EurAnalysis | Page 661 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/USD

Similar Threads

EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

Attachments: EurAnalysis
Exit Attachments

EurAnalysis

  • #13,201
  • Dec 3, 2011 4:54am Dec 3, 2011 4:54am
Quoting FXMindset
all of my trade risk average 1% - every week gain around 7-12% per week by using small TF while other trade riding by daily TF - decided using small TF when sometimes am found that i shouldnt wasted every trade while waiting daily set up - trade over 5 years daily ride R/R around 1:4

Btw would leave this username for next week - honestly to many ugly side on members am see in This Forum - Been study and learn human mind for tens years over - which one good and bad -which one real and fake - am know overall - would let you know my new one when come...
It would surely be good to see ya in new avatar ... but I'm going to miss the old one :S
  • #13,202
  • Dec 3, 2011 5:22am Dec 3, 2011 5:22am
Quoting PipTrapper
... Be especially careful next week as the swings will be wild. Eurogeddon is a very high probability.
... Lets plan for the 5th
  • #13,203
  • Dec 3, 2011 5:32am Dec 3, 2011 5:32am
Quoting rekon67
... Lets plan for the 5th
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: E8.png Size: 48 KB
  • #13,204
  • Dec 3, 2011 5:47am Dec 3, 2011 5:47am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
From the cash point of view I see this link:
US are printing money like idiots so they can have cheaper oil, oligopoly rises prices of oil, US invades. The only one loosing is the rest of the world (To be selfish - Europe). Solution of this would be the end of USD as world reserve currency. I hope this time will come soon.

T
That's wrong Tom. Money printing drives down the value of our currency and makes oil expensive for us........ It's frigging making everything expensive.
I don't care which way the market is going as long as it's going my way
  • #13,205
  • Dec 3, 2011 5:56am Dec 3, 2011 5:56am
Quoting PipKiller
That's wrong Tom. Money printing drives down the value of our currency and makes oil expensive for us........ It's frigging making everything expensive.
Printing = Inflation = more dollars needed to buy a liter/barrel of oil

We get educated thinking that inflation is a natural phenomenon.
Inflation in things we need, Deflation in things we want.
  • #13,206
  • Dec 3, 2011 6:33am Dec 3, 2011 6:33am
Quoting Thijs
Printing = Inflation = more dollars needed to buy a liter/barrel of oil

We get educated thinking that inflation is a natural phenomenon.
In times of recession, deflation is just as scary as inflation is during economic booms.

So how does one fight deflation? Lower rates and monetary expansion.

US is doing it. UK is doing it. Japan is doing it. The Swiss are doing it. Europe is next.

ADD: The next ECB press conference should give us some hints as to when that will start... perhaps it will start before the end of the year. Really it has already started. Not by choice but by circumstance. The ECB is buying bonds and has made a commitment to step up it's bond buying activities when it sees that Kermit, Miss Piggy and the rest of the Muppet gang have got something credible put forward to save Europe..
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #13,207
  • Dec 3, 2011 6:50am Dec 3, 2011 6:50am
Quoting Thijs
Printing = Inflation = more dollars needed to buy a liter/barrel of oil

We get educated thinking that inflation is a natural phenomenon.
Exactly..... And they lie about the percent inflation is low and how wages have gone up. I think I'll stop there before I go on a rant.
I don't care which way the market is going as long as it's going my way
  • #13,208
  • Dec 3, 2011 7:08am Dec 3, 2011 7:08am
Quoting PipKiller
That's wrong Tom. Money printing drives down the value of our currency and makes oil expensive for us........ It's frigging making everything expensive.
Nope. Thats right what I have just said. It makes the oil expensive after. Thats the whole circle. Fed prints in order to devaluate currency and for this worthless currency wants to buy oil. Market reacts, because he doesnt want toilet paper for oil and rises price as well. It is the same effect like nations inflation race. Either Fed devaluates faster, or oil prices arise faster. I think oil is winning right now though and is arising faster, because not only US does this, but Japan as well and China as well, so they have to rise prices faster than all these nations devaluate their currencies. And yes, it is making all goods more expensive, it is resulting in inflation and unemployment and it is extremely wrong. You may have already noticed here, that I am strictly against inflation. This is the reason.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #13,209
  • Dec 3, 2011 7:42am Dec 3, 2011 7:42am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Nope. Thats right what I have just said. It makes the oil expensive after. Thats the whole circle. Fed prints in order to devaluate currency and for this worthless currency wants to buy oil. Market reacts, because he doesnt want toilet paper for oil and rises price as well. It is the same effect like nations inflation race. Either Fed devaluates faster, or oil prices arise faster. I think oil is winning right now though and is arising faster, because not only US does this, but Japan as well and China as well, so they have to rise prices faster...
OK, I understand you point on this now.


BTW, You aint related to Merkel or are German are you.....And you had the nerve to call me the :nerd: the other day


Have good day, Sun's up and I'm going to go shoot my new toy.
I don't care which way the market is going as long as it's going my way
  • #13,210
  • Dec 3, 2011 7:55am Dec 3, 2011 7:55am
Quoting PipTrapper
In times of recession, deflation is just as scary as inflation is during economic booms.

So how does one fight deflation? Lower rates and monetary expansion.

US is doing it. UK is doing it. Japan is doing it. The Swiss are doing it. Europe is next.

