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  • #659,641
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:03am Jun 20, 2012 2:03am
Quoting mbforex74
QE3? what time the news? if it happens to sell or buy EURUSD?
In Quantitative Easing 3 happens, it's a buy situation. Check into it. It BB announces easing operations, but it isn't QE3, or hints at QE3, it's a sell situation. It's as easy as that, in fundamental terms. Positioning, on the other hand, is more complex. If you're an intraday trader, positioning on SL's lower than 40 are tricky in such announcements, because of market noise.

Check into QE's and easing operations of USD, and you'll be more enlightened.
Please, just slap me around if I'm being silly ...
  • #659,642
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:05am Jun 20, 2012 2:05am
Quoting Scribble
the market already priced the QE3
if no QE today then the pair going down hard
o.O the market didn't even begin to price QE entirely. It priced the rumour of QE3. QE3 pricing will happen at 400-500 pips, even more. check historical figures on your chart, look at where QE1 and QE2 pricing started happening, and look at where they got announced. On daily and weekly it was a bull trend on EU lasting for 400pips minimum.

Keep in mind that they only priced the rumour for now, if QE is announced then and only then the real pricing will begin.
Please, just slap me around if I'm being silly ...
  • #659,643
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:09am Jun 20, 2012 2:09am
well to me i think it will go Downside ....only predict but the indi said UpSide
  • #659,644
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:10am Jun 20, 2012 2:10am
Quoting Izanami
well to me i think it will go Downside ....only predict
are you a seer?
  • #659,645
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:12am Jun 20, 2012 2:12am
Quoting undertaker66
are you a seer?
izanagi can change destiny ... izanami will decide LOLLLL
  • #659,646
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:13am Jun 20, 2012 2:13am
Quoting daemon_delux
In Quantitative Easing 3 happens, it's a buy situation. Check into it. It BB announces easing operations, but it isn't QE3, or hints at QE3, it's a sell situation. It's as easy as that, in fundamental terms. Positioning, on the other hand, is more complex. If you're an intraday trader, positioning on SL's lower than 40 are tricky in such announcements, because of market noise.

Check into QE's and easing operations of USD, and you'll be more enlightened.
That will depend on the nature of the easing operation. The reason why QE3 devalues the USD is because QE increases the money supply and inflation which causes a drop in value of a currency.

Increase in money supply = More money chasing fewer goods = Increase in inflation.

Additional money then flows out of the US in order to seek higher returns in riskier assets such as anything not from USD/JPY/CHF. In short, a leak of QE funds into other countries.

So we have to look at the easing operation and whether it injects more liquidity into the market. If so by what method? Asset repurchase or outright money printing?
  • #659,647
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:14am Jun 20, 2012 2:14am
daemon tell the true, all market in flat....gbpusd,eurusd,usdjpy,eurjpy,gbpjpy,usdchf...... and audusd resisting your uptrend. is this a positive signal?
  • #659,648
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:16am Jun 20, 2012 2:16am
look at dow jones chart from 4th june. Can anyone tell me its going bad? all these up trend came here with some positive datas (I know public is suffering as always) Its not only my idea but whoever know bernanke we all know how stober he is. QE3 would be great but i give %40 chance and i am not sure to take this risk.
Its not an advice and sorry for grammar.
  • #659,649
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:16am Jun 20, 2012 2:16am
any PO guys?
  • #659,650
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:16am Jun 20, 2012 2:16am
Quoting Esssex
That will depend on the nature of the easing operation. The reason why QE3 devalues the USD is because QE increases the money supply and inflation which causes a drop in value of a currency.

Increase in money supply = More money chasing fewer goods = Increase in inflation.

Additional money then flows out of the US in order to seek higher returns in riskier assets such as anything not from USD/JPY/CHF.

So we have to look at the easing operation and whether it injects more liquidity into the market. If so by what method? Asset repurchase...
Asset repurchasing would be bad for EU, imo. I state that mainly because it'd be the causeway to investing more $ in assets, equo >>> more assets will be priced in $. The assets will fly into the US, thus making the USD more stronger. The USDFLX index would break through several resistances, thus appreciating the greenback against the fiber and cable.

