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  • #37,981
  • Dec 20, 2011 3:37pm Dec 20, 2011 3:37pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD @ 1.0075

Its amazing how we are on the brink of nuclear war one day and all is rosey the next.
Those that have been happy playing the bigger picture rather than listening to the waffle would have done nicely.

For today 1.0100 seems a big hurdle given the price action however pull backs have been shallow.

Resistance 1.0100 1.0130 1.0180

Support 1.0045 1.0000 .9975

Good luck

Today was a HUGE risk on day with manipulation, AUD cannot be held this high.....it will fall back to the 90's, easily 95 again by february, mark my words.....
  • #37,982
  • Dec 20, 2011 3:40pm Dec 20, 2011 3:40pm
EUR/AUD @ 1.2975

Keep an eye out for the Aussie backpackers delight.

If this baby goes sub 1.2900 its not bonds europe has to worry about - its bogans !!
  • #37,983
  • Dec 20, 2011 6:02pm Dec 20, 2011 6:02pm
Quoting sc0rpi0n100
hello everyone!
i'm new around FF


entered short @0.9887 as it apperars to have broken the neckline.
this H&S would probably lead us to 0.98 right? (theoreticly)
Great call on your first ever post, how's that working for you; today AUD-USD at 1.00780?

In fact, looking back over last 24 hours posts, most are selling.....????
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #37,984
  • Dec 20, 2011 6:09pm Dec 20, 2011 6:09pm
Quoting Erebus
Great call on your first ever post, how's that working for you; today AUD-USD at 1.00780?

In fact, looking back over last 24 hours posts, most are selling.....????
I'm shorting at 1.0085 targeting 1.0060 (scalping mode).... I don't like to short AU pair for long periods of time because of the swap rates....

However, I do firmly believe that AU is on its way down, this is just a risk play / year end thing (apparently there are people still high on HOPIUM).

Will continue to short the pair for 20 pip scalps when I see opportunities to come in.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #37,985
  • Dec 20, 2011 6:16pm Dec 20, 2011 6:16pm
FUNDY dictates thst AUD should stay south down under but correlation to equities dictates AUD shiuld be 1.05

here is another read to short AUD....
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-n...f-de61d56e0f1c
  • #37,986
  • Edited 7:18pm Dec 20, 2011 7:08pm | Edited 7:18pm
Quoting Erebus
Great call on your first ever post, how's that working for you; today AUD-USD at 1.00780?

In fact, looking back over last 24 hours posts, most are selling.....????
my average position is 1.0207. i am prepared to draw down up to 1.0395
take a look at the 4h... nice big, fat gartley. there is a very high probability of a technical sell off following this rally that is backed by fundamental decline. of course, i could be wrong. it would be an expensive mistake.

in hindsight, i definitely regret diluting my position in the mid 9900s.. there are several indicators that should have told me to hold..but c'est la vie. if i knew what the market was going to do all the time, i wouldnt be reading this forum; that is for sure.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #37,987
  • Dec 20, 2011 7:30pm Dec 20, 2011 7:30pm
i still see plenty of upside. my 2 cents.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie.gif Size: 16 KB
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
  • #37,988
  • Dec 20, 2011 7:46pm Dec 20, 2011 7:46pm
Quoting Erebus

In fact, looking back over last 24 hours posts, most are selling.....????
same in the another forums, many are still short, so theres plenty of room for more rising...
  • #37,989
  • Dec 20, 2011 8:01pm Dec 20, 2011 8:01pm
my larger view.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie.gif Size: 20 KB
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
  • #37,990
  • Dec 20, 2011 8:26pm Dec 20, 2011 8:26pm
It is so festive in NY, so very festive in Europe.

Where else will the holiday go?

Santa is coming to town! Or has he already came?

Buying on dips.
  • #37,991
  • Dec 20, 2011 8:54pm Dec 20, 2011 8:54pm
I thinking it is going to take out the past high 1.0165 and then finally pullback

for bulls to get long here...

If this happens, what would be best place to get long...
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #37,992
  • Dec 20, 2011 10:30pm Dec 20, 2011 10:30pm
Teflon aussie, still catches people out! Nothing like thin liquidity to push it around more than expected.
  • #37,993
  • Dec 20, 2011 11:16pm Dec 20, 2011 11:16pm
1.0150s a congestion again..

break up and its 1.03
  • #37,994
  • Dec 20, 2011 11:20pm Dec 20, 2011 11:20pm
EUR/AUD @ 1.2925 Update..

I expect a run on backpacks for Xmas as EUR/AUD makes new lows and the bogans can start exiting Bali and enter Berlin.

Send me a postcard at 1.2500
  • #37,995
  • Dec 20, 2011 11:20pm Dec 20, 2011 11:20pm
Quoting ragnakore
1.0150s a congestion again..

break up and its 1.03

breakdown and it's .990
  • #37,996
  • Edited Dec 21, 2011 12:06am Dec 20, 2011 11:40pm | Edited Dec 21, 2011 12:06am
Morning , waiting this leg leg before 1.0152 , with breaks 1.0143 next & 1.0132 with confirmation 1.0113 . waiting this signal for others also, even this can signal another leg up there or not eu,gu , last time au did one but they not yet . so au to give signal in advance like before even Frankie, London open not far now .
fontu

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...47#post5238047
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd4.gif Size: 8 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #37,997
  • Dec 21, 2011 12:06am Dec 21, 2011 12:06am
Something very very positive for Europe is the life saver LTRO Long Term Refinancing Operation.

ECB is offering cheap cheap loans to banks AS MUCH AS YOU WANT AS MUCH AS YOU CAN and as collateral, banks simply need to offer anything of value; BONDS from erring countries will do. Therefore, bond holders can buy Bonds and offer these as collateral to borrow cheap loans from ECB. Banks earn SWAP/Interest difference with minimal risk.

ECB isnt allowed to buy Bonds directly, but this LTRO effectively is doing just that. LTRO isnt the solution for the rising debt. But at least it is lowering the Bond rates significantly... Hell, i bet Greece could borrow at dirt cheap 5% instead of 25% because of this.

This is a short term solution however.

With this, I AM NOT SHORTING RISK ATM.
  • #37,998
  • Edited 12:35am Dec 21, 2011 12:13am | Edited 12:35am
Quoting ragnakore
Something very very positive for Europe is the life saver LTRO Long Term Refinancing Operation.

ECB is offering cheap cheap loans to banks AS MUCH AS YOU WANT AS MUCH AS YOU CAN and as collateral, banks simply need to offer anything of value; BONDS from erring countries will do. Therefore, bond holders can buy Bonds and offer these as collateral to borrow cheap loans from ECB. Banks earn SWAP/Interest difference with minimal risk.

ECB isnt allowed to buy Bonds directly, but this LTRO effectively is doing just that. LTRO isnt the solution for...
Do you think it reversal attempt ? I never think so though , simple correction & spike up to die next with much speed .not any short yet but will look for it only next . got the life I see , next will watch 1.0169 .
cretical usdx , down with extension to help all other up little more or stop , no breaks bottom yet .
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd3.gif Size: 7 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #37,999
  • Dec 21, 2011 12:29am Dec 21, 2011 12:29am
in at 1.0155 targetting 1.03
  • #38,000
  • Dec 21, 2011 12:31am Dec 21, 2011 12:31am
Quoting fontu
Do you think it reversal attempt ? I never think so though , simple correction & spike up to die next with much speed .not any short yet but will look for it only next . got the life I see , next will watch 1.0169 .
fontu
i think we will see a big drop, but that wont happen while santa is smiling upon europe... after all santa is german
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