ADD: The next ECB press conference should give us some hints as to when that will start... perhaps it will start before the end of the year. Really it has already started. Not by choice but by circumstance. The ECB is buying bonds and has made a commitment to step up it's...
Actually, if you read history, deflation is far more scary. Just as one example, it was deflation (not inflation) that gave rise to Hitler and WWII.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #13,211
  • Dec 3, 2011 8:04am Dec 3, 2011 8:04am
hey everyone,

dont u guys agree that europe is always applying short term measures that actually dont treally solve the fundamental issues of EZ and they keep saying pricce stability, price stability,,, austerity measures, bond buying sorry if im missing the point here,

hhow does THAT help EZ? i keep thinking this si delaying the demise in europe. it buys them tiem they desperately need, but do they really know what to do? do they have "a carefully thought out plan"?
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #13,212
  • Dec 3, 2011 8:16am Dec 3, 2011 8:16am
Quoting bumapatria
hey everyone,

dont u guys agree that europe is always applying short term measures that actually dont treally solve the fundamental issues of EZ and they keep saying pricce stability, price stability,,, austerity measures, bond buying sorry if im missing the point here,

hhow does THAT help EZ? i keep thinking this si delaying the demise in europe. it buys them tiem they desperately need, but do they really know what to do? do they have "a carefully thought out plan"?
IMO

A) use the crisis to consolidate power to create a United States of Europe
B) fix the deficit problem through inflation AFTER they have successfully accomplished A)
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #13,213
  • Dec 3, 2011 8:24am Dec 3, 2011 8:24am
Quoting AaronWard
IMO

A) use the crisis to consolidate power to create a United States of Europe
B) fix the deficit problem through inflation AFTER they have successfully accomplished A)

That would be difficult dont you think? to create a united states of europe who would be seated as 'president'? the cabinet?

if this is their 'plan' im already smelling opportunists.
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #13,214
  • Dec 3, 2011 8:34am Dec 3, 2011 8:34am
Quoting bumapatria
That would be difficult dont you think? to create a united states of europe who would be seated as 'president'? the cabinet?

if this is their 'plan' im already smelling opportunists.
Ah, who would be the boss and would it be democratic? dunno.

But I do know that Euro leaders basic dialogue goes like this:

The problem...blah blah blah... the solution... blah blah blah... we really need more unity.

Then they go out and pass some more laws that gives them more unity.

I also know that while they can either move forward or backwards on creating fiscal union and a federal government they can't stay where they are with nothing but monetary union. These guys are clearly committed to moving forward.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #13,215
  • Dec 3, 2011 8:37am Dec 3, 2011 8:37am
Quoting AaronWard
Ah, who would be the boss and would it be democratic? dunno.

But I do know that Euro leaders basic dialogue goes like this:

The problem...blah blah blah... the solution... blah blah blah... we really need more unity.

Then they go out and pass some more laws that gives them more unity.

I also know that while they can either move forward or backwards on creating fiscal union and a federal government they can't stay where they are with nothing but monetary union. These guys are clearly committed to moving forward.

they are not giving up easily for sure.

i wouldnt be surprised if they come up with final solution.

if they did give them some time to fully recover then we got US in our hands.....
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #13,216
  • Dec 3, 2011 8:49am Dec 3, 2011 8:49am
hola a tod@s,

to Buma: how next Full moon will affect eurusd:


Will the price rise next week?
Or
Drop this week and reverse from monday?

saludos y green pips!!
  • #13,217
  • Dec 3, 2011 9:22am Dec 3, 2011 9:22am
Quoting AaronWard
But I do know that Euro leaders basic dialogue goes like this:

The problem...blah blah blah... the solution... blah blah blah... we really need more unity.
it reminds me of nothing so much as a bad marriage. best to just walk away but you lose half or most of your stuff. no biggie if you didn't have sht anyway...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #13,218
  • Dec 3, 2011 9:26am Dec 3, 2011 9:26am
Quoting josechu
hola a tod@s,

to Buma: how next Full moon will affect eurusd:


Will the price rise next week?
Or
Drop this week and reverse from monday?

saludos y green pips!!


how on hells name would i know?
i dont even think of predicting price then! put urself a vertical line on ur daily chart and analyze from there!


we got lunar eclipse in a week but thats for later.

its lagging i believe for the drop.

seriously im no fortuneteller, i am just using it for predictions and times to watch for confluence and PA and news

in no way do i know FOR ONE SECOND where price will move.
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #13,219
  • Dec 3, 2011 9:35am Dec 3, 2011 9:35am
Lunar eclipse in 7 days
i love eclipses for trend changes or just swings

Uranus goes back direct in 7 days as well

good good more confluence for possible trend change




id look at techs on my chart and proudly say EU is bearish right now (no shit...)

taht 'gap' would probably be covered any way. but dont use gaap for trading evrrr
Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #13,220
  • Dec 3, 2011 9:57am Dec 3, 2011 9:57am
Well, in 7 day we have a Full moon, is that what you mean by Lunar eclypse?

with all the hopium expected for next week, I think eurusd can mover high this week and then the Full moon week fall again

Time will tell, anyway

Quoting bumapatria
Lunar eclipse in 7 days
i eclipses for trend changes or just swings

Uranus goes back direct in 7 days as well

good good more confluence for possible trend change




id look at techs on my cWhart and proudly say EU is bearish right now (no shit...)

taht 'gap' would probably be covered any way. but dont use gaap for trading evrrr
18 traders viewing now