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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #29,301
  • Edited 10:11pm Dec 17, 2011 8:30am | Edited 10:11pm
Live birth or abort near maturation ? what BOJ do next ? continue interven against this great power or take the loss & surrender with risk appetite & gold up again !!
anyway it becoming a matter of great concern when seeing in daily tf developing for many days , very tough to abort for sure also .people intervention reinstitue ok , go towards reaction high as most abnormal but no break , may to fall fall to the centre & valivation reaction low to abort. extreme bearish even with intervention .
Handle with care not only this pair but every pair , some disaster certainly coming next days .
fontu

just to add the fear found this news :
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=332251
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd5.gif Size: 18 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #29,302
  • Dec 22, 2011 5:24am Dec 22, 2011 5:24am
Looks like total capitulation... no posts for last 3 days..

UJ 200ma at 78.19... watch action near these levels...
  • #29,303
  • Dec 22, 2011 6:23am Dec 22, 2011 6:23am
Quoting ultra_knight
Looks like total capitulation... no posts for last 3 days..

UJ 200ma at 78.19... watch action near these levels...
Sadly you are right. On the day that USD/JPY has broken above the big figure at 78.000, no one posts anything. Maybe we are all struck in awe that this pair has actually made a move out of range.
  • #29,304
  • Dec 22, 2011 9:23am Dec 22, 2011 9:23am
Sadly this pairs simply wont going up without intervention,even the stronger USD also wont help this pairs much - maybe 2012 would change soon as this pairs suffered 4-5 longterm downtrend now
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #29,305
  • Dec 22, 2011 9:27am Dec 22, 2011 9:27am
Quoting FXMindset
Sadly this pairs simply wont going up without intervention,even the stronger USD also wont help this pairs much - maybe 2012 would change soon as this pairs suffered 4-5 longterm downtrend now

I'm still watching it Breakout coming!
  • #29,306
  • Dec 22, 2011 9:47am Dec 22, 2011 9:47am
Quoting lolygagv2
I'm still watching it Breakout coming!
1000 pips
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #29,307
  • Dec 25, 2011 7:59am Dec 25, 2011 7:59am
I am not a expert in FA but this news definitely will affect this pair on Monday open. Gapping up or down, I close my long few hrs before closing. For those holdIng over the weekends. My bet is yen pair wil weaken. All the best

Japan and China will promote direct trading of yen and yuan without using dollars and will encourage the development of a market for the exchange, to cut costs for companies, the Japanese government said.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-1...any-costs.html
trade safe
  • #29,308
  • Dec 25, 2011 6:20pm Dec 25, 2011 6:20pm
USDJPY is still below 78.60....if this doesn't break upwards, a slow downtrend will be formed, towards 75.00 and even below next year....
  • #29,309
  • Dec 28, 2011 8:32am Dec 28, 2011 8:32am
Quoting Demon Bane
USDJPY is still below 78.60....if this doesn't break upwards, a slow downtrend will be formed, towards 75.00 and even below next year....

Major bounce factor! That support is something strong, but what will the catalyst be for an uptrend. Remember, before in down S&P days, USDJPY would be lower, now in down S&P days, USDJPY is higher!

I'll be surprised if we break 77.5 or 78.5 by Jan 2nd.
  • #29,310
  • Edited 5:19pm Dec 28, 2011 5:01pm | Edited 5:19pm
First and foremost, I am an not expert in prediction. Because I see a lot of people doing prediction, so I just join them for fun. Do not take this seriously.

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=587&h=402
  • #29,311
  • Dec 28, 2011 7:44pm Dec 28, 2011 7:44pm
i forecast yen to the downside for every gain....hahaha

this mean....if yen break 75(lowest price)......Azumi should intervene!!!hahaha...


and.....they may intervene secretely to weaken the yen until...."azumi satisfy" he said already after the first intervention made by him last month!!
Bismillah
  • #29,312
  • Dec 29, 2011 1:45pm Dec 29, 2011 1:45pm
Yes, this may test 77.000 again. Then, long, for sure.
I'll shop after the drop
  • #29,313
  • Dec 29, 2011 2:53pm Dec 29, 2011 2:53pm
Quoting Willow
Yes, this may test 77.000 again. Then, long, for sure.
Soon, USD/JPY SHALL RISE from the ashes and it will be GLORIOUS!

I really think 77 is a good buy limit with SL at 76.46
  • #29,314
  • Dec 29, 2011 2:54pm Dec 29, 2011 2:54pm
Quoting Willow
Yes, this may test 77.000 again. Then, long, for sure.

i dont know why trader buying this yen recently as japan authooriries just warning the market on posible intervention.......

i think the bilionaire n pro ten to buy it since yen is a safe haven.....not think retail trader like us buying it..hahaha
Bismillah
  • #29,315
  • Dec 30, 2011 5:51am Dec 30, 2011 5:51am
Sustainable intervention results are not to be expected as long as the EU is not able to address its problems structurally. Boj knows very well that any intervention result prior to such EU action is short lived.

Main bottleneck is EU and by the speed these guys work it could be months/years before any solution is being agreed upon by all member states. So, imo, dont marry the usd/jpy pair on the long side.

Wish you all a healthy and prosperous 2012 !
  • #29,316
  • Dec 30, 2011 6:07am Dec 30, 2011 6:07am
Quoting SIgurs
Sustainable intervention results are not to be expected as long as the EU is not able to address its problems structurally. Boj knows very well that any intervention result prior to such EU action is short lived.

Main bottleneck is EU and by the speed these guys work it could be months/years before any solution is being agreed upon by all member states. So, imo, dont marry the usd/jpy pair on the long side.

Wish you all a healthy and prosperous 2012 !
Hei Bro

Where do you going,Its been a long time
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #29,317
  • Dec 30, 2011 6:24am Dec 30, 2011 6:24am
[quote=FXMindset;5256704]Hei Bro

Where do you going,Its been a long time [/QUOT

Hope you are doing well FX. Its been a while indeed, been trading the Dax recently and hardly any forex. This might change in 2012 ;-)
  • #29,318
  • Dec 30, 2011 6:30am Dec 30, 2011 6:30am
[quote=SIgurs;5256765]
Quoting FXMindset
Hei Bro

Where do you going,Its been a long time [/QUOT

Hope you are doing well FX. Its been a while indeed, been trading the Dax recently and hardly any forex. This might change in 2012 ;-)
I never try seen or trade Dax,Its good for trade?


Thanks
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #29,319
  • Dec 30, 2011 7:17am Dec 30, 2011 7:17am
Quoting SIgurs
...it could be months/years before any solution is being agreed upon by all member states. So, imo, dont marry the usd/jpy pair on the long side.
Question is if Japan can wait that long, exporters atleast.
  • #29,320
  • Dec 30, 2011 9:12am Dec 30, 2011 9:12am
Quoting aragami
Question is if Japan can wait that long, exporters atleast.
automakers want 94Y atleast......it should be pressure to Japan authorities to make it done lto that point amid EZ crisiss....thats why Japan volunteer to help EZ to contain it debt problem..
Bismillah
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