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  • #11,381
  • Apr 18, 2012 10:35pm Apr 18, 2012 10:35pm
FYI.....Bidermann also reinforces my post about a possible rise in EURUSD.

hmmmm......

Inserted Video
  • #11,382
  • Apr 18, 2012 10:42pm Apr 18, 2012 10:42pm
Quoting Evaluator
FYI.....Bidermann also reinforces my post about a possible rise in EURUSD.

hmmmm......

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAXwA8LqDDk
I'm not saying that you, or he is wrong Eval. I'm saying that this could go either way....no one knows for sure until it moves, and I'm ready to take whichever side is paying me the money!!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #11,383
  • Apr 18, 2012 10:55pm Apr 18, 2012 10:55pm
Quoting Evaluator
FYI.....Bidermann also reinforces my post about a possible rise in EURUSD.

hmmmm......

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAXwA8LqDDk
Well the daily definitely looks that way.

http://i451.photobucket.com/albums/q...daily_long.png
  • #11,384
  • Apr 19, 2012 1:05am Apr 19, 2012 1:05am
i have question.
my english is not perfect so i understand on page 1 one thing not.

When i go in a trade. So i trade 60-5
and the extrem print a color in the other direction in m5 after i go in my trade have i close my trade immediately even i not in profit?
  • #11,385
  • Apr 19, 2012 1:33am Apr 19, 2012 1:33am
Quoting yelena
yes. enjoy eating first or sleeping. 2.5 hours before the big news (10:30 GMT).

http://www.dailyfx.com/calendar?tz=2&sort=date&week=today&eur=true&usd=true&jpy=true&gbp=true&chf=true&aud=true&cad=true&nzd=true&cny=true&high=true&medium=true&low=true

uhm, it seems that we are expecting 2 auction results, 2014 and 2022 at the same time.

the scenario i hate...
It;s going to be interesting. I guess the reality might be that there is too much at risk if the auction fails.....so ECB won't allow it to fail, which should see a rise in the Euro. We will soon see!!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #11,386
  • Apr 19, 2012 1:36am Apr 19, 2012 1:36am
Quoting yelena
yes. enjoy eating first or sleeping. 2.5 hours before the big news (10:30 GMT).

http://www.dailyfx.com/calendar?tz=2&sort=date&week=today&eur=true&usd=true&jpy=true&gbp=true&chf=true&aud=true&cad=true&nzd=true&cny=true&high=true&medium=true&low=true

uhm, it seems that we are expecting 2 auction results, 2014 and 2022 at the same time.

the scenario i hate...
yelena,

The auction results you want to watch are the 2022 (10 year) bond yield rates. If they rise above 7% then the auction would be considered a failure and cause contaigion risks for the EuroZone and most likely cause a dramatic drop in the EURUSD. If the 10 year yield rates are 6.24% or lower then it would be considered a successful auction and the Euro will most likely rally on these results. As to the 2014 (2 year) bond yields, I would not really look at them so much as the 10 year are the ones that everyone pays most attention because these will determine success or failure of the general bond auction.

The auction will open at the beginning of the Frankfurt markt open and results will be posted at 10.30 Europe time.

Either way it will be an interesing result to see which way the markt sees these results.

Evaluator.:nerd:
  • #11,387
  • Apr 19, 2012 1:39am Apr 19, 2012 1:39am
Quoting realjumper
It;s going to be interesting. I guess the reality might be that there is too much at risk if the auction fails.....so ECB won't allow it to fail, which should see a rise in the Euro. We will soon see!!!

Yes you are correct. I imagine that the ECB will monetize this debt by buying Spain 10 year notes. Which is exactly what Draghi said the ECB would not do.....(monetize European national debt)
  • #11,388
  • Apr 19, 2012 1:57am Apr 19, 2012 1:57am
Quoting Evaluator
yelena,

The auction results you want to watch are the 2022 (10 year) bond yield rates. If they rise above 7% then the auction would be considered a failure and cause contaigion risks for the EuroZone and most likely cause a dramatic drop in the EURUSD. If the 10 year yield rates are 6.24% or lower then it would be considered a successful auction and the Euro will most likely rally on these results. As to the 2014 (2 year) bond yields, I would not really look at them so much as the 10 year are the ones that everyone pays most attention because...
Just another opinion re. 10yr vs. 2yr.

http://www.businessinsider.com/this-...n-spain-2012-4
  • #11,389
  • Apr 19, 2012 2:03am Apr 19, 2012 2:03am
Hi, I am new to this system and am trying to trade the H1 time frame. I took a short on GU at the blue vertical line and the down arrow was present, matrix all red, stochs looked good and supply was right above PA. As the trade progressed and moved against me the down arrow vanished and the matrix repainted which shows me that this trade could hit my SL.

