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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #41,281
  • Jul 5, 2012 8:30pm Jul 5, 2012 8:30pm
10 pips trading range for the last 9 hours. 'Ya think the market is waiting for something???
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #41,282
  • Jul 5, 2012 8:47pm Jul 5, 2012 8:47pm
Quoting Cgb
10 pips trading range for the last 9 hours. 'Ya think the market is waiting for something???
Tell me about it bro. This is unreal
  • #41,283
  • Jul 5, 2012 8:51pm Jul 5, 2012 8:51pm
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting D2tz
Tell me about it bro. This is unreal
C'mon... it's 14 pips range! You can make fortune with that!

1.238 seems to be holding. I expect to see way above 1.24 before london opens.
Edit: Just when I said it - it got broken
  • #41,284
  • Jul 5, 2012 8:56pm Jul 5, 2012 8:56pm
Quoting AFXFin
C'mon... it's 14 pips range! You can make fortune with that!

1.238 seems to be holding. I expect to see way above 1.24 before london opens.
I've been watching u/c slowly and steadily eating away my capital one slow motherfcking pip at a time.
  • #41,285
  • Jul 5, 2012 9:02pm Jul 5, 2012 9:02pm
Quoting AFXFin
C'mon... it's 14 pips range! You can make fortune with that!

1.238 seems to be holding. I expect to see way above 1.24 before london opens.
Edit: Just when I said it - it got broken
There you have a breakout lol
  • #41,286
  • Edited 10:42pm Jul 5, 2012 10:20pm | Edited 10:42pm
Wel I am married to my short u/c trade and I'm wanting a divorce.
I find myself singing , turn around... Every now and then... La la la
Inserted Video


Hmmm i think someone broke the fx market
  • #41,287
  • Jul 5, 2012 11:06pm Jul 5, 2012 11:06pm
Quoting Cgb
10 pips trading range for the last 9 hours. 'Ya think the market is waiting for something???
haha. yes another crash.
Trend Is Friend
  • #41,288
  • Jul 5, 2012 11:09pm Jul 5, 2012 11:09pm
6th July -- Happy Kiss Day. last year PT kissed E/U thereafter E/U belongs to PT only.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #41,289
  • Jul 5, 2012 11:09pm Jul 5, 2012 11:09pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Hey guys

Current Market Conditions Analysis.
E/U – current 1.2389 – Anyone in trade short previous session congratulations! New range is 1.2502/1.2460 to 1.2219/1.2200 for swing players


Looks like not much happened other than what was expected and a ADP NFP number that blew out expectations. The market is certainly pricing in a +90K number tommorow for the NFP data.

I will not be participating in the NFP trading this session as I have a day job to attend to but I will be watching the GU closely because it is at a pivotal...
are you saying short in eur/usd ?

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1341492011
Trend Is Friend
  • #41,290
  • Jul 5, 2012 11:38pm Jul 5, 2012 11:38pm
Amazing and typical ... am expecting another 100 + drop at NFP.
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  • #41,291
  • Jul 5, 2012 11:54pm Jul 5, 2012 11:54pm
Quoting rekon67
Amazing and typical ... am expecting another 100 + drop at NFP.
Asia did nothing today, let's see what London will do. As long as it stays below 1.2406 it will push south and when NFP is better than expected i will bungee jump
  • #41,292
  • Jul 5, 2012 11:54pm Jul 5, 2012 11:54pm
Quoting D2tz
I've been watching u/c slowly and steadily eating away my capital one slow motherfcking pip at a time.

PT is right, 'expect an awesome bounce now'


Quoting PipTrapper
Perhaps a slight lack of patience. U/CAD still has a very strong bullish structure... especially now that price has reached and bounced off the 200 day moving average and the 50% fibo.

When a major MA is breached, it is always retested before a continuation. As you can see from the daily chart, it was breached to the upside in May and this is now the retest. Expect an awesome bounce now.

Attachment


Quoting PipTrapper
Good US data = USD Bullish
Good CAD data = CAD Bullish

Good US and CAD data = U/CAD sideways
Good USD and bad CAD = U/CAD bullish

However, what's bad for USD is also bad for CAD (Except for QE3 which is a pipe dream). So even if we get bad US data and good CAD data, U/CAD will not be bearish. U/CAD will only be bearish if we get a major rally in commodities (oil & gold) while the USD is bearish. It's a bit complex but it makes sense to me
  • #41,293
  • Jul 6, 2012 12:02am Jul 6, 2012 12:02am
Quoting mka_78
Asia did nothing today, let's see what London will do. As long as it stays below 1.2406 it will push south and when NFP is better than expected i will bungee jump
ya, typically this straightline should extend till Pre-NY Open session, and then will have bungy-jumping
  • #41,294
  • Jul 6, 2012 12:15am Jul 6, 2012 12:15am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Good Morning all,

EURUSD Price has been flat all night. Why is that?

