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  • #658,041
  • Edited 1:04am Jun 17, 2012 12:22am | Edited 1:04am
So until mid-March of this year I was testing out a correlation between a ratio of two terms in all of your posts right here on Forex Factory, on this thread and the weekly EURUSD price movement. When in mid-March it predicted 1.27 and then 1.23 but didn't happen within a week or two, I branded the correlation invalid. Now that the euro fell to the levels you all predicted - with a slight delay, I'm willing to take another look at the correlation and research additional factors. But yeah, fyi, ya'll and your chatter are a pretty good indicator of where the price will be headed - short-term and apparently long-term. It was fun creating that Excel macro data scraping Forex Factory for the forum posts (push a button, get result of the analysis) and researching. Let me know if anyone has any thoughts on how to perhaps try to gauge the time frame for the predictions...like perhaps relating the ratio to the proximity of the price forecast? Like if the sentiment is strongly polarized, the time needed to reach the price forecast would be longer? Good luck to you in your trading! Euro's gonna crash and burn For now.
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  • #658,042
  • Jun 17, 2012 12:44am Jun 17, 2012 12:44am
Quoting costos
So until mid-March of this year I was testing out a correlation between a ratio of two terms in all of your posts right here on Forex Factory, on this thread and the weekly EURUSD price movement. When in mid-March it predicted 1.27 and then 1.23 but didn't happen within a week or two, I branded the correlation invalid. Now that the euro fell to the levels you all predicted - with a slight delay, I'm willing to take another look at the correlation and research additional factors. But yeah, fyi, ya'll and your chatter are a pretty good indicator of...
Can't see your excel ...

Don't understand what you want ...

So what?





;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #658,043
  • Jun 17, 2012 12:50am Jun 17, 2012 12:50am
Quoting morob
Hi

I have long

But I have short as well

both with sl but no tp
Doesn't seem very smart, the whipsaw could knock out both positions should there be one after the elections.
  • #658,044
  • Jun 17, 2012 12:50am Jun 17, 2012 12:50am
Quoting Purple
Nobody has time to pick on retail traders these days.. its countries competing with each other these days.. CBs picking on each other.. economies picking on each other .. I wont be surprised if in future I come to know that Obama administration had a team whose sole job was to shore up US dollar and break Euro as a rising reserve currency.. just 4 years back we were talking of Iran selling oil in euro, dinar and Russian rubles .. and countries like India and China starting to 'diversify' their foreign currency reserve by maintaining more and more...
LOL. You obviously missed the latest developments. China, Japan, South Korea, the BRICS and Iran are busy arranging for transactions between each other to be made in their respective currencies bypassing the USD. That will greatly reduce their need for US green toilet paper.
  • #658,045
  • Jun 17, 2012 12:56am Jun 17, 2012 12:56am
Quoting SpacyTrader
US green toilet paper.
Forex rewards patience.
  • #658,046
  • Jun 17, 2012 1:01am Jun 17, 2012 1:01am
Quoting mercy seat
Can't see your excel ...

Don't understand what you want ...

So what?


;-|
I attached a screenshot. I want input.
  • #658,047
  • Jun 17, 2012 1:16am Jun 17, 2012 1:16am
Syriza is anti-austerity. Does it mean that eurusd bears should cheer on Syriza to win the election ... anticipating a collosal colapse of the euro??? Its a repeat of euro2012 with Greece versus The rest.

I am eurusd bear so ole ole Syriza.
  • #658,048
  • Jun 17, 2012 2:07am Jun 17, 2012 2:07am
Quoting Mr.MaginCole
Syriza is anti-austerity. Does it mean that eurusd bears should cheer on Syriza to win the election ... anticipating a collosal colapse of the euro??? Its a repeat of euro2012 with Greece versus The rest.

I am eurusd bear so ole ole Syriza.
Yes Syriza means bears...short! I'm short too!
We will see by today , starting from this afternoon how euro will go!
If Syriza should win or at least greece won't have a clear parliament , euro will fall lower for sure...but on Monday banks will act to avoid catastrophe !
Keep yr finger cross for me too ))
  • #658,049
  • Jun 17, 2012 2:28am Jun 17, 2012 2:28am
Quoting SpacyTrader
LOL. You obviously missed the latest developments. China, Japan, South Korea, the BRICS and Iran are busy arranging for transactions between each other to be made in their respective currencies bypassing the USD. That will greatly reduce their need for US green toilet paper.
Its not any 'latest developments', they have been trying to arrange that transaction since the beginning of Iraq war..


A flow chart showing Europe dis-integration:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...94#post5766994
  • #658,050
  • Jun 17, 2012 2:37am Jun 17, 2012 2:37am
Quoting C5fx
This is not as smart as you might think. Volatility means exactly that. Wild price swings. Huge spreads. You will get stopped out on both before you can blink if it doesn't go exactly as planned.
Hi

maybe this is not smart but this not important

important is that this working for me.

I am doing that nearly every week and have nice profit
even if I lose this week I lose that much what was planed.
if I make profit will be multile x my lose
  • #658,051
  • Jun 17, 2012 2:49am Jun 17, 2012 2:49am
Quoting Purple
Its not any 'latest developments', they have been trying to arrange that transaction since the beginning of Iraq war..


