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EURUSD

  • #673,901
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:30am Aug 1, 2012 6:30am
Quoting Mike8
Wise man.
i made few mistakes , no loss but kind of bad sign , luck not going with me all the time
Mohan
  • #673,902
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:33am Aug 1, 2012 6:33am
Quoting mohan76
yep.
looks it going to make brutal move today before fomc , i like stay on sideline today (i don't feel good)
yes is setting up nasty this au daily and 4hr simple chart

dailly note her reaction (rounded) utl of channel and sharp rejection at ltl is little unusual
4hr, her could be setting a 2nd double top at resistance

her has been slowly capping, if her drive down I will be happy, if drive and breach this top, willget my entries, I waiting us news, then carefully watch build up to fomc brit prs also at critical points, need be on you toes bro or yes stand aside, my guess is bears is gathering

I have some nice levels higher so I am in waiting mode
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU Daily 1 8 2012.png Size: 33 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Aussie 4hr b 1 8 2012.png Size: 24 KB
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  • #673,903
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:36am Aug 1, 2012 6:36am
Is it just me or does anyone also haven't done one real trade for today?
EURUSD goes nowhere
  • #673,904
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:36am Aug 1, 2012 6:36am
Quoting colodejo
EUR/USD
- first fall to 2250 - 40
- then attack 2400
i think big guys must create their best input positions first

i like guys who keep saying that: first it will fall then it will go up
yes Captain Obvious it is always that's the case...

but i dont call this analysis..
'You must be the change you wish to see in the world' . Gandhi
  • #673,905
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:38am Aug 1, 2012 6:38am
Quoting Mike8
Interesting, but I do not understand it.

Do you care to articulate what your perception of outcome will be?

these are all signs of a nice breakout towards 1.24
and then there will be fight again.. or not
'You must be the change you wish to see in the world' . Gandhi
  • #673,906
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:39am Aug 1, 2012 6:39am
Quoting KiwiTrada
yes is setting up nasty this au daily and 4hr simple chart

dailly note her reaction (rounded) utl of channel and sharp rejection at ltl is little unusual
4hr, her could be setting a 2nd double top at resistance

her has been slowly capping, if her drive down I will be happy, if drive and breach this top, willget my entries, I waiting us news, then carefully watch build up to fomc brit prs also at critical points, need be on you toes bro or yes stand aside, my guess is bears is gathering

I have some nice levels higher so I am in waiting mode...
bear should have upper hand before fomc, as qe expectation fading away and last minute profit takings and stop might add fuel. what to do if i short aussie my knees start jerking even for 0.01 lot
Mohan
  • #673,907
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:40am Aug 1, 2012 6:40am
its gonna explode in either side
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #673,908
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:41am Aug 1, 2012 6:41am
Quoting phxmike
i like guys who keep saying that: first it will fall then it will go up
yes Captain Obvious it is always that's the case...

but i dont call this analysis..
i don't feel like analyst, it's only my opinion
  • #673,909
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:42am Aug 1, 2012 6:42am
Quoting mohan76
bear should have upper hand before fomc, as qe expectation fading away and last minute profit takings and stop might add fuel. what to do if i short aussie my knees start jerking even for 0.01 lot
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #673,910
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:42am Aug 1, 2012 6:42am
Quoting Mike8
For sentiment I mean what majority of traders think, in short, mass psychology. A good trader in my view need to understand what the mass psychology is, in each moment by a consequence of the events. (news, the way market react to news or event, ect.....)

Are we taking sentiment together with our technicality to back up our reason to enter ? This is what I mean.
IMO over long-term(weekly/monthly) sentiment can be factored out because technicals and news both are in conjunction(have to be) with each other, ultimately sentiment(of traders) aligns with both.

Just to add: If mass psychology played a role over long-term then the 95% or higher fail rate in FX would not be valid.
  • #673,911
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:43am Aug 1, 2012 6:43am
Quoting KiwiTrada
yes is setting up nasty this au daily and 4hr simple chart

dailly note her reaction (rounded) utl of channel and sharp rejection at ltl is little unusual
4hr, her could be setting a 2nd double top at resistance

her has been slowly capping, if her drive down I will be happy, if drive and breach this top, willget my entries, I waiting us news, then carefully watch build up to fomc brit prs also at critical points, need be on you toes bro or yes stand aside, my guess is bears is gathering

I have some nice levels higher so I am in waiting...

You most certainly right, but this is my view: she going to get to the down TL (see arrow).

When? I do not know, but before she breaks the up TL.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.jpg Size: 67 KB
"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon."
  • #673,912
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:44am Aug 1, 2012 6:44am
Quoting phxmike
these are all signs of a nice breakout towards 1.24
and then there will be fight again.. or not
Thanks Mike.
"Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon."
  • #673,913
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:46am Aug 1, 2012 6:46am
"To 1.24xx and Beyond!"
  • #673,914
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:54am Aug 1, 2012 6:54am
Quoting mohan76
bear should have upper hand before fomc, as qe expectation fading away and last minute profit takings and stop might add fuel. what to do if i short aussie my knees start jerkng even for 0.01 lot
hahahaha bro her above todays zones, you should of done well

just for reminder for geppy, dailly remember this, was super noda, is his cohorts still lurking hahahaha, is worth a mini
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Geppy daily 1 8 2012.png Size: 39 KB
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  • #673,915
  • Aug 1, 2012 6:59am Aug 1, 2012 6:59am
Quoting Mike8
You most certainly right, but this is my view: she going to get to the down TL (see arrow).

When? I do not know, but before she breaks the up TL.
AUD is too bored to be bought at this level, any hardcore sell off at this level may say bye bye if without stop loss, even if tonight it climbs higher will eventually get dump off when it climbed higher. Need this cow to come down to TL first!
  • #673,916
  • Aug 1, 2012 7:04am Aug 1, 2012 7:04am
Quoting 5percent
AUD is too bored to be bought at this level, any hardcore sell off at this level may say bye bye if without stop loss, even if tonight it climbs higher will eventually get dump off when it climbed higher. Need this cow to come down to TL first!
12 minutes we will know bro
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  • #673,917
  • Aug 1, 2012 7:11am Aug 1, 2012 7:11am
Yes, I often muse how news is cast so that technical levels are maintained. this thing called risk on/off is the reversal switch to make happen what happens regardless of news.

[quote=tech_dream;5893327]IMO over long-term(weekly/monthly) sentiment can be factored out because technicals and news both are in conjunction(have to be) with each other, ultimately sentiment(of traders) aligns with both.
  • #673,918
  • Aug 1, 2012 7:14am Aug 1, 2012 7:14am
shorted tp 2277
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #673,919
  • Aug 1, 2012 7:17am Aug 1, 2012 7:17am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
shorted tp 2277
closed at 2294 14pips
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #673,920
  • Aug 1, 2012 7:17am Aug 1, 2012 7:17am
Quoting KiwiTrada
12 minutes we will know bro

nice
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