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AUD/CHF

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  • Post #41
  • Quote
  • Jul 10, 2012 2:17am Jul 10, 2012 2:17am
  •  forexstrah
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 186 Posts
Hoping for a nice pullback before re-entering long. I think this sucker is going to blow through parity soon. Any one else agree? Or disagree?
  • Post #42
  • Quote
  • Jul 10, 2012 8:32pm Jul 10, 2012 8:32pm
  •  Rtm
  • Joined Jan 2011 | Status: dump and pump | 4,055 Posts
Totally agree. Im loaded @ .99895, just waiting to take profit just above where all the stops are building up.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • Post #43
  • Quote
  • Jul 10, 2012 11:59pm Jul 10, 2012 11:59pm
  •  forexstrah
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 186 Posts
Urgh....why wont this one pullback for me?? It just keeps grinding higher....it is so hard to not jump in on a small position...but to do so would be suicide because if we get a pullback I reckon it will go quite a few pips. I am praying for a pullback soon.....I am losing patience!
  • Post #44
  • Quote
  • Jul 11, 2012 12:18am Jul 11, 2012 12:18am
  •  eliteincome
  • | Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Member | 2,640 Posts
Gidday Traders

I went LONG as a hedge,EUR/US
An short US/CHF
Been doing small trades between dips on both sides.
I had a look,this pair has not up here for well over a year
Thought no way will it climb,wrong wrong wrong.
Still keep thinking they will intervene,normally sits 96000,now 98000
I will be more than happy to get out off this trade.
  • Post #45
  • Quote
  • Jul 12, 2012 3:35am Jul 12, 2012 3:35am
  •  nishantforex
  • | Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Member | 88 Posts
I think this is 2012 TOP for AUDCHF

lets see how far it goes up if it does.
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  • Post #46
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  • Jul 16, 2012 4:11pm Jul 16, 2012 4:11pm
  •  Taigen
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: To pip or not to pip... | 1,055 Posts
entering into a trend change. These are usually a bumpy ride for a few days so I'm usually cautious with my positions. Often I'll cost average in. I've position a short a couple times this week and closed both in the green. Have to wait and see what happens.
  • Post #47
  • Quote
  • Edited at 11:03am Jul 18, 2012 10:51am | Edited at 11:03am
  •  feelmypecs
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Member | 66 Posts
It seems to have broken up out of the channel its been in since the 12th. From here (130) up until 150, its facing a pretty major historic price privot zone. Id say theres good potential for a break from this bullishness soon.
  • Post #48
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  • Jul 19, 2012 10:00am Jul 19, 2012 10:00am
  •  Taigen
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: To pip or not to pip... | 1,055 Posts
.0148, .0159, and 0213. Now it just a waiting game. It's gone up almost a 1000 pips without a retrace. It would be nice if it started the downturn soon. We'll see what happens.
  • Post #49
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2012 12:14am Jul 23, 2012 12:14am
  •  forexstrah
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 186 Posts
Quoting Taigen
Disliked
.0148, .0159, and 0213. Now it just a waiting game. It's gone up almost a 1000 pips without a retrace. It would be nice if it started the downturn soon. We'll see what happens.
Ignored

What is your target? Looking at the weekly this puppy needs a retrace before heading towards the all-time highs (if it is going to test them). I have been waiting for a decent pullback....it has been a long wait.
  • Post #50
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2012 1:05pm Jul 23, 2012 1:05pm
  •  Taigen
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: To pip or not to pip... | 1,055 Posts
Quoting forexstrah
Disliked
What is your target? Looking at the weekly this puppy needs a retrace before heading towards the all-time highs (if it is going to test them). I have been waiting for a decent pullback....it has been a long wait.
Ignored
You and me both. From .92 to 1.02 is a long way up.

I'm looking for a 50% retracement as I always do. I usually bail before I get there. The problem is the tops. This is the second hit to the top and who knows where that is. This is the problem for those who get in before the indicators say its safe. The Hull MA and the EMA on my daily hasn't even crossed over yet so it is, in my view a high risk strategy to position when guessing the tops but I did it anyway. A few of my positions have already got stopped out. The second PA went beyond it's previous high so I consider that as not good but who knows it could go down a couple hundred pips.

