The Really Useless Thread | Page 1941 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

The Really Useless System 25 replies

Bloomberg: VIX Indicator useless for forecasting the direction of equity prices 0 replies

The Really Really Boring Forex System 97 replies

Attachments: The Really Useless Thread
Exit Attachments

The Really Useless Thread

  • #38,801
  • Dec 7, 2011 2:42am Dec 7, 2011 2:42am
Quoting PayTheLimit
looks heavy against 9250/62, below I note 9197, above 9318, from way back, March 9th...

Im gonna give hildy a ring one of these days and have him ramp the peg up a notch to 1.30
  • #38,802
  • Dec 7, 2011 2:46am Dec 7, 2011 2:46am
Quoting chazzle
cheers bro - if it bounces there - I'll start to pay more attention to mids rather than just closes

Closewise - July PA says 135 for a bounce - are you trading it?
not trading, just note taking...

lol, in an effort to research the swing closes more, I opened this can of worms with the mids..hope to collect enough observations this month to see which are more useful...as far as I can tell, both the close and mid of a swing low/high are key, I am interested in seeing the value of following the others...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #38,803
  • Dec 7, 2011 2:50am Dec 7, 2011 2:50am
Quoting AaronWard
So really the EFSF is a limitted form of Eurobonds. I think the fine print of the EFSF allows them to ramp up amounts required from the government while also making the EFSF a supranational body with broad legal immunity.

As for external adjustments... Is it fair to reframe it as "competitive in global labor markets"?
Yeap and without going "all in" for Germany and company.

Exactly, either you start competing and adapt to the 21st century or prepare to be forgotten.

Quoting AaronWard
Why do you need the IMF when the CBs have demonstrated their willingness to cross the line and work as lenders of last resort to foreign institutions?
The key and only issue here is @ a EU/EZ legal and political level.

1st. because of the ECB manadate. The ECB only have the mandate to control inflation not to do anything else

2nd. there are clear and explicit terms in the EZ tha avoid intervening in national problems (debt included)

3rd Germany et al. will need to give the go ahead to for the ECB or any other institution to fully take common responsibility over the problems but that needs Treaty changes (Lisbon and etc) and more importantly a legal and institutional framework to deal with common fiscal issues.

In simple words, the current ECB bond buying program, EFSF and IMF talks are just short term technicalities to tacitly do the same...but without common and legal mechanism to make it sustainable its doom to fail. That's why all the bla bla bla of the latest Merkel-Sarkozy meetings and the expectation for this weekend...They are supposedly going to announce the "NEW" Europe or whatever....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #38,804
  • Dec 7, 2011 2:51am Dec 7, 2011 2:51am
Quoting Wulfgar
Im gonna give hildy a ring one of these days and have him ramp the peg up a notch to 1.30

call me before you call him...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #38,805
  • Dec 7, 2011 2:57am Dec 7, 2011 2:57am
Quoting PayTheLimit
take a look at EUR/CHF, draw the swing high mid from Oct 19, mine shows 1.2411, has capped it on daily closes for a month almost...
I see it - the mid is capping PA - no close below the mid since on D1.Look at the close price of that day - it's 3 pips below the 2010 low , close on the daily
  • #38,806
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:01am Dec 7, 2011 3:01am
Quoting PayTheLimit
thanks bro..btw am watching GBP/AUD here at 5180, just by accident mostly, its the daily swing mid from Oct 27th, a biggie I suspect, looks like there is a play for either 5285, yest/mid, or 5055, a daily mid..if ya have any interest...LO 1st hour should give a clue..
we close at 5181 with a spinner, under last months low to boot, where are the sellers in here?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #38,807
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:06am Dec 7, 2011 3:06am
about o break 3425 , getting ready myself for short for 3408,3385 & 53 any or all .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,808
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:06am Dec 7, 2011 3:06am
Watching support for the USD on the Loonie charts...

Seems to be a pretty strong area of support. Continued support here could send EU crashing into oblivion...

Cable charts have hit hourly resistance and we are definitely atta crossroads...

