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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #21,701
  • Feb 3, 2012 7:45am Feb 3, 2012 7:45am
Quoting Gofer Pips
WTF? Website posted funny! Twice and without chart on one
it does that sometimes when the server gets really busy. Just delete the one you don't want
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,702
  • Feb 3, 2012 7:49am Feb 3, 2012 7:49am
My apologies to my fellow traders. I slammed that hammer down a bit too hard

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,703
  • Feb 3, 2012 7:51am Feb 3, 2012 7:51am
Quoting PipTrapper
No..
Well, that didn't work
I observe your reality but live my own.
  • #21,704
  • Feb 3, 2012 7:53am Feb 3, 2012 7:53am
Quoting PipTrapper
If the NFP number comes in much better than expected, I feel the USD will actually gain value. Why? Because the USD started to lose value after the dovish FOMC statement. This was due to increased probability of QE3. However, a much better than expected NFP report should lessen the chances of QE3 as it makes it less justifiable. In such a case, the USD should regain some of its losses... not that capital will not move from USD to other currencies, but perhaps the diminished chances of QE3 would bring back some interest in USDs... at least enough to counter the natural flow to riskier higher yielding assets.
Could this scenario actually be playing out?
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,705
  • Feb 3, 2012 7:58am Feb 3, 2012 7:58am
Quoting PipTrapper
Could this scenario actually be playing out?
this is pretty amazing. a$,u$ and c$ are all bullish.

look at eur/aud dropping like a stone
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #21,706
  • Feb 3, 2012 7:59am Feb 3, 2012 7:59am
Quoting PipTrapper
Could this scenario actually be playing out?
Very possible! We will know by London close.
I love playing that hedge on the NFP
  • #21,707
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:01am Feb 3, 2012 8:01am
Quoting redteamgo
this is pretty amazing. a$,u$ and c$ are all bullish.

look at eur/aud dropping like a stone
G/U is down also. Europe is #@&%'ed

I think this is more likely the reason...

Eurogroup won’t meet Monday

Written by Jamie Coleman
February 3, 2012 at 13:51 GMT

Maybe later next week.
Suggests to me they don’t have anything to meet about on Monday because a Greek deal is not going to get done over the weekend.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,708
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:06am Feb 3, 2012 8:06am
Here's a nice chart to see move in USD index that refreshes pretty quickly.

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy
  • #21,709
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:09am Feb 3, 2012 8:09am
...and now

Dutch PM: Don’t want to write-down our loans to Greece

Written by Jamie Coleman
February 3, 2012 at 13:58 GMT

Wow. That notion never entered my mind at this stage. Later, sure…Adding more fuel to the euro-negative fire.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,710
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:12am Feb 3, 2012 8:12am
Quoting Gofer Pips
Here's a nice chart to see move in USD index that refreshes pretty quickly.

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy
kewl
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,711
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:20am Feb 3, 2012 8:20am
Talk that Greek PM is going to resign - Eurgroup meeting canceled

from twitter
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,712
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:24am Feb 3, 2012 8:24am
e/j not followin eu??
  • #21,713
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:26am Feb 3, 2012 8:26am
Quoting PipTrapper
Could this scenario actually be playing out?
I'm seeing a bit of that. Where I'm really seeing the most movement is commodities currencies, especially against the Euro and GBP


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I don't care which way the market is going as long as it's going my way
  • #21,714
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:26am Feb 3, 2012 8:26am
Quoting PeepPeep
e/j not followin eu??
Braod USD strength is pushing UJ up concurrently with EU goin down, so EJ oscillates.... the japanese couldnt be more thrilled about this print
  • #21,715
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:28am Feb 3, 2012 8:28am
Euro-QE is upon us now.
The next LTRO is at the end of February
If they manage to issue the 1+ trillion Euros they are expecting, then the ECB's balance sheet will hold the world record as the fattest.

If you're not short the Euro yet and you plan to be, my advice is to wait till a break below 1.3025 followed by a pullback.

Also remember that we still have the ISM Non Manufacturing index at 10am EST (3pm GMT)
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,716
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:31am Feb 3, 2012 8:31am
Quoting PipTrapper
Talk that Greek PM is going to resign - Eurgroup meeting canceled

from twitter

Never believe a rumor until it is officially denied…


from Jamie Coleman @ Forex live
I don't care which way the market is going as long as it's going my way
  • #21,717
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:35am Feb 3, 2012 8:35am
Quoting Wulfgar
Braod USD strength is pushing UJ up concurrently with EU goin down, so EJ oscillates.... the japanese couldnt be more thrilled about this print
Anybody for Sake?

http://www.naomipearl.com/images/col...ns/c6_sake.jpg
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,718
  • Feb 3, 2012 8:37am Feb 3, 2012 8:37am
Quoting PipKiller
Never believe a rumor until it is officially denied…


from Jamie Coleman @ Forex live
haha. this one says they deny he has resigned. The one I posted says he may resign. Two different things.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,719
  • Feb 3, 2012 9:00am Feb 3, 2012 9:00am
From page 1

--Monday, Feb. 13: Deadline for formal Greek debt restructuring offer to creditors.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #21,720
  • Feb 3, 2012 9:02am Feb 3, 2012 9:02am
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index soars to 56.8 Wow!!! US economy is getting healthier. QE3 now becomes less of a probability and more of a remote possibility. Hard to justify QE3 with these kinds of numbers, although I am sure the doves at the Fed will still be jawboning about it.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
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