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Elliott wave outlook

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  • #741
  • Aug 21, 2012 2:23pm Aug 21, 2012 2:23pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
THe short was at 1.0510. Now no good RR
I agree with LC... the optimum short was from higher up...

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #742
  • Aug 21, 2012 2:43pm Aug 21, 2012 2:43pm
OLU, that target should be up in the area in the chart..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ago21euro4h.jpg Size: 75 KB
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #743
  • Aug 21, 2012 2:53pm Aug 21, 2012 2:53pm
Another count same target...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ago21euro4h2.png Size: 46 KB
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #744
  • Aug 21, 2012 2:59pm Aug 21, 2012 2:59pm
:nerd:
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ago21euro1h.png Size: 67 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURO 1H View 2.jpg Size: 128 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: ago21euro4h.jpg Size: 75 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: ago21euro4h2.png Size: 46 KB
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #745
  • Aug 21, 2012 4:42pm Aug 21, 2012 4:42pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
:nerd:
I hear( read) you LC. If the euro is to get to 26xx then it means today in the stock market was a fakeout move. Silver, gold and copper should move up. xxjpy should move up as well

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #746
  • Aug 21, 2012 4:48pm Aug 21, 2012 4:48pm
Quoting Olu
I hear( read) you LC. If the euro is to get to 26xx then it means today in the stock market was a fakeout move. Silver, gold and copper should move up. xxjpy should move up as well

Olu
Let see FMOC tomorrow... The euro should be bounce because NO QE3, I dont know market expect stimulus, we are on a elections years. Maybe for chrstmax present or next year. but before election it is nuts...
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #747
  • Aug 21, 2012 4:55pm Aug 21, 2012 4:55pm
Maybe Euro goes up today cause people know that Julian Assange come to Ecuador, If London let him come
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #748
  • Aug 21, 2012 5:14pm Aug 21, 2012 5:14pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
Let see FMOC tomorrow... The euro should be bounce because NO QE3, I dont know market expect stimulus, we are on a elections years. Maybe for chrstmax present or next year. but before election it is nuts...
i expect eur move up during the day and then drop during fomc
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #749
  • Aug 21, 2012 5:22pm Aug 21, 2012 5:22pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
Maybe Euro goes up today cause people know that Julian Assange come to Ecuador, If London let him come
No way the guy is leaving UK...

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #750
  • Aug 21, 2012 9:30pm Aug 21, 2012 9:30pm
Quoting braintec
i expect eur move up during the day and then drop during fomc
Let see what happen. Until now great pullback of aussie and kiwi...I dont know you guys, but I see risk aversion since one week ago.You can tell me hey look SPX500 and US30, those are assets, but currencies.Assets and currencies are diverging.
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #751
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:51am Aug 22, 2012 10:51am
Bear Count
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 22ago..aus1h.png Size: 52 KB
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #752
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:56am Aug 22, 2012 10:56am
Quoting Luis Carlos
Bear Count
It doesnt mean you should go long...wait the levels
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #753
  • Aug 22, 2012 11:31am Aug 22, 2012 11:31am
Bear count
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: kiwi1h.png Size: 54 KB
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #754
  • Aug 22, 2012 1:06pm Aug 22, 2012 1:06pm
Levelsto watch in aussie, 1.0487, 1.0502
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #755
  • Aug 22, 2012 5:02pm Aug 22, 2012 5:02pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
the scenario 2 is better, but how depth the retracement?
Retracement or reversal (which is what scenario 2 was about)?
  • #756
  • Edited 9:41pm Aug 22, 2012 9:19pm | Edited 9:41pm
here's what i see

blue is support and pink is resistance
green upper tl is resistance breaking this will bring us to 1670, 1680, 1700, 1710, 1780, 1800

from aug 2011 til now we have bounced on support and resistance levels as shown on chart.

can you withstand the wait to get back to THESE level.
Attached Thumbnails http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1345687849
You can also see a inverse HS with neckline at 1790 and top shoulder is 1550...huge drop if this happens.
pink as shoulders and light blue as head.
it kinda makes sense as if hopium deflates it should go down again...then new usa president mandate by feb will give qe3...let us see.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: xauusdh4hs.gif Size: 27 KB
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #757
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:25pm Aug 22, 2012 10:25pm
Quoting gnomoneey
next level should be 1.255x-red tl resistance by friday
my guess was good but was one and half day too early.

are we dropping or are we keep going on this bull train.
i look at gold and if it breaks 1670 we are going to 1790
eu should go to 1.32 max before drop..rough calculation...
gnight...
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #758
  • Aug 22, 2012 11:09pm Aug 22, 2012 11:09pm
Quoting gnomoneey
my guess was good but was one and half day too early.

are we dropping or are we keep going on this bull train.
i look at gold and if it breaks 1670 we are going to 1790
eu should go to 1.32 max before drop..rough calculation...
gnight...
The only problem I see with this theory is that when comparing the EUR and GLD on a weekly chart you will notice that March-July EUR was in a clear down trend. Gold was range bound...
  • #759
  • Aug 22, 2012 11:11pm Aug 22, 2012 11:11pm
Quoting gnomoneey
my guess was good but was one and half day too early.

are we dropping or are we keep going on this bull train.
i look at gold and if it breaks 1670 we are going to 1790
eu should go to 1.32 max before drop..rough calculation...
gnight...
1.32 ????
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #760
  • Aug 22, 2012 11:13pm Aug 22, 2012 11:13pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
1.32 ????
one can wish no?

Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
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