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EurAnalysis

  • #18,561
  • Jan 10, 2012 4:52am Jan 10, 2012 4:52am
Quoting theIEguy9_09
I think I was talking about average daily range....mines is at 118 pips but can't see how that will be achieved

Here may be useful info and indies for you ..
  • #18,562
  • Jan 10, 2012 4:54am Jan 10, 2012 4:54am
Quoting AFXFin
Tough one.

Since Europe is in this crisis I'd say that every single resistance is serious. But the ones that will hold?

Let's assume this is now uptrend (which is surely not confirmed yet). I'd say closest is 1.30 - not so much technical or fundamental way, but psychologically.

Next ones:1.353 - Novembers turn point (Lets not forget that traders do look history...)

And then 1.41 absolutely holding resistance - no doubt. To get there I'll say lot of money must flow in Euro river... It also needs that Mr Sarkozy and Mrs Merkel stop bouncing...
I see from IFR Market Charts next Resistance is at 1.2847 or Round Number 1.2850

These are times where EUR/USD might move to 1.2850 ?

The operative word is MIGHT ?

I also watch EUR/JPY at 98.38 now with High at 98.44...

At 6:00 AM EST I will start to Monitor US Bond Yields on the 2 Year and the 10 Years.
  • #18,563
  • Jan 10, 2012 4:56am Jan 10, 2012 4:56am
Lol my freakin script didn't trigger...that sucks...entry@5:53am est exit@5:55am if stupid script would of activated...now I have to wait again...geez first partial fill and script not acting right....market seems to be hating on me right now
  • #18,564
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:02am Jan 10, 2012 5:02am
Tough fight

1. 1.2810 cross and staying above
2. 1.2860 cross and staying above
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU.PNG Size: 44 KB
  • #18,565
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:03am Jan 10, 2012 5:03am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting knoholygrail
Before I went To Bed I put on a short at 1.27879 and I got taken out at 1.27706 for 17 PIPS at 2:54 AM.

This mornings pattern was an inverse one where it rose until 2:30 AM and then it reversed on my 15 Minute chart down to 1.27415 until 3:30 AM.

As Europe went Positive it hit a high of 1.2809 and hence I asked about Resistance at 1.2813 and above.

I now Follow the Dow Futures showing up at 96 now and note Strength in Gold at $1628 US Up substantially.

My thinking now is where and when to short EUR/USD as I watch to see if the...
Cannot say. Well what I see, is that all serious DOW stock prices are up, excluding Microsoft and Disney, but since Spring has been always a recession time for both companies - I would not worry about them.

Disney relies on product sales and Christmas is their sale time. MIcrosoft commonly develop new stuff for Autumn market and makes serious product releases around April, so we can expect them not to raise.

If I'd be a future trader (which surely I am not) I would buy and that means price would go up. (Not because of me of course ).
  • #18,566
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:07am Jan 10, 2012 5:07am
Quoting knoholygrail
I see from IFR Market Charts next Resistance is at 1.2847 or Round Number 1.2850

These are times where EUR/USD might move to 1.2850 ?

The operative word is MIGHT ?

I also watch EUR/JPY at 98.38 now with High at 98.44...

At 6:00 AM EST I will start to Monitor US Bond Yields on the 2 Year and the 10 Years.
EUR/USD managed to probe to a 1.2810 High amid the 1.2800 Expiry Option.

Fresh offers are seen THICK from the 1.2829's to 1.2850/s and signs of fatigue are looked for.

Dow Futures Up 104 now and Yield on 2 Year US Bonds is .25% and 10 Year US Bond is at 1.98% with spread at 173 Basis Points. Gold STRONG at $1630 now.

EUR/USD at 1.2802 and EUR/JPY is at 98.36
  • #18,567
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:08am Jan 10, 2012 5:08am
Quoting rekon67
Tough fight

1. 1.2810 cross and staying above
2. 1.2860 cross and staying above
With my trading plan I see a significant cross on the 4hr chart...I do not trade this chart because I am a short term trader but can anyone shine any light on what I'm looking at?
  • #18,568
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:09am Jan 10, 2012 5:09am
Quoting Islander
Hi GP - is this what your looking for - the grey market profile type indy on the RHS of the screen - the look period back can be set, so with a low setting it would show more as a real time indy. This shot is set at 500 bars.....its attached....
Cheers
Islander
Yesssss! Thanks Islander!
  • #18,569
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:09am Jan 10, 2012 5:09am
Quoting knoholygrail
EUR/USD managed to probe to a 1.2810 High amid the 1.2800 Expiry Option.