Personally, I side with nobody.

Fuck EM!

Just give me the dough Joe, I gotta go.

Seasons greetings Bastards...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uc.jpg Size: 99 KB
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #38,809
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:11am Dec 7, 2011 3:11am
EU breakzone...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: breakzone.jpg Size: 66 KB
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #38,810
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:14am Dec 7, 2011 3:14am
Quoting PayTheLimit

lol, in an effort to research the swing closes more, I opened this can of worms with the mids.
Another thing with mids - I've seen a few times that the mid of a swing bar which stands out will be at a significant close price which was previous to it. Don't know if it means anything to you - but made me smile , since I was looking at closes/mids purely as a leading indi. , a cause rather than an effect.

How could it be used? Well , looking at said significant close ( I'm thinking daily for reliability ) - a break of that level will be either overshoot or breakout. - I guess when we can see it go another 50% past that close price ( 50% more than it's current move on the day ) the RR is pretty damn good to bet on the overshoot scenario
  • #38,811
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:14am Dec 7, 2011 3:14am
Quoting Magix

Just give me the dough Joe, I gotta go.

Seasons greetings Bastards...
good to see ya back, Jack...

hows ya feeling..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #38,812
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:17am Dec 7, 2011 3:17am
Quoting sisse

The key and only issue here is @ a EU/EZ legal and political level.
It was pretty stupid for the EZ to set up a monetary system without a lender of last resort. But my key point that participation by the IMF or lack of it is just noise. Foreign CBs are willing to step in and that should do the trick.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #38,813
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:17am Dec 7, 2011 3:17am
Quoting PayTheLimit
good to see ya back, Jack...

hows ya feeling..
Still sick, about as worse as ever been.

More appts with the labcoats next week and a new script every week. That and with the snow and fucking cold, I been a little crabby...

Working nicely on my little pet project, where failure on one ground leads to success on another, every day is one step closer...no holy grail, but certainly an easy living....

Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #38,814
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:21am Dec 7, 2011 3:21am
Quoting chazzle
Another thing with mids - I've seen a few times that the mid of a swing bar which stands out will be at a significant close price which was previous to it. Don't know if it means anything to you - but made me smile , since I was looking at closes/mids purely as a leading indi. , a cause rather than an effect.

How could it be used? Well , looking at said significant close ( I'm thinking daily for reliability ) - a break of that level will be either overshoot or breakout. - I guess when we can see it go another 50% past that close price (...
generally a mid or close has been violated by a decent amount, depending on TF, I will expire it...I have been studying using some of said expired ones, but would assign a lesser weighting to them

as for the overshoot and extensions, have not done a lot of work in that area, they only ones I have any experience with are the extensions of daily/monthly/weekly ranges...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #38,815
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:28am Dec 7, 2011 3:28am
Quoting Magix
Working nicely on my little pet project, where failure on one ground leads to success on another, every day is one step closer...no holy grail, but certainly an easy living....

Morning magic man - good to see you
  • #38,816
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:30am Dec 7, 2011 3:30am
Quoting Magix
Still sick, about as worse as ever been.
fuck brother, that blows...will be rooting for ya man...get well dude, and I'll shoot over there with a few bottles of Wild Turkey and a couple of cartons of Winstons...deal?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #38,817
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:46am Dec 7, 2011 3:46am
Quoting PayTheLimit
fuck brother, that blows...will be rooting for ya man...get well dude, and I'll shoot over there with a few bottles of Wild Turkey and a couple of cartons of Winstons...deal?
Deal!
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #38,818
  • Dec 7, 2011 3:47am Dec 7, 2011 3:47am
Quoting chazzle
Morning magic man - good to see you
Yo Chaz!
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #38,819
  • Dec 7, 2011 4:02am Dec 7, 2011 4:02am
3427, last hours mid..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #38,820
  • Dec 7, 2011 4:04am Dec 7, 2011 4:04am
guess with that break of 3430, shouldn't be surprised to see 3375/80 tested...bastards..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
136 traders viewing now