What would more experienced traders do in a situation like this?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart pic 1.gif Size: 24 KB
Trading can't be taught but it can be learned
  • #11,390
  • Apr 19, 2012 2:28am Apr 19, 2012 2:28am
Quoting Pipsninja
Hi, I am new to this system and am trying to trade the H1 time frame. I took a short on GU at the blue vertical line and the down arrow was present, matrix all red, stochs looked good and supply was right above PA. As the trade progressed and moved against me the down arrow vanished and the matrix repainted which shows me that this trade could hit my SL.

What would more experienced traders do in a situation like this?

You entered the trade just as Frankfurt opened. Bad Idea
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #11,391
  • Apr 19, 2012 2:29am Apr 19, 2012 2:29am
Quoting Pipsninja
Hi, I am new to this system and am trying to trade the H1 time frame. I took a short on GU at the blue vertical line and the down arrow was present, matrix all red, stochs looked good and supply was right above PA. As the trade progressed and moved against me the down arrow vanished and the matrix repainted which shows me that this trade could hit my SL.

What would more experienced traders do in a situation like this?
It seems something wrong with your settings or the indi you use as I haven't seen all red on GBPUSD. Although there are more experienced traders here, in my opinion, I wouldn't go short as GBPUSD shows very strong uptrend. Just follow HH-HLs. Remember this is not a 100% mechanical trading system. You should use discretion in selecting which pair to trade during the day as well as exits.

Hope this helps,
Regards,
Blackeagle
  • #11,392
  • Apr 19, 2012 2:54am Apr 19, 2012 2:54am
Thank you rj and Blackeagle for your replies.
Trading can't be taught but it can be learned
  • #11,393
  • Apr 19, 2012 3:21am Apr 19, 2012 3:21am
Quoting Evaluator
yelena,

The auction results you want to watch are the 2022 (10 year) bond yield rates. If they rise above 7% then the auction would be considered a failure and cause contaigion risks for the EuroZone and most likely cause a dramatic drop in the EURUSD. If the 10 year yield rates are 6.24% or lower then it would be considered a successful auction and the Euro will most likely rally on these results. As to the 2014 (2 year) bond yields, I would not really look at them so much as the 10 year are the ones that everyone pays most attention because...
Results are 1030 Franfurt time or 1030 GMT?Anyone know? Where can we get results posted immediately?
  • #11,394
  • Apr 19, 2012 3:26am Apr 19, 2012 3:26am
Quoting realjumper
You entered the trade just as Frankfurt opened. Bad Idea
realjumper,

first, I just want to say thank you for all your posts which I have read most of them and I find them very value

what do you mean it is bad to open at the Frankfurt open? I have realized that at the London open sometimes there are really reverse of the trend, but the Frankfurt open is one hour before the London open, what is your experience open at frankfurt? is it because the trend is still not properly defined?

thank you
  • #11,395
  • Apr 19, 2012 3:30am Apr 19, 2012 3:30am
The system work very well. I had some losing trades but the average is positive. This morning 2 buy opened pos.
  • #11,396
  • Apr 19, 2012 3:34am Apr 19, 2012 3:34am
10 year Spanish bonds going good. If Euro break 1.32, it's going to 1.33 fast. IMO. If it doesn't break 1.32, it's going to range today AGAIN!
  • #11,397
  • Apr 19, 2012 3:44am Apr 19, 2012 3:44am
Quoting yelena
now til next 6 mins.. no impact yet although buying rally began 1.5 hours ago.
I saw it on Bloomberg. Thx.
  • #11,398
  • Apr 19, 2012 3:47am Apr 19, 2012 3:47am
CLASSIC BUY the rumor, SELL the news. We'll be ranging today. Be careful. Very volatile swings.
  • #11,399
  • Apr 19, 2012 3:59am Apr 19, 2012 3:59am
Yelena & RJ,

I just took this fast trade for 13 pips and sold out.
Worked perfectly!

tks

snarlyjack
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: picture 34.gif Size: 28 KB
  • #11,400
  • Apr 19, 2012 4:04am Apr 19, 2012 4:04am
Quoting snarlyjack
Yelena & RJ,

I just took this fast trade for 13 pips and sold out.
Worked perfectly!

tks

snarlyjack
Nice.....you're getting good at this Jack
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
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