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  • #3,161
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:11pm Aug 1, 2012 9:11pm
there we go
Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor!
  • #3,162
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:16pm Aug 1, 2012 9:16pm
About time! Let's go bulls!
  • #3,163
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:24pm Aug 1, 2012 9:24pm
Some Market makers.. lost a lot of money! its the way this game works.
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #3,164
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:27pm Aug 1, 2012 9:27pm
That's the way flags should work every time! Grats to those that stayed in longer than my little yellow arrow

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  • #3,165
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:34pm Aug 1, 2012 9:34pm
bulls and bears seem to be wrestling
Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor!
  • #3,166
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:35pm Aug 1, 2012 9:35pm
Quoting dbutton1990
bulls and bears seem to be wrestling
patients good thins come to those who wait.
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #3,167
  • Edited 9:39pm Aug 1, 2012 9:38pm | Edited 9:39pm
Quoting palabara
patients
Patients need to have patience.
  • #3,168
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:43pm Aug 1, 2012 9:43pm
hey guys.... and girls..was checking the calendar for tomorrow... today for some...and I noticed a boat load of red flags...mostly GBP and EUR... if there are rate drops in either... is that good for AUD?....please any help would be much appreciated....
  • #3,169
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:55pm Aug 1, 2012 9:55pm
Quoting petehnm
hey guys.... and girls..was checking the calendar for tomorrow... today for some...and I noticed a boat load of red flags...mostly GBP and EUR... if there are rate drops in either... is that good for AUD?....please any help would be much appreciated....
Rate drops would definitely be positive for AUD against USD or JPY or CHF... probably only mildly though. It would be a moderately expected surprise I think.

Essentially it would be a "risk on" move... meaning cash flowing primarly FROM JPY and USD to all other currencies.
  • #3,170
  • Aug 1, 2012 9:59pm Aug 1, 2012 9:59pm
Still an hour away from close, but my current 4hr candle is forming a nice looking hammer.
  • #3,171
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:10pm Aug 1, 2012 10:10pm
From fundamentalist and Price Action behaviour , Friday US Timing Non Farm Payroll will then be the ultimate show for major reversal .

I got stopped out previously at the AUD/USD 0.9580 (02 Jun 2012) because of the NFP, be careful
  • #3,172
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:11pm Aug 1, 2012 10:11pm
Quoting leticus
From fundamentalist and Price Action behaviour , Friday US Timing Non Farm Payroll will then be the ultimate show for major reversal .

I got stopped out previously at the AUD/USD 0.9580 (02 Jun 2012) because of the NFP, be careful

And the scenario case for friday NFP will be :

UP to 1.05XX -> Break beyond 1.0678

BULLISH.
  • #3,173
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:12pm Aug 1, 2012 10:12pm
Quoting Rknigh2
Rate drops would definitely be positive for AUD against USD or JPY or CHF... probably only mildly though. It would be a moderately expected surprise I think.

Essentially it would be a "risk on" move... meaning cash flowing primarly FROM JPY and USD to all other currencies.
thank you my friend good to know...I saw this earlier on dailyfx....

Markets expecting a 82.5% probability of a 25bps rate cut by the ECB tomorrow, according to Credit Suisse data.
1 Aug 17:32:45

here's the link...http://www.dailyfx.com/real_time_news/

seems like a high probability..right?..or could just be another agency thinking they now... when they absolutely don't...LOL
  • #3,174
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:16pm Aug 1, 2012 10:16pm
Quoting petehnm
thank you my friend good to know...I saw this earlier on dailyfx....

Markets expecting a 82.5% probability of a 25bps rate cut by the ECB tomorrow, according to Credit Suisse data.
1 Aug 17:32:45

here's the link...http://www.dailyfx.com/real_time_news/

seems like a high probability..right?..or could just be another agency thinking they now... when they absolutely don't...LOL

It could be true, from my experience in my exchange previously, news are meant to set up the GAME STAGE before the BIG Action.

This means AUD will go up and break beyond and reach 1.0678 or to 1.07XX
  • #3,175
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:16pm Aug 1, 2012 10:16pm
Quoting leticus
And the scenario case for friday NFP will be :

UP to 1.05XX -> Break beyond 1.0678

BULLISH.
What's up leticus...I tell ya I've defiantly have seen 1.06 to 1.07 in a lot of discussions all over the net for a while now...I was just wondering what was going to take it there...
  • #3,176
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:17pm Aug 1, 2012 10:17pm
Quoting leticus
It could be true, from my experience in my exchange previously, news are meant to set up the GAME STAGE before the BIG Action.

This means AUD will go up and break beyond and reach 1.0678 or to 1.07XX

If i tell you that , NEWS are published selectively to suit the favour of the GAME STAGE planned, are u shocked that this forex market world is so scheming ?
  • #3,177
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:22pm Aug 1, 2012 10:22pm
Quoting petehnm
What's up leticus...I tell ya I've defiantly have seen 1.06 to 1.07 in a lot of discussions all over the net for a while now...I was just wondering what was going to take it there...

If we look at a bigger trend perspective (months ), this ceiling of 1.05XX has been here quite a while. The original pricing of AUD is 1.0831 (1st March 2012), something must go back as a retracement especially AUD dollar is now still seems as the more favorable currency and based on energy markets analysis i got from my colleagues at the exchange, they said the world is now very dependable on commodities.

If we talk about Price Action behaviour before NFP, yes i got stopped out once , so i know what is the REAL PURPOSE of a NFP is to give a "reason" to do something big.

So my wide guess is this friday NFP, go beyond till 1.06XX and next week till 1.07XX
  • #3,178
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:24pm Aug 1, 2012 10:24pm
I wouldn't give it that hIgh of a probability and I don't think it's priced into the market yet. Which means the market doesnt expect it or the ECB and US NFP is of far greater concern than any rate cuts. Either way, a rate cut should be good for the "risk on" currencies (probably for a few pips)
  • #3,179
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:24pm Aug 1, 2012 10:24pm
Quoting leticus
If i tell you that , NEWS are published selectively to suit the favour of the GAME STAGE planned, are u shocked that this forex market world is so scheming ?
LOL...brother as long as there's the big money that's involved with Forex...nothing and I mean nothing would shock me...imagine what it would be like if you had the capability to move a market...The media is a powerful medium if not the most powerful...
  • #3,180
  • Aug 1, 2012 10:27pm Aug 1, 2012 10:27pm
Quoting petehnm
LOL...brother as long as there's the big money that's involved with Forex...nothing and I mean nothing would shock me...imagine what it would be like if you had the capability to move a market...The media is a powerful medium if not the most powerful...
Agreed with u bro. When i mentioned this to some of my junior traders in my exchange, they are shocked. i replied " You mean you never know this? "
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