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EURUSD

  • #592,761
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:18pm Feb 7, 2012 2:18pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Euro will crash at a moment you don't expect it.
So better be prepared!!
Don't worry I will be. I'm waiting for it. I think eur is going to take a 400pip hit soon. But I trade what the chart are telling me, not what I think.
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  • #592,762
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:26pm Feb 7, 2012 2:26pm
Quoting ChipsnPips
Don't worry I will be. I'm waiting for it. I think eur is going to take a 400pip hit soon. But I trade what the chart are telling me, not what I think.
That ist right
  • #592,763
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:27pm Feb 7, 2012 2:27pm
Quoting ChipsnPips
Don't worry I will be. I'm waiting for it. I think eur is going to take a 400pip hit soon. But I trade what the chart are telling me, not what I think.
Its not the time yet, but the crash will be far more than 400 pips.
Think of a thousand pips at least, probably more.
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  • #592,764
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:28pm Feb 7, 2012 2:28pm
Quoting MasterBO
That ist right
What isn't?
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  • #592,765
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:31pm Feb 7, 2012 2:31pm
Quoting Pommegranate
When Greece defaults over the coming weeks, and leaves the Eurozone, we could have with EUR/USD a large selloff to the 1.2850/1.29 level and then a mother of all short covering rallies.

What do you think guys?
What about the possibility that if Greece were to go under and leave the EUR that the EUR soars?

Everyone seems to think it will lead to disaster. Not saying this is what I definitely think, but a counter point to think about.

The end result could be that much as when an individual or company goes bankrupt in America it is viewed as a clean slate.

Creditors are back soliciting you to open credit lines with them within months of bankruptcy because you can't go belly up again for years.

Greece leaving the EUROzone and bailing on it's creditors could actually cause a huge gain for it's currency.

Contrary viewpoint, but plausible.
  • #592,766
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:37pm Feb 7, 2012 2:37pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Its not the time yet, but the crash will be far more than 400 pips.
Think of a thousand pips at least, probably more.
A thousand pips would be nice, could take early retirement at 25.
  • #592,767
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:41pm Feb 7, 2012 2:41pm
First up, then down, says someone.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #592,768
  • Feb 7, 2012 2:51pm Feb 7, 2012 2:51pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Its not the time yet, but the crash will be far more than 400 pips.
Think of a thousand pips at least, probably more.
A large correction on the daily is usually around there anyways. I'd like to see it around 0.7 or 0.8 for a long term position. If Greece Italy and Portugal pullout we might, after a few dozen interventions finally see it. But I don't expect these lows until after the China meltdown in a few years.
  • #592,769
  • Feb 7, 2012 3:05pm Feb 7, 2012 3:05pm
Quoting ssotiro
According to local media, the draft is already completed and is being "discussed" with the relative Ministres.

The meeting between the PM and the coalition leaders will follow and the deal will be finalized.

If I have any more news, I will let you know.
Hi everyone, i am a french new rookie and i just started trading on EUR/USD.

I noticed that this breaking news from Ssotiro was the trigger for this bullish trend, when i saw this post i didnt really think it would have this impact, so i missed the train.

I really want to ask Ssotiro about the source of his info, what is the name of the local media please ? thanks

(sorry for my english)
  • #592,770
  • Feb 7, 2012 3:08pm Feb 7, 2012 3:08pm
Quoting Z3iz3i
First up, then down, says someone.
Right, my expectation is we have to finish the bull run.
Probably 50% Fib, or even 61.8% Fib, then the crash will follow.

Lets wait and see.
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  • #592,771
  • Feb 7, 2012 3:14pm Feb 7, 2012 3:14pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Right, my expectation is we have to finish the bull run.
Probably 50% Fib, or even 61.8% Fib, then the crash will follow.

Lets wait and see.
And don't think it's all about Greece, Portugal is looming, Ireland too. Spain, Italy, oh my god there is no end in sight for the moment.
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  • #592,772
  • Feb 7, 2012 3:18pm Feb 7, 2012 3:18pm
Quoting KillerWhale
And don't think it's all about Greece, Portugal is looming, Ireland too. Spain, Italy, oh my god there is no end in sight for the moment.
Like I every say in my posts:
Eurozone was crap before this bulltrap and still crap right now...
There`s nothing to suport this EUR bull rallie...
  • #592,773
  • Feb 7, 2012 3:27pm Feb 7, 2012 3:27pm
Lol, like yesterday, really nice retrace.

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  • #592,774
  • Feb 7, 2012 4:02pm Feb 7, 2012 4:02pm
it seems in Asia are selling Euro

anyone knows pls asian futures situation?
Don't give up
  • #592,775
  • Feb 7, 2012 4:06pm Feb 7, 2012 4:06pm
Quoting geomink
it seems in Asia are selling Euro

anyone knows pls asian futures situation?
looks profit taking have to wait 30 minutes for selling confirmation , if you short keep eye on 36 /32 (short time 43/40),

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/world-indexes/ (approx 5 min delayed feed)

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures/
Mohan
  • #592,776
  • Feb 7, 2012 4:08pm Feb 7, 2012 4:08pm
Hello everyone, a trading friend introduced me to this website today.

I just wanted to give props to killer whale for calling today's thrust higher in the euro. Nice call man.

I would have to agree that the bullish flag consolidation pattern on the 4H and daily charts seemed pretty obvious.

We still probably have a ways to go before we find an intermediate top here.

I am still in my long position from 1.3114 this morning. I am a swing trader, not a scalper so I still think higher highs lie ahead.

Good luck to all.
  • #592,777
  • Feb 7, 2012 4:11pm Feb 7, 2012 4:11pm
Quoting mohan76
looks profit taking have to wait 30 minutes for selling confirmation , if you and short keep eye on 36 /32 (short time 43/40),

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/world-indexes/ (approx 5 min delayed feed)

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures/
thank you very much

I'm long cause I hoped in the break above
Don't give up
  • #592,778
  • Feb 7, 2012 4:12pm Feb 7, 2012 4:12pm
Quoting geomink
it seems in Asia are selling Euro

anyone knows pls asian futures situation?
I am from Indonesia and has been following EU/USD for about two years, and I think I am pretty much qualified to answer you question

Here in Asia, we believe that this raging-bull was caused mostly by market sentiment rather than news. Our analysis- there will be correction to at least to the last strong support (1.3224) or even lower. Our estimation for the next few hours will be bullish, then drop to that support.
As you can see on the, RSI also indicates overbought situation at the moment. If you want to wait until the next few hours, you may miss the early bear. But, worth wait if you want to play safe.

Overall anaylsis - bear
CMIWW, I am still learing from all masters here

hope this helps
sorry for my engrish
  • #592,779
  • Feb 7, 2012 4:14pm Feb 7, 2012 4:14pm
I have a small short, maybe turn into a little bigger? Stop is BE already so no risk
I'll let it go for now, need sleep.
And it's raining here big time.
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  • #592,780
  • Feb 7, 2012 4:15pm Feb 7, 2012 4:15pm
projection for euro after BE......need to see PA after ECB press Conf Very closely
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