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  • #591,321
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:32am Feb 3, 2012 4:32am
Quoting Tellerton
"...if stops are holding" - I don't understand that.
sl for many short positions that has been taken.
it means if they wont be taken by market. (it will boost the prices up if they will be broken/taken)
(am i correct? )

(edited and corrected. sorry)
  • #591,322
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:33am Feb 3, 2012 4:33am
Quoting Henryk
This is here what I said yesterday. Gap on USDX must be fill. Here is gap between 81.92-81.93 filled. For me this is very good signal to go sell. 1.3175. Target - 1.30 or lower.
Don't trade this forgotton gaps...you will fail.
Change your plateform or ignore them.

I've tried it last year...the ultimate failure! Gap eurusd 1,3950...wanna trade it ?

Change your plateform...you will never see such things on Bloomberg/reuters...
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #591,323
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:34am Feb 3, 2012 4:34am
I think Come back to 1.3080-90 afterwards Jump to 1.3250-70
Bullish Flag pattern In H4
this is my chart:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen shot 2012-02-03 at 2.00.31 PM.jpg Size: 115 KB
  • #591,324
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:38am Feb 3, 2012 4:38am
Quoting krwawnik
sl for many short positions that has been taken.
it means if they wont be taken by market. (
(am i correct? )

(edited and corrected. sorry)

Oh. Okay, he means if they don't get hit. That is if it doesn't go over 1.3185, we'll probably not go to 1.32?

I suspect the Rat will gin up another piece of bad news like the Wen story to bring shorts in, and then jerk the price up suddenly to put them into an immediate state of loss ... and THEN, march the price up to and THROUGH 1.32 - KA ching, KA ching, KA ching!

Many traders will not jump out if loss is brought on suddenly.
  • #591,325
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:44am Feb 3, 2012 4:44am
Quoting Artemis21
I think Come back to 1.3080-90 afterwards Jump to 1.3250-70
Bullish Flag pattern In H4
this is my chart:

A rise to 3250 would be a nice setup for a rip-roaring spike down if the Trimtabs prediction for an NFP downside surprise is correct... maybe a spike back down well below 1.3080-90
  • #591,326
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:44am Feb 3, 2012 4:44am
Quoting kuroro001
Don't trade this forgotton gaps...you will fail.
Change your plateform or ignore them.

I've tried it last year...the ultimate failure! Gap eurusd 1,3950...wanna trade it ?

Change your plateform...you will never see such things on Bloomberg/reuters...
But why I testing it on the 100 positions and It have 100% success? I donīt also believe, but when I thought that, it will not return to fill the gap on USDX, so it always returned.
  • #591,327
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:45am Feb 3, 2012 4:45am
Quoting Tellerton
"...if stops are holding" - I don't understand that.
"Buy to cover stop order" is the exact word

Just easier to say if stops get triggered at that area and price jumps through.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #591,328
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:45am Feb 3, 2012 4:45am
Short, definitely a short.
  • #591,329
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:49am Feb 3, 2012 4:49am
Quoting TheBanker
Short, definitely a short.
If stops get popped up a little higher, its just gonna run into a brick wall at 1.3200... there is truck loads of supply here, boatloads of supply reside ahead of the big fig. Container ship sized boatloads
  • #591,330
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:49am Feb 3, 2012 4:49am
buy why do you think have a gap to be filled?
there is absolutely no reason for that and further a gap depends on your trading platform respectively on the datafeed your platform is using.

look at the current market. nearly every price has at least been hitted twice or more during this time.

it will work a lot of time but once it will not work and then you are maybe in a really bad position.

as somebody said earlier last week: it looks like men always think they have to fill every gap...

dont get me wrong, if you believe in your strategy then trade it. believing in a strategy is one of the most important parts of trading. but please dont expect much of support if a gap has not been filled for months.



Quoting Henryk
But why I testing it on the 100 positions and It have 100% success? I donīt also believe, but when I thought that, it will not return to fill the gap on USDX, so it always returned.
.:: your stop loss is another trader's first target ::.
  • #591,331
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:49am Feb 3, 2012 4:49am
Quoting TheBanker
Short, definitely a short.