Everybody is waiting for NFP? Not necessary. NFP may be priced in already. I believe that most of traders are afraid of the pair right now and do not dare to sell or buy since volumes were over night much below average=no traders in a market.

Some analytics claim, that no matter what is the NFP price will pop up. They had some good reasoning on that, but I don't buy it. Also all this hype now on it smells funny: leaks of 130 etc. That sounds like we are about to get much worse or just expected and there will be no effect but little bump on price to 1.24...

Just speculating...
  • #41,295
  • Jul 6, 2012 1:06am Jul 6, 2012 1:06am
Quoting polatok
are you saying short in eur/usd ?

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1341492011
Yes it is certainly a HOLD unless data disappoints

I am still playing the range down to the 2219-2250 area before any potential meaningful reversal/retracement
  • #41,296
  • Jul 6, 2012 1:24am Jul 6, 2012 1:24am
I am going Long EUR against almost everything (AUD,GBP,USD,JPY) and short USDCHF,AUD USD....
Chart will be updated later as currently i am preparing my entries.
All these trades have been made on larger time frames and i will be building my core entries

I am trying to get tops and bottoms right now, so these are very risky trades.

P.S. PT I will be looking forward for your critical analysis of my charts. BTW Your monthly harmonic chart of EURUSD (AB=CD) is currently pain in my ass for going for these trades
There are no right and wrong decisions......Only timely decisions
  • #41,297
  • Edited 1:50am Jul 6, 2012 1:36am | Edited 1:50am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting JollyJoker
I am going Long EUR against almost everything (AUD,GBP,USD,JPY) and short USDCHF,AUD USD....
Chart will be updated later as currently i am preparing my entries.
All these trades have been made on larger time frames and i will be building my core entries

I am trying to get tops and bottoms right now, so these are very risky trades.

P.S. PT I will be looking forward for your critical analysis of my charts. BTW Your monthly harmonic chart of EURUSD (AB=CD) is currently pain in my ass for going for these trades
It's hard to decide:
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or
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  • #41,298
  • Jul 6, 2012 2:04am Jul 6, 2012 2:04am
Today’s orderboard

Written by Pete Jackson
July 6, 2012 at 06:12 GMT

EUR/USD: Bids 1.2350/60 (possibly sovereign), sell stops just below. Offers 1.2400/10 and 1.2430/50

GBP/USD: Bids 1.5500/10 (possible barrier 1.5500) , tech support below 1.5485/90 stronger down at 1.5450/60. Offers 1.5545/55 and 1.5600/10

EUR/GBP: Bids 0.7950/60 and 0.7900/10 ahead of barriers (0.7950/0.7900). Offers 0.7980/85 and 0.8015/20. Tech res 0.8040/60 (0.8041/58- 21/55 day MA’s)

USD/JPY: Offers 80.00/10 suspected buy stops on a break, offers 80.50/60 and larger buy stops up through 80.65. Bids 79.50/60 (importers,Japan life Ins co’s), sell stops just below ahead of bids 79.00/20, further stops just below.

EUR/JPY: Offers 99.30/50, 99.90/00. Bids 98.80/90, small sell stops below, more bids 98.50/60, likely sell stops below ahead of tech supp 98.35/40

AUD/JPY: Bids 81.60/70, tech supp 81.15/25, 200 day MA at 80.99, offers 82.30/40 ahead of tech res 100 day MA 82.66, buy stops through 83.00

EUR/CHF: Bids 1.2000/10(SNB), Offers 1.2025/50 buy stops through 1.2055

AUD/USD: (100/200 day MA’s 1.0256/57). Bids 1.0240/50 (real money, sovereigns), sell stops though 1.0230 ahead of bids 1.0200/10, larger sell stops through 1.0180. Offers 1.0300/10 (poss commercial RBA)and 1.0320/30

EUR/AUD: Bids 1.2020/30 (Jul 5 all time low 1.2022), offers 1.2100/10 and tech res 1.2160/70

AUD/NZD: Bids 1.2740/50 and 1.2700/10, offers 1.2810/25

NZD/USD: Bids 0.8000/10, sell stops down through 0.8000 ahead of more bids 0.7960/70. Offers 0.8040/50 and 0.8065/75
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #41,299
  • Jul 6, 2012 2:07am Jul 6, 2012 2:07am
Today's Euro FX Option expiries @ 14:00 GMT

1.2600
1.2500 - 500 Million
1.2400
1.2375
1.2300
1.2250
1.2140/50 - 1 Billion
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #41,300
  • Jul 6, 2012 2:15am Jul 6, 2012 2:15am
haha what's with 500 million 1.2500 and 1.2140/50 on 1 billion.

i know the market loves to see 1.2140/50 rather than 1.2500.
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