Fresh offers are seen THICK from the 1.2829's to 1.2850/s and signs of fatigue are looked for.

Dow Futures Up 104 now and Yield on 2 Year US Bonds is .25% and 10 Year US Bond is at 1.98% with spread at 173 Basis Points. Gold STRONG at $1630 now.

EUR/USD at 1.2802 and EUR/JPY is at 98.36
looks like traders are waiting merkel n largerde meet today..
Bismillah
  • #18,570
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:12am Jan 10, 2012 5:12am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting knoholygrail
I see from IFR Market Charts next Resistance is at 1.2847 or Round Number 1.2850

These are times where EUR/USD might move to 1.2850 ?

The operative word is MIGHT ?

I also watch EUR/JPY at 98.38 now with High at 98.44...

At 6:00 AM EST I will start to Monitor US Bond Yields on the 2 Year and the 10 Years.
I found some time ago nice combo analysis from here: http://www.forexticket.co.uk/en/forex/eurusd

It's got all different supports and resistances, indexes (which are not calculated correctly - or the way I like them to be calculated to be precise), but also correlation, which is quite important to me.

I've done one correlation indicator for MT4, but analysis is so heavy it kills the software. I also programmed one to our trading server, but I haven't had a time to finalize it.
  • #18,571
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:12am Jan 10, 2012 5:12am
Quoting theIEguy9_09
With my trading plan I see a significant cross on the 4hr chart...I do not trade this chart because I am a short term trader but can anyone shine any light on what I'm looking at?
Can you share the chart mate?
  • #18,572
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:17am Jan 10, 2012 5:17am
just covered as it the Bollinger on a 5 Minute with Sar went red...

My sense now is 1.2815 is good resistance as long as Dow Futures stay below 125 !!!
  • #18,573
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:19am Jan 10, 2012 5:19am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting krunfx
looks like traders are waiting merkel n largerde meet today..
I'd say BIS is moving markets now. They sold at 1.28050 and caused price to turn down.
  • #18,574
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:21am Jan 10, 2012 5:21am
Quoting knoholygrail
just covered as it the Bollinger on a 5 Minute with Sar went red...

My sense now is 1.2815 is good resistance as long as Dow Futures stay below 125 !!!
Correlation with SP500 and EUR/USD somewhat detached lately because of Negarive news in Eurozone...

Off for Breakfast now...
  • #18,575
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:23am Jan 10, 2012 5:23am
Quoting AFXFin
I'd say BIS is moving markets now. They sold at 1.28050 and caused price to turn down.
when?now or last week?
Bismillah
  • #18,576
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:23am Jan 10, 2012 5:23am
Quoting rekon67
Can you share the chart mate?
Then I will have to show everything lol....right now I'm down 1 trade because of the "Partial fill"....opened up 1 sell order and 4 different ones popped up....1 got triggered the rest smashed...I traded too close to my in-decision zone and paid for it.....I still should of got all my pips on this trade though...after my son leaves for school I will re-focus and beat the crap out of the market....pay backs a B!!
  • #18,577
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:27am Jan 10, 2012 5:27am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting krunfx
when?now or last week?
Just right now. They bought at 1.2762 and sold 1.2805
  • #18,578
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:30am Jan 10, 2012 5:30am
Quoting AFXFin
Just right now. They bought at 1.2762 and sold 1.2805
lets see...hehhee..... but 4hr candle still bullish for me...unless merkel n lagarde dissapoint
Bismillah
  • #18,579
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:31am Jan 10, 2012 5:31am
Quoting AFXFin
Just right now. They bought at 1.2762 and sold 1.2805
Interesting .... guess this order data is not public (?!) ... Are you working with any Forex / Stock Broker? Just curious about the news source
  • #18,580
  • Jan 10, 2012 5:31am Jan 10, 2012 5:31am
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