A safer trade would be to wait until the indicators do a crossover. All my positions right now are at zero stops so I won't lose anything.
  • Post #51
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  • Jul 24, 2012 3:48pm Jul 24, 2012 3:48pm
  •  Taigen
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: To pip or not to pip... | 1,055 Posts
wobbling in and out and all over. That's what I hate about a trend change on the daily chart but it is what it is. I'm guessing the Linear Regression crossover on Exponential Moving Average will take place somewhere in the .99xx to .98xx. If this is the top, then the retracement should be ~.9750.
  • Post #52
  • Quote
  • Jul 26, 2012 8:49am Jul 26, 2012 8:49am
  •  Awp Shout
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 86 Posts
Profit
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  • Post #53
  • Quote
  • Jul 26, 2012 9:33am Jul 26, 2012 9:33am
  •  Taigen
  • Joined Nov 2010 | Status: To pip or not to pip... | 1,055 Posts
Quoting Awp Shout
Disliked
Profit
Ignored
If it can break the .0150 resistance it could be the beginnings of a downtrend. My LR and Hull MA just crossed over which in itself does not represent a downtrend but the transition into one. We will have to wait and see.
  • Post #54
  • Quote
  • Edited Jul 28, 2012 12:20pm Jul 27, 2012 8:52pm | Edited Jul 28, 2012 12:20pm
  •  ovaforty
  • Joined May 2007 | Status: I Love EMAS! | 1,968 Posts
long entry @ 1.0135
tp @ 1.0240

This pair has been been trading the direct opposite of eur/usd the last 2 days.

I shorted eur/usd @ 1.2388 and tp'ed at 1.2300 at the same time i took this position. 1.2400 eur/usd is very well defended by big banks at this time. That is the reason for major moves late friday.


I am holding this position over the weekend with +3 pips locked in.

Edit- I use this pair as a "savings account". Once the S.L. is at break even there is no safer place to park a small amount of your money. I am not in this position for pip gain, merely interest accrual for as long as it holds.
Do the math. 15 dollars per day swap interest (IBFX) equals 105 dollars a week, or 420 dollars a month interest on a full lot position with no risk after b/e stop is in place.
S.L. @ 1.0338.
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  • Post #55
  • Quote
  • Jul 29, 2012 1:22am Jul 29, 2012 1:22am
  •  stevefx
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Member | 1,938 Posts
Looks like some stopping power/challenges shortly overhead.
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  • Post #56
  • Quote
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:31am Sep 11, 2012 12:31am
  •  forexstrah
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 186 Posts
Anyone see any long possibilities?? Thanks in advance.
  • Post #57
  • Quote
  • Sep 11, 2012 12:41am Sep 11, 2012 12:41am
  •  holmes
  • | Joined Jun 2010 | Status: Member | 635 Posts
Quoting forexstrah
Disliked
Anyone see any long possibilities?? Thanks in advance.
Ignored
not a bad idea.
  • Post #58
  • Quote
  • Sep 19, 2012 7:02am Sep 19, 2012 7:02am
  •  forexstrah
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 186 Posts
Been watching that weekly....aching for a long. Daily is now starting to look nice too.

When to pull the trigger??
  • Post #59
  • Quote
  • Oct 17, 2012 4:31am Oct 17, 2012 4:31am
  •  forexstrah
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 186 Posts
This baby is totally lagging the AUD move in other pairs.....wonder if she will finally roll over for us?
  • Post #60
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 3:39am Nov 15, 2012 3:39am
  •  Amelia
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 99 Posts
Hi there, my today analysis as below. Hope you can gain more pips from it.

On Daily we now have a nice juicy bearish candle that engulfing the last 5 days candles. We now set our trailing protective stop @ 0.9853 and look for Target 1. At Target 1 if you are happy with the profit then collect and look to rejoin short when price push up again.
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myfxpedia : Daily Signals and Strategies
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