Outright money printing would be directly QE3, and that would give us a 3-400 pip rally. Correct me if I'm wrong, please.
Please, just slap me around if I'm being silly ...
  • #659,651
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:19am Jun 20, 2012 2:19am
Quoting oundar
look at dow jones chart from 4th june. Can anyone tell me its going bad? all these up trend came here with some positive datas (I know public is suffering as always) Its not only my idea but whoever know bernanke we all know how stober he is. QE3 would be great but i give %40 chance and i am not sure to take this risk.
It doesn't matter whether he announces QE or not. What matters is you profit from all this "Hope" for QE and cash out before he does his announcement.

Remember the 4 human emotions in the market and learn how to play on them, "Fear, Greed, Ignorance, Hope".
  • #659,652
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:19am Jun 20, 2012 2:19am
Quoting opale
daemon tell the true, all market in flat....gbpusd,eurusd,usdjpy,eurjpy,gbpjpy,usdchf...... and audusd resisting your uptrend. is this a positive signal?
I'm stating my opinion towards a fundamental situation, I'm not in any way implying that someone should trade AT THIS PRECISE MOMENT what I'm saying. I'm just clearing out possible situations in expectancy for BB's speech.
Please, just slap me around if I'm being silly ...
  • #659,653
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:20am Jun 20, 2012 2:20am
Quoting Esssex
It doesn't matter whether he announces QE or not. What matters is you profit from all this "Hope" for QE and cash out before he does his announcement.

Remember the 4 human emotions in the market and learn how to play on them, "Fear, Greed, Ignorance, Hope".
Words of wisdom, bro', words of wisdom.
Please, just slap me around if I'm being silly ...
  • #659,654
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:21am Jun 20, 2012 2:21am
Quoting godim
I tried to give the quintessence ...

The market should decide first in AUD. Only then for the EUR.
In the usd / jpy key level is 78,78.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.gif Size: 48 KB
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #659,655
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:24am Jun 20, 2012 2:24am
hopeless pair in this entire month
  • #659,656
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:29am Jun 20, 2012 2:29am
2678 short eur/usd. i think last swing for this up trend. now we have to see 2615 first then 2450 . my tp 2615
looking for investors . pm me
  • #659,657
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:29am Jun 20, 2012 2:29am
Quoting Esssex
It doesn't matter whether he announces QE or not. What matters is you profit from all this "Hope" for QE and cash out before he does his announcement.

Remember the 4 human emotions in the market and learn how to play on them, "Fear, Greed, Ignorance, Hope".
When QE will be announce pl. give the time GMT & where will be it seen
  • #659,658
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:30am Jun 20, 2012 2:30am
Quoting Shalaka65
When QE will be announce pl. give the time GMT & where will be it seen
Check FF calender , it's listed as FOMC
Mohan
  • #659,659
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:31am Jun 20, 2012 2:31am
I've got a short order on at 1.27000 - SL 1.2750 and TP 1.2620 - Not even sure my order will get filled.
May the forex be with you |
  • #659,660
  • Jun 20, 2012 2:32am Jun 20, 2012 2:32am
Quoting daemon_delux
Asset repurchasing would be bad for EU, imo. I state that mainly because it'd be the causeway to investing more $ in assets, equo >>> more assets will be priced in $. The assets will fly into the US, thus making the USD more stronger. The USDFLX index would break through several resistances, thus appreciating the greenback against the fiber and cable.

Outright money printing would be directly QE3, and that would give us a 3-400 pip rally. Correct me if I'm wrong, please.
Asset repurchasing allows FIs to dump their toxic assets and have access to more money which they will then use to seek higher returns(In normal instances).

It also encourages more money to be pumped into US equities as FIs become less toxic and possess healthier balance sheets. Usually strength in US equities will lead to a weaker dollar so we can expect to see a minor rally in EUR/USD but not much as the rally will only be driven by the USD weakness.

A muted rally(100pip or so) will be present for TARP but for QE3 which is outright money injection, this money is able to flow out of the US to seek risky assets which will result in both dollar weakness and Euro strength thus causing 400-500pip rallies.
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