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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

Man,

I gotta get outa these trades so I can split this freakin account into sub-accounts for position trades and scalping both ways.I have missed any long scalps today and it is holding me back from becoming full-time due to missing the other side of the coin!

I wish I had the foresight at the time to do this but hey, rules change and if you don't learn how to circumvent the rules this is what you get, a dumba$$ like me!

I hate the NFA and CFTC!
Quoting FXSwissTrader
DAX just broke the 7000 mark!
Thx.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
Quoting PipTrapper
and then it's called "corruptelation"
very good !!!!
Quoting PipTrapper
Straight ahead to JackA$$Hole

Probably get some risk-on sentiment today, so we may see the E/U challenge 1.2600
Depends how strong the barrier option is
Quoting Doji Star
The New Normal in forex:
$ positive news = sell $ and $ negative news = buy $.
This is starting to get on my nerves.
Actually that is the normal market reaction in a "risk-on/risk-off" paradigm.

Risk-on: Capital flows out of US bonds into foreign higher yielding risk assets = USD negative
Risk-off: Capital flows out of foreign risk assets into USD safe haven bonds = USD positive.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
Quoting Gofer Pips
Depends how strong the barrier option is
I said challenge... not break

http://graphics.moneyshow.com/keywor..._13_145x81.png
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
Quoting Gofer Pips
Man,

I gotta get outa these trades so I can split this freakin account into sub-accounts for position trades and scalping both ways.I have missed any long scalps today and it is holding me back from becoming full-time due to missing the other side of the coin!

I wish I had the foresight at the time to do this but hey, rules change and if you don't learn how to circumvent the rules this is what you get, a dumba$$ like me!

I hate the NFA and CFTC!
Never too late. One account for long, one for short and one swap free for aux. The rules are to protect brokers.
Ping pong
1.257 - 1.2535
Quoting PipTrapper
Actually that is the normal market reaction in a "risk-on/risk-off" paradigm.

Risk-on: Capital flows out of US bonds into foreign higher yielding risk assets = USD negative
Risk-off: Capital flows out of foreign risk assets into USD safe haven bonds = USD positive.
Gotcha
Quoting PipTrapper
Actually that is the normal market reaction in a "risk-on/risk-off" paradigm.

Risk-on: Capital flows out of US bonds into foreign higher yielding risk assets = USD negative
Risk-off: Capital flows out of foreign risk assets into USD safe haven bonds = USD positive.
IMO

Need to explain this a bit in the Kindergarten.

This will help a lot, In understanding the idea of news effecting price.

It will help us to read the 'news' and 'risk on off' effect on PA.
Quoting amr10000
IMO

Need to explain this a bit in the Kindergarten.

This will help a lot, In understanding the idea of news effecting price.

It will help us to read the 'news' and 'risk on off' effect on PA.
I'll get to that in my next submission... but obviously not right now. I'll post a link to it here once it's done.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
Quoting PipTrapper
Actually that is the normal market reaction in a "risk-on/risk-off" paradigm.

Risk-on: Capital flows out of US bonds into foreign higher yielding risk assets = USD negative
Risk-off: Capital flows out of foreign risk assets into USD safe haven bonds = USD positive.
Normally. Yesterday certainly wasn't the case.
I observe your reality but live my own.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...mic-zones.html

The Greek government said it is planning to launch Chinese-style “economic zones” with special tax and regulatory breaks in a desperate bid to attract foreign investment.
Inflation in things we need, Deflation in things we want.
Quoting Cgb
Normally. Yesterday certainly wasn't the case.
These aren't normal times my friend. Wait until after Benny disappoints. Then you'll see normal
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
Quoting Cgb
Normally. Yesterday certainly wasn't the case.
It is but some of the USD flows into EZ Bonds.
Quoting Thijs
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...mic-zones.html

The Greek government said it is planning to launch Chinese-style “economic zones” with special tax and regulatory breaks in a desperate bid to attract foreign investment.
Hmmm. Foreign investment in a politically corrupt country that will eventually have no choice but to implement protectionist policies just to be able to feed the population coz the EU's tit will not be giving any more milk.

Sure why not? I'll invest in one Greek olive tree and hedge that investment with a few thousand shares in BMW
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
You know I dont draw trendlines, but imo price is consolidating in that "wtf those are not proper trendlines" formation. Goal for bears is to close H1 below lowest h4 close, which is ,254. Since bulls failed multiple times in breaking ,257, bears could make it, and therefore make wave c (4) to complete StupidTomWave pattern as well as Igor HaS @245. Lets wait for Yankees, this could still be only profit taking from intraweek longs, before NY opens.

T
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h1.gif Size: 26 KB
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
Quoting PipTrapper
Hmmm. Foreign investment in a politically corrupt country that will eventually have no choice but to implement protectionist policies just to be able to feed the population coz the EU's tit will not be giving any more milk.

Sure why not? I'll invest in one Greek olive tree and hedge that investment with a few thousand shares in BMW
Won't be very valuable if Bernutty continues to devalue dollar and Euro goes up as no one will be able to afford to buy until they cheapen manufacturing and end up being an average car company. If they don't then huge downsizing will occur in manufacturing sector would be my guess.

My guess is gravity will eventually take care of the oxymoron pair.
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Lol. Correlation works, untill it doesnt.
Well, IMO the main problem is that most of traders that talk about correlation (in FF at least) don't understand what is correlated with what and when.

So they take for example, risk on/off as the "holy grail" or the "only" 100% inversely proportional relation in the markets.

You can see in this examples, that those traders have only been a couple of years top of experience and they have only seen the major panic (EZ debt) and manic (QEs) and "make" their own "translation to intraday"/ conclusions.... The point in this is example is not that risk on/off is invalid but the key is when this is taking place and which instruments you need to track to see it and when we are trading some other correlation (inverse or proportional) and when a currency is actually in the lead....

In simple words, correlation works all the time, the problem is knowing what are the conditions, when to follow them and when to know that a direct move has the preference .... as everything else in trading correlation is very useful info but only if you use them properly and not as the almost scientific holy grail that never changes....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
Quoting sisse
Well, IMO the main problem is that most of traders that talk about correlation (in FF at least) don't understand what is correlated with what and when.

So they take for example, risk on/off as the "holy grail" or the "only" 100% inversely proportional relation in the markets.

You can see in this examples, that those traders have only been a couple of years top of experience and they have only seen the major panic (EZ debt) and manic (QEs) and "make" their conclusions.... The point in this is example is not that risk on/off is valid...
Excellent as always sisse!

Markets are dynamic. As such, correlations must follow underlying fundamentals of what is driving market
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