A flow chart showing Europe dis-integration:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...94#post5766994
Yes, yes- Europe will go bust. We all know that. That was not the point. No matter who goes first the US won't do any better- if they default like Greece or devalue the only difference will be who gets to pay for the mess. Obviously the Fed will want to distribute the losses evenly among all the greenback and bond holders.

I've thought this a couple times already but I think I finally fixed all the problems with my system and the only thing the US makes that is fit to store my future winnings in are american eagles. The paper notes will go the way of the zimbabwe dollars.
  • #658,052
  • Jun 17, 2012 3:02am Jun 17, 2012 3:02am
Quoting costos
I attached a screenshot. I want input.
Okay ...

Now I start to see what you mean ...

Your data row shows only a test based on three days ...

Comparing "current prices" and so-called "price projections" ...

###

1.

First of all ...

Why dont you apply this to a longer time of observation? Maybe many weeks, months, quarters, years ...


2.

Where do you get those "projections"?

On which numbers are the "projections" derived from?





;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #658,053
  • Jun 17, 2012 3:17am Jun 17, 2012 3:17am
Quoting mercy seat
Okay ...
Your data row shows only a test based on three days ...
Yeah, I only gave a screenshot of that particular week in March. The model changes every week with the new updated weekly EURUSD price points (rolling 8-9 weeks).

Quote
Why dont you apply this to a longer time of observation? Maybe many weeks, months, quarters, years ...
I have tried a bit longer time frame but getting all of the Forex Factory forum posts data going back quarters and years is kind of crazy without having access to their database. Remember, my data is collected via an automatic macro data scrape off the website. The most data I collected was going back till last quarter of last year.

Quote
Where do you get those "projections"?
On which numbers are the "projections" derived from?
;-|
Like I said, it's based on a ratio of certain keywords from the forum posts on FF forums.
  • #658,054
  • Jun 17, 2012 3:28am Jun 17, 2012 3:28am
Okay ... understood ...


Quoting costos
Yeah, I only gave a screenshot of that particular week in March. The model changes every week with the new updated weekly EURUSD price points (rolling 8-9 weeks).


I have tried a bit longer time frame but getting all of the Forex Factory forum posts data going back quarters and years is kind of crazy without having access to their database. Remember, my data is collected via an automatic macro data scrape off the website. The most data I collected was going back till last quarter of last year.


Like I said, it's based on a ratio of certain...
Just before this response I was wondering about that hard work of reading all those "BS" from these "members" here ...

Quoting mercy seat
Okay ...

Now I start to see what you mean ...

Comparing "current prices" and so-called "price projections" ...

###

1.

Why dont you apply this to a longer time of observation? Maybe many weeks, months, quarters, years ...


2.

On which numbers are the "projections" derived from?





;-|
Moreover - in order to be honest ...

Mostly I even don't read those so-called predictions and wishful projections from all of these "members" here ...

And I could imagine... it is not a great fun for someone who is really deeply concerned in trading related things ...





;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #658,055
  • Jun 17, 2012 3:34am Jun 17, 2012 3:34am
Well ...

I don't trust or believe in automated macros for such things ...

Maybe it's a great fun for you and your bricolage ...



2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #658,056
  • Jun 17, 2012 3:35am Jun 17, 2012 3:35am
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-PpiNv4nUi3...597e1ded9d.jpg
  • #658,057
  • Jun 17, 2012 3:43am Jun 17, 2012 3:43am
Is he still waiting to see 1.2450?



2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #658,058
  • Jun 17, 2012 3:49am Jun 17, 2012 3:49am
Quoting mercy seat
Is he still waiting to see 1.2450?




We could see it early next week.
  • #658,059
  • Jun 17, 2012 4:31am Jun 17, 2012 4:31am
Quoting Purple
US dollar has once again became 'the' currency, the only one which has the capability to be called a global currency, no other currency can replace it.
don't be silly, $ is dying and Bernanke and the FED are directly responsible for that, major shift is coming which will end up very bad for all of us.
2013 should be a year when mother of all bubbles will pop - FED idiots have been postponing natural recessions since dot com bubble.
You should know better, I have noticed you do a lot of fundies reasearch.
There is no such a thing like "it will never happen - this is America", well British Empire is the best example for that, also Titanic was the biggest and safest ship at the time - impossible to sink.

http://s7.postimage.org/3zbek7pob/Reserve_Currency.png
jpg upload
swing it!
  • #658,060
  • Jun 17, 2012 4:37am Jun 17, 2012 4:37am
Quoting ibram.forex
We could see it early next week.
Well ...

Quoting Prodix86
I'm still waiting to see 1.2450
Would have been more interesting to hear from him in a kind of direct response ...

2012-06-15_NY-Close_ EURUSD _ min020 _ (5Dy) barchart + PSAR + TL

Anyway ...

Let's see what kind of event risk posed by Sunday’s Greek election will bring us ...

Someone told me that OANDA customers will not have the possibillity to trade via their proprietary java-platforms during early Wellington opening session times today ...





;-|
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2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
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