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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #45,061
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:06am Jul 30, 2012 4:06am
Quoting PipTrapper
I'm already in heavily. 1.2360 is my highest recent (not including 1.4647 and 1.3410) short plus I also have shorts at 1.2314 and 1.2300
I also have a couple small ones underwater at 1.2236 and 1.2140


nice just minutes before i was shorting the hell out of the euro, maxed leverage but with stop loss in profit and trailing down. but my juggling act ended but with +7.8% ROI for 2 hours of work cannot complain at all but the greedy side of me wishes i saw an epic fall lol
  • #45,062
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:07am Jul 30, 2012 4:07am
Hello Neuron, which data feed/chart provider do you use for italian yields?


Quoting neuron
nice, i was concerned about the down trend in the bond yield earlier today but looks like things are heading back up


lets see 6%+
  • #45,063
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:08am Jul 30, 2012 4:08am
Quoting ez0770
Hello Neuron, which data feed/chart provider do you use for italian yields?
best i've found so far w/o paying subscriptions

http://www.forexpros.com/rates-bonds/
  • #45,064
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:09am Jul 30, 2012 4:09am
CNBC TV: 80% of Spaniards have little or no confidence in PM Rajoy
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #45,065
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:10am Jul 30, 2012 4:10am
Quoting PipTrapper
I'm already in heavily. 1.2360 is my highest recent (not including 1.4647 and 1.3410) short plus I also have shorts at 1.2314 and 1.2300
I also have a couple small ones underwater at 1.2236 and 1.2140
Your underwater must be thank to draghi's big mouth? Lol that spikes on thursday.
  • #45,066
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:11am Jul 30, 2012 4:11am
Quoting neuron
best i've found so far w/o paying subscriptions

http://www.forexpros.com/rates-bonds/
and don't forget the excellent economic calendar. Much better than FF
http://www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #45,067
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:12am Jul 30, 2012 4:12am
Quoting 5percent
Your underwater must be thank to draghi's big mouth? Lol that spikes on thursday.
Yep. Thanks Draghi
I'm not worried about them. They will be in the green soon
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #45,068
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:13am Jul 30, 2012 4:13am
Quoting PipTrapper
and don't forget the excellent economic calendar. Much better than FF
http://www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/

I agree, although the FF calendar tends to update a bit sooner, but the forexpros does have alot of events not on the FF calendar

funny to see the discrepancies between the level of impact the news is supposed to have as well as the forecasted values, i've seen different levels/values between FF and forexpros
  • #45,069
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:14am Jul 30, 2012 4:14am
Quoting PipTrapper
Morning buddy. Hope u had a great weekend. I prefer this street luge to the zip line
Lol. Yeah but you gotta love the snorking on zipline.
  • #45,070
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:14am Jul 30, 2012 4:14am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Hi guys,

Question is, what kind of instrument will he use? IR to zero so fast is out of question obviously. LTRO hoax which hunted my stop is unlikely as well. T

.... we have two troubled sectors, PIIGS Bond market and Spanish banking sector. Both of these can be helped via cash injection

However, interesting fact is......when ECB is sterilizing SMP, it seems cash injection could be bigger. Or maybe they are even going to continue with SMP program.

But noone is complaining about SMP from ECB. It is, lets say more sheeple friendly,...
Very good post Tom,

Well IMO, right now the issue is not in the technicalities but in the decisions.

The technical "solution" is very easy and straight forward. ECB as "lender of last resource" guaranteeing full bond purchases and open QE via active monetary policy... In simple words, just ECB acting like a regular CB (FED, BOE, BOJ, SNB, etc) and not as a "half baked" institution...

The bastards (bond holders, and etc) are trying to lock in and "guarantee" the unavoidable Spanish private bank collapse to the public sector for a bailout (Bastards with B) that's why the last package didn't really stop the bleeding in Spanish bonds.

The problem is not in the technical options from the ECB but that they will keep pushing to the limit until they get what they want. So obviously they are pointing to Italy but more importantly to Finland (to internally divide the EZ and forcing them to put more money on the table) .

The only solution is the ECB to do its job (with a proper support and mandate) otherwise markets will keep pushing this to the limit.

If Germany (and the other solid) gives the go ahead for the ECB, as you noticed and with inflation below target and recession / stagnate economies, it will only take the ECB not sterilizing a few operation to have an immediate impact. Add salt and pepper (bond buying and a clear ECB QE e.g "FED like" program) and no sane investor/trader, etc will bet against it short term until the EZ "theoretically" make the real structural reforms and introduce the new programs (bank regulation, fiscal pact, etc, etc, etc)

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #45,071
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:15am Jul 30, 2012 4:15am
Very good thanks for the tip!


Quoting neuron
best i've found so far w/o paying subscriptions

http://www.forexpros.com/rates-bonds/
  • #45,072
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:19am Jul 30, 2012 4:19am
Quoting PipTrapper
Auction results delayed until 09:05 GMT
Why? Beats me.
Auction results delayed again.
Must be bad results, or perhaps they staff are on strike
New release time is 09:25 GMT
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #45,073
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:21am Jul 30, 2012 4:21am
Quoting neuron
I agree, although the FF calendar tends to update a bit sooner, but the forexpros does have alot of events not on the FF calendar

funny to see the discrepancies between the level of impact the news is supposed to have as well as the forecasted values, i've seen different levels/values between FF and forexpros
Impact rating is all subjective. A matter of opinion.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #45,074
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:22am Jul 30, 2012 4:22am
im not familiar with how govt bond auctions are conducted


does this delay indicate a longer period of selling (looking for more buyers) or just a delay in the actual reporting of values?

and what value is reported? looks like 5.96% is reported as official value but the charts have been showing higher rates for almost an hour now

currently see 6.031%
  • #45,075
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:23am Jul 30, 2012 4:23am
Quoting PipTrapper
Auction results delayed again.
Must be bad results, or perhaps they staff are on strike
New release time is 09:25 GMT
Bloomberg just released the bond results. Will find a link.
  • #45,076
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:23am Jul 30, 2012 4:23am
Quoting PipTrapper
Yep. Thanks Draghi
I'm not worried about them. They will be in the green soon
To me, Thank God! I can see lot of potential for my short @ 1.2360. Hope your underwaters will not be biting longer
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  • #45,077
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:24am Jul 30, 2012 4:24am
Quoting PipTrapper
Auction results delayed again.
Must be bad results, or perhaps they staff are on strike
New release time is 09:25 GMT
Yep. Bad results, but at least it's still under 6%

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #45,078
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:26am Jul 30, 2012 4:26am
Quoting rekon67
To me, Thank God! I can see lot of potential for my short @ 1.2360. Hope your underwaters will not be biting longer
No they are not biting.

They are my magnets

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #45,079
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:34am Jul 30, 2012 4:34am
Quoting PipTrapper
No they are not biting.

They are my magnets

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Ha..ha..nice..my GURU..
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  • #45,080
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:35am Jul 30, 2012 4:35am
a small tidbit, doesn't seem like it's having too big of an impact

(time is PST)

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