Do not give us so many details and flood our feeble minds with so much information. Keep is more simple please.
  • #591,332
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:50am Feb 3, 2012 4:50am
Quoting mercy seat
Added some short pos. at 1.3174 and 1.3175 ...

Time 11h03 CET




;-|
Hmmm with NFP coming up this afternoon I am not convinced adding to a short position is the best idea. However I do hold the view that EUR/USD is going to go short and break the lows 1.26229 made on Friday 13th January 2012 (and who says that the market has no sense of humour). However the question is when to start loading the big position to take it down. I am holding out for 1.34000 which is towards the top of Kumo on the daily chart. As the price action moves within Kumo, I think we are going to see lots of sideways trading. Great for scalping a few pips here and there which can really build the account. I will be doing this though I am really to look to build the big position to take it down. The market is currently really short the Euro and I think a lot of these positions will have to be taken out before it starts to turn south. I am a great believer that the market will inflict the maximum amount of pain on the most people and by going long, that is exactly what it is doing. There is a saying that if you want a friend in the Forex market, get a dog.
  • #591,333
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:55am Feb 3, 2012 4:55am
Quoting mercy seat
Added some short pos. at 1.3174 and 1.3175 ...

Time 11h03 CET




;-|

Additional bigger sell limits has been triggered at 1.3183 with mine ...

Time 11h46 CET ...




;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #591,334
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:55am Feb 3, 2012 4:55am
Quoting ChristopherM
Hmmm with NFP coming up this afternoon I am not convinced adding to a short position is the best idea. ***Snipped for space savings.***
Wise.

Just ahead of NFP all the liquidity will be pulled and there will be nothing to stop price moving any which way.... right now there are sellers shoveling all they can at 3180, but they're gonna go away as the numbers get released and the craziness... fueled by no liquidity.... starts.
  • #591,335
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:56am Feb 3, 2012 4:56am
Quoting Z3iz3i
"Buy to cover stop order" is the exact word

Just easier to say if stops get triggered at that area and price jumps through.
OK.

The part that threw me was that: you can't take an informed entry (or not) at a specified level if you need the price to actually GO THROUGH it FIRST...

But I understand what you're saying.
  • #591,336
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:58am Feb 3, 2012 4:58am
Quoting Henryk
But why I testing it on the 100 positions and It have 100% success? I donīt also believe, but when I thought that, it will not return to fill the gap on USDX, so it always returned.
You know how it works...you need 100 trades to build your account, and just one to blow it up.

But if it works for you, that's good.

Been there, done that, blew it.
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #591,337
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:59am Feb 3, 2012 4:59am
Quoting Crassius
Wise.

Just ahead of NFP all the liquidity will be pulled and there will be nothing to stop price moving any which way.... right now there are sellers shoveling all they can at 3180, but they're gonna go away as the numbers get released and the craziness... fueled by no liquidity.... starts.

What is your prediction for NFP?
  • #591,338
  • Feb 3, 2012 4:59am Feb 3, 2012 4:59am
Yes ... correct ...

Now is now ...

And later is later ...

I don't need any friends ...

And I do have a really beautiful dog ... and I love it ...






Quoting ChristopherM
Hmmm with NFP coming up this afternoon I am not convinced adding to a short position is the best idea. However I do hold the view that EUR/USD is going to go short and break the lows 1.26229 made on Friday 13th January 2012 (and who says that the market has no sense of humour). However the question is when to start loading the big position to take it down. I am holding out for 1.34000 which is towards the top of Kumo on the daily chart. As the price action moves within Kumo, I think we are going to see lots of sideways trading. Great for scalping...
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #591,339
  • Feb 3, 2012 5:01am Feb 3, 2012 5:01am
I'll better stay out before the trend is clear....hoping to go short likely
you are the creator of your own destiny-Shivyog
  • #591,340
  • Feb 3, 2012 5:01am Feb 3, 2012 5:01am
Quoting kuroro001
You know how it works...you need 100 trades to build your account, and just one to blow it up.

But if it works for you, that's good.

Been there, done that, blew it.
And many times!
They think they are smarter than I am.
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