, 2012 6:38am
Quoting Cgb
For me it was the 200SMA on the hourly, weekly pivot and the bottom of yesterday's Market Profile box.

EDIT: That was the 55EMA on hourly, or near to it.
Look to the left. You see the cluster of POC's? The top POC of the cluster should be the safest to use if you were to short at these levels. My short level is higher but that's just me. GL to us all.
  • #52,457
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:40am Sep 5, 2012 6:40am
Quoting Ken A
And 0.001 lot = $ ? Can you grab a hamburger with that?
First i don't eat junk food
well with 100pips daily that's 10$ you can have a nice breakfast with it,right? At least it's REAL money.
  • #52,458
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:43am Sep 5, 2012 6:43am
Quoting mka_78
First i don't eat junk food
well with 100pips daily that's 10$ you can have a nice breakfast with it,right? At least it's REAL money.
You can have very good meal at McDonald's or KFC for that.
  • #52,459
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:44am Sep 5, 2012 6:44am
Quoting FXSwissTrader
Look to the left. You see the cluster of POC's? The top POC of the cluster should be the safest to use if you were to short at these levels. My short level is higher but that's just me. GL to us all.
Just to be clear, are you talking about these?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_Sep05_0742.gif Size: 192 KB
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #52,460
  • Sep 5, 2012 6:44am Sep 5, 2012 6:44am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Mate pls could you expand on those South China Sea tensions? One of my conspirational theories says if OhBummer is loosing, he is going to a)run QE b)Charge Syria or Iran. So, I dont know what is happening, but can imagine China flexing muscles to prevent the attack.

Regarding backdoor QE, sure it is happening and sure it has to be payed back. But imo the payback wont be that harsh, since swap rates are really low. In fact, and that is something we should also be looking at, BB spoke about lowering of those rates at Jackson. Not about...
South China Sea would be the tensions between PRC (Peoples Republic Of China - Mainland China) and ROC (Republic Of China - Taiwan) separated during the civil war.

You have too many conspiracy theories that make me think my Anti-Virus is on the take.
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