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Extreme TMA System

  • #9,901
  • Apr 25, 2012 5:51am Apr 25, 2012 5:51am
Quoting grechmar
Just one question Al, right now many of us are pro-usd, thus avoiding longs on e/u, g/u and shorts on u/j. We re in a strong trending market. When will you start longng/shorting e/u equally, when will we be ina ranging market once more?
Maybe by Autumn. We´ll see...
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #9,902
  • Apr 25, 2012 6:10am Apr 25, 2012 6:10am
1- Bernanke wants Obama to be reelected. Romney has already stated that he will not reappoint Bernanke for another term.

2- The US driving season is a month away. Everyone that knows the US well, understands how important Gas prices are during this season, which this year runs up right to the election.

3- The fastest way to get Oil price down 10% and have it reflected at the pump is to get the dollar higher quickly.

4- The correct words from Bernanke this evening can accomplish that in a hurry.

5- A higher dollar at this moment will be received with open arms by the allies (Europe and Japan). China will receive it well also. It may also help Sarkozy marginally in the upcoming election.

6- Expect Bernanke to be Dollar positive in tone and substance during today´s press conference, (IE- No QE3 talk and a mention of higher inflation).
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #9,903
  • Apr 25, 2012 6:18am Apr 25, 2012 6:18am
Quoting darshanag
Thanks for the interesting indi. Does this also repaint ?
NO!
  • #9,904
  • Edited 8:28am Apr 25, 2012 6:21am | Edited 8:28am
My concerns are that Bernanke has steadfastly supported equities (read 401k's, etc) as a way of supporting wealth in USA since housing is in the toilet. A weak dollar helps USA exporters and repatriation of jobs. I suspect he will keep QE3 on the table but with the indices at these heights there is no way QE will happen. I am a dollar bull, starting to build long term positions in usd/cad looking for 1.30s in the next year or 2. I am a buyer of usd against the yen at lower levels because Japan has insurmountable issues on the horizon, also, like you, Al, expecting eurusd parity as soon as ECB and China support wanes.

usd/cad seems to be toying with the lower H4 TMA band, will likely add to my long on another kiss.

Edit; holding off on the buy due to the -0.57 in TMA slope
"The more I practice the luckier I get." Gary Player
  • #9,905
  • Apr 25, 2012 7:01am Apr 25, 2012 7:01am
Apreciado AL podria influir todas las medidas generadas en españa para hacer subir el euro ? piensa que surtiran efecto dichas medidas parece que hay bastantes dudas referente a lo que esta haciendo el gobierno de españa .por otro lado donde se informa tan bien ? hay alguna web que aconsejaria que viesemos compaginandolo con su extreme .muchas gracias y un saludo .
  • #9,906
  • Apr 25, 2012 7:57am Apr 25, 2012 7:57am
Quoting harry45
NO!
Thanks !
  • #9,907
  • Apr 25, 2012 8:49am Apr 25, 2012 8:49am
Quoting Alorente
Here is UsdIndex Daily chart. As you can see, we are at a crossroads. Which trendline will be broken? The Green one is the rise since last August. The Red one the consolidation of the advance. I believe the Red one will fall very soon and Usd will rocket from there.
Figure triangle! It can speak and a niskhldyashchy trend...
  • #9,908
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:17am Apr 25, 2012 9:17am
Quoting Xabier
Apreciado AL podria influir todas las medidas generadas en españa para hacer subir el euro ? piensa que surtiran efecto dichas medidas parece que hay bastantes dudas referente a lo que esta haciendo el gobierno de españa .por otro lado donde se informa tan bien ? hay alguna web que aconsejaria que viesemos compaginandolo con su extreme .muchas gracias y un saludo .
Si. Daily FX y las noticias de Forex Factory.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #9,909
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:21am Apr 25, 2012 9:21am


Quoting Komendant
niskhldyashchy trend...
Tracking the Specialists.
  • #9,910
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:30am Apr 25, 2012 9:30am
Just shorted AU and EU... Let's see how this thing goes...
  • #9,911
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:37am Apr 25, 2012 9:37am
Quoting beto21_cwb
Just shorted AU and EU... Let's see how this thing goes...
with you, short at 1.32158 on EU.....we'll see.
  • #9,912
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:37am Apr 25, 2012 9:37am
Quoting beto21_cwb
Just shorted AU and EU... Let's see how this thing goes...
If I were you I would not enter anything untill FOMC is done.
Follow me to the Promised Land
  • #9,913
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:49am Apr 25, 2012 9:49am
18pips on e.u

exit after pivot touch and heikenashi, trix change color on 5min tf
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ff.gif Size: 49 KB
  • #9,914
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:50am Apr 25, 2012 9:50am
still holding a.u short
  • #9,915
  • Apr 25, 2012 10:05am Apr 25, 2012 10:05am
Quoting xlitang
If I were you I would not enter anything untill FOMC is done.
I guess you're right.

I followed your advice and closed both for a nice 14 and 11 pips.

My target is 30 pips a day (1% of the acct balance), so I'm almost there now.

I'll now wait the FOMC meeting to decide if I will trade after it.

Thanks for advising.
  • #9,916
  • Apr 25, 2012 10:35am Apr 25, 2012 10:35am
Quoting barmut
...You always try to explain MA cross Bar (not candle) But I couldn't understand it.
Please would you mind to send your template and indicators? (Mostly I want the indicator which shows MA Cross Bar)

You send a packet (includes template and indicators) but I couldn't find Extreme-spike ind. and the indicator for MA Cross Bar.

I liked your system very much. I earned a bit money with your system but I didn't look MA cross bar...
Hi Barmut,
You need to read more of the thread. Those indicators, the MA Crosss bar and the extreme spike, have long been replaced by other better indicators, such as the TMA slope and the Dashboard. That's why they are not available.

Page 1 has a packet.zip file that has the up-to-date indicators being used currently.

Go to page 1 and look at the last time that it was updated. Then go to that date in the thread and read forward to stay current.

Also, see post #5779 by lologo who put together a .pdf for the system. Some things have changed since then, so read forward in the thread from there.

Best regards and good luck,
Ever
The mind thinks, the heart knows...
  • #9,917
  • Apr 25, 2012 10:42am Apr 25, 2012 10:42am
Quoting JoaoOliveira
18pips on e.u

exit after pivot touch and heikenashi, trix change color on 5min tf
Hey congrats man on a solid M5 trade. As evidenced by the PA afterward that was an excellent exit.

Robert
  • #9,918
  • Apr 25, 2012 11:11am Apr 25, 2012 11:11am
Enjoy,
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...81-17-yen.html
Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #9,919
  • Apr 25, 2012 11:15am Apr 25, 2012 11:15am
Interesting cross road, need vigilance.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: silver chart.jpg Size: 120 KB
Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #9,920
  • Apr 25, 2012 11:40am Apr 25, 2012 11:40am
Quoting harry45
Alf is adaptive Laguerre filter.This mod of indi has additional MA line(you should choose period MA) .When it crosses alf line up (blue point appears) and if PA is above alf you should be ready to go long.Try several TF(if alf TF M5 is above alf M15 and above alf H1 and
alf M15 is above alf H1- this is a very powerful setup to go long).
In combination with TMA MTF you ll be a real winner.As to semafor I use it analizing waves on H1,H4,D1( with big periods of ZZ) and determin main direction of trade on a couple of days ahead.
TMA MTF doing...
Harry, Thank you very much for your detailed explanation. It really helps.
Best Regards
Frank
Wishing my last name were LESS
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