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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #12,841
  • Dec 1, 2011 2:47am Dec 1, 2011 2:47am
Quoting AaronWard
As always, the EU leaders see the "real" solution as an excuse to take the next step towards unity. They clearly view this debt crisis as a golden opportunity and they are not going to fix anything until they have finished milking it for all it is worth.
Problem - Reaction - Solution

It's all in the plan, and always has been. The problem has already been identified and is out in the open. We're currently experiencing the reaction phase of the plan. The next step is that the big cheese's then offer up their solution, which to the engineered problem, which has always been one central bank and currency with one centre of control.

That's my conspiracy theory aired for the day
  • #12,842
  • Dec 1, 2011 2:49am Dec 1, 2011 2:49am
seems like moving down again - unless...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #12,843
  • Dec 1, 2011 2:49am Dec 1, 2011 2:49am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting knoholygrail
Jim Willie of The Golden Jack A S S just put out a free public article on the moves of today. He is my favorite analyst of all since he knows his stuff and is not politically correct at all. He just is correct and is a joy to read and learn from.

Here is the article of November 30, 2011. Enjoy and feedback and discussion is welcomed.

http://www.financialsense.com/contri...-the-billboard

Quite good article. It actually brought in mind a thought that could the current situation be permanent?

Normally there is a cycle of markets for 8 to 12 years - what if the cycle brakes and there is just a long lasting resession? Any thoughts?
  • #12,844
  • Dec 1, 2011 2:50am Dec 1, 2011 2:50am
Quoting picon1
Problem - Reaction - Solution

It's all in the plan, and always has been. The problem has already been identified and is out in the open. We're currently experiencing the reaction phase of the plan. The next step is that the big cheese's then offer up their solution, which to the engineered problem, which has always been one central bank and currency with one centre of control.

That's my conspiracy theory aired for the day
Just for fun I would like to change the order. They started with a solution, then they went out and found a problem and they are counting on the reaction.

But a conspiracy theory is never complete without a stab at guessing the identify of the person behind it and their motives...

What are your thoughts?
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #12,845
  • Dec 1, 2011 2:56am Dec 1, 2011 2:56am
The fate of the Euro...

Inserted Video
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,846
  • Dec 1, 2011 2:56am Dec 1, 2011 2:56am
Bear market. 3373 for eu predictions.

am short on dow for now not eu
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Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #12,847
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:01am Dec 1, 2011 3:01am
Quoting AaronWard
As always, the EU leaders see the "real" solution as an excuse to take the next step towards unity. They clearly view this debt crisis as a golden opportunity and they are not going to fix anything until they have finished milking it for all it is worth.
It its very true that this is a unique opportunity for the EU Federalist to push forward. However timing is the problem. Politicians and intellectuals most often than not lose contact and dismiss reality when they are obsess with ideas.... They are walking in a very thin line now and markets won't given much more room ....some even said that technically they already cross the line and is too late .....

We'll see but clock is ticking fast, the best opportunity for further integration can become the trigger for the opposite ...and is all not because the markets but because the disastrous EU political management and lack of leadership in the debt crisis...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #12,848
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:04am Dec 1, 2011 3:04am
Quoting AaronWard
Just for fun I would like to change the order. They started with a solution, then they went out and found a problem and they are counting on the reaction.

But a conspiracy theory is never complete without a stab at guessing the identify of the person behind it and their motives...

What are your thoughts?
Professor Plum in the ECB with a pen and paper
  • #12,849
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:07am Dec 1, 2011 3:07am
Quoting PipTrapper
The fate of the Euro...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hz65AOjabtM
I am thinking I might have to sue you for wrongful death... I died laughing. You pretty much nailed this one. The two key things to remember about the Euroleaders is they never stop trying and they always come back for more.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #12,850
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:15am Dec 1, 2011 3:15am
Quoting sisse
It its very true that this is a unique opportunity for the EU Federalist to push forward. However timing is the problem. Politicians and intellectuals most often than not lose contact and dismiss reality when they are obsess with ideas.... They are walking in a very thin line now and markets won't given much more room ....some even said that technically they already cross the line and is too late .....

We'll see but clock is ticking fast, the best opportunity for further integration can become the trigger for the opposite ...and is all not because...
I will believe they have crossed the line when politicians who disagree with the federalist agenda keep their jobs. My regard for markets is the same as my regard for the masses of Imperial Rome. Keep them appeased and fed today and although they may make a lot of noise they will never mount a meaningful rebellion.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #12,851
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:25am Dec 1, 2011 3:25am
Quoting PipTrapper
The fate of the Euro...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hz65AOjabtM
Awesome PT....So far this is the exact and the best explanation of EZ crises... LMAO
Bulls Run. Bears Bite. We Profit.
  • #12,852
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:29am Dec 1, 2011 3:29am
Quoting FXMindset
seems like moving down again - unless...
unless ..we realize that down is also a part of the Whip Saw...
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  • #12,853
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:30am Dec 1, 2011 3:30am
Quoting AaronWard
I will believe they have crossed the line when politicians who disagree with the federalist agenda keep their jobs. My regard for markets is the same as my regard for the masses of Imperial Rome. Keep them appeased and fed today and although they may make a lot of noise they will never mount a meaningful rebellion.
Very true. However, I insist that is only one thing that can destroy any political games: the economy. When things goes upside-down, it opens the door for unforeseeable political developments....A relevant example in Europe: Germany after WWI....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #12,854
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:31am Dec 1, 2011 3:31am
Quoting rekon67
unless ..we realize that down is also a part of the Whip Saw...
Yesterday my Sell orders lined @ 1.34xx got burned ... today same are lined @ 1.35xx lets see
  • #12,855
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:51am Dec 1, 2011 3:51am
The hopium train is leaving the station.
Spain had a successful bond auction this morning with a bid to cover ratio of around 2.7 They paid a high rate of 5.28% but it is certainly better than it could have been.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,856
  • Dec 1, 2011 3:59am Dec 1, 2011 3:59am
Quoting FXMindset
seems like moving down again - unless...
Break the white trendlines - Daily also bullish - lets see 1.3532 again
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #12,857
  • Dec 1, 2011 4:03am Dec 1, 2011 4:03am
French bond auction results
Average yield 3.65%
Bid to cover around 2.25
Still expensive but good cover.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,858
  • Dec 1, 2011 4:05am Dec 1, 2011 4:05am
Price challenging falling channel resistance again.

H1 chart

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #12,859
  • Dec 1, 2011 4:08am Dec 1, 2011 4:08am
dont fight the bull trend if you are a day trader, just keep buying.

keep in mind we are in a bear market and when this thing loses momentum position to sell.

you could lose money by holding the right belief at the wrong time.
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #12,860
  • Dec 1, 2011 4:09am Dec 1, 2011 4:09am
Official detailed Spanish bond auction results.

Spain sold a total of Euro 3.75 bln in today’s auctions out of possible 3.75 bln

Sold 1.2 bln euros of 2015, bid to cover 2.7 ( vs 2.1 last), yields 5.187% vs 3.639%

Sold 1.15 bln euros of 2016, bid to cover 2.8, yield 5.276%

Sold 1.4 bln euros of 2017, bid to cover 2.7 (vs 1.8 last), yield 5.544% vs 4.782%
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
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