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  • #665,401
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:36am Jul 5, 2012 3:36am
Quoting Esssex
Doesn't matter for US.

US have been running trade deficits for god knows how long. They have always relied mainly on domestic consumption for economic growth, so cheaper imports are actually better for them.
and how they going to find jobs for people ?
Mohan
  • #665,402
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:38am Jul 5, 2012 3:38am
Quoting littlemole
Did you say US export?
yes both export and import , i guess USA do some export to euro area

Edit : yes they do
http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c0003.html
Mohan
  • #665,403
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:40am Jul 5, 2012 3:40am
Quoting Esssex
Doesn't matter for US.

US have been running trade deficits for god knows how long. They have always relied mainly on domestic consumption for economic growth, so cheaper imports are actually better for them.
Together with a huge increase in unemployment because US businesses go bankrupt since they will import all capital goods from Germany and France?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #665,404
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:40am Jul 5, 2012 3:40am
Closed Aussy BE
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  • #665,405
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:41am Jul 5, 2012 3:41am
Quoting KiwiTrada
geppy and cable still rolling south cable has breached 1hr bear flag, now waiting to see if her can make a new low or go back retest ltl of flag, my guess no retest she will continue on her way
crap her, looks like going to retest, geppy also hit nice support,
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  • #665,406
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:43am Jul 5, 2012 3:43am
@Esssex

I ve been reading schwager's "the new market wizards" there is an interview with Bill Lipschutz ex Salomon bro's - man that section is truly amazing - he's a fundie guy - big time - you should read it if you haven't - you'd like it.
swing it!
  • #665,407
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:43am Jul 5, 2012 3:43am
Quoting KillerWhale
Closed Aussy BE
i cant understand the price action of AUDUSD of the last days...why dont fall if have a strong correlation with eurusd and eurusd fall yesterday 80-90 pips...
  • #665,408
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:45am Jul 5, 2012 3:45am
Quoting KiwiTrada
crap her, looks like going to retest, geppy also hit nice support,
would you say 5484 is a fair good target for sterling? thats what I am eyeing
swing it!
  • #665,409
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:45am Jul 5, 2012 3:45am
deflation can be a massive problem...
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  • #665,410
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:46am Jul 5, 2012 3:46am
Quoting Trader88q
Why euro will continue to fall:

1. Because Greece didnt leave the eurozone,formed new probailout goverment and return borowed money at june 30th.

2. Because its not overvalued yet. 1000 pips its not enougth. maybe 2000 pips.

3. EU summit making good decition in order to stabilaze banking system and it is very bearish for euro. very bearish.

4. Euro bond buying is on the table.

5. Spanish gov. bonds stabilazed.

6. QE3 on the table.

Complete fool

Like > QE3 will weaken dollar and make Euro stronger, just to lift out 1 thing.

Like > Spanish bonds stabilized > stronger Euro

I'm getting tired of this, going to sleep for a while
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  • #665,411
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:47am Jul 5, 2012 3:47am
going down?
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  • #665,412
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:47am Jul 5, 2012 3:47am
Quoting Itrade24h
i cant understand the price action of AUDUSD of the last days...why dont fall if have a strong correlation with eurusd and eurusd fall yesterday 80-90 pips...
correlation is manly because of usd. when euro falls, not necessary for aud to follow
  • #665,413
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:48am Jul 5, 2012 3:48am
Quoting Itrade24h
i cant understand the price action of AUDUSD of the last days...why dont fall if have a strong correlation with eurusd and eurusd fall yesterday 80-90 pips...
well , if it brake 1.0280/320 it's can go upto 750 or more , any good news can open door , people who holding long from .96xx keep buying (i guess) at 40/60 , unless it's break do clear break 0232 buyer not going to give up
Mohan
  • #665,414
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:48am Jul 5, 2012 3:48am
Quoting KillerWhale
Closed Aussy BE
what?
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #665,415
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:49am Jul 5, 2012 3:49am
Quoting KillerWhale
Together with a huge increase in unemployment because US businesses go bankrupt since they will import all capital goods from Germany and France?
Isn't that reason why the Fed has been printing more money?

Nothing about US economic policies show the emphasis and change towards more exports. If the foundations of the economy doesn't change, it sure as hell doesn't matter whether their exports become more competitive because they don't rely on it for GDP growth.

Go look at the figures and % of GDP growth by exports. They have always had the emphasis on local consumption and foreign investments for growth.
  • #665,416
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:50am Jul 5, 2012 3:50am
Quoting mohan76
yes both export and import , i guess USA do some export to euro area

Edit : yes they do
http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c0003.html
In the global economy Us doesn't have major function in export. And your link says the number was negative in the last years so they rather import then export. If we talk about countries how has vested interest in export, we should talk about China or Japan not US
"Study the past if you would define the future." Confucius
  • #665,417
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:51am Jul 5, 2012 3:51am
Quoting tomspin
@Esssex

I ve been reading schwager's "the new market wizards" there is an interview with Bill Lipschutz ex Salomon bro's - man that section is truly amazing - he's a fundie guy - big time - you should read it if you haven't - you'd like it.
Will take a look, thanks for the heads up!
  • #665,418
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:52am Jul 5, 2012 3:52am
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2012/0...e-boe-and-ecb/
smth similar they said on bloomberg
  • #665,419
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:52am Jul 5, 2012 3:52am
posible
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  • #665,420
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:54am Jul 5, 2012 3:54am
Quoting Trader2000
Take a look at the chart I posted it is all technical analysis.
so i guess it was just an opinion, even though is sounded as a fact
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