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AUD/USD

  • #36,621
  • Nov 29, 2011 5:20am Nov 29, 2011 5:20am
I am amazed how AUDUSD managed to stage a huge rally in spite of the record high Italian bond rate.

its as if, all european risks events are ignored wholesale.

trap?

standing aside waiting for EFSF lead.. seems that this news trumps everything else. HELL, market may even ignore WW3 just to wait for EFSF..
  • #36,622
  • Nov 29, 2011 5:40am Nov 29, 2011 5:40am
Quoting ragnakore
I am amazed how AUDUSD managed to stage a huge rally in spite of the record high Italian bond rate.

its as if, all european risks events are ignored wholesale.

trap?

standing aside waiting for EFSF lead.. seems that this news trumps everything else. HELL, market may even ignore WW3 just to wait for EFSF..
Yet the news is masking it as a relief over a successful auction ( though the high yields ). I am still on the sidelines on this.
  • #36,623
  • Nov 29, 2011 7:57am Nov 29, 2011 7:57am
just took a short... 4H RSI at 70ish, which mimics 28oct highs of 1.07.

s/l at 1.015
t/p 0.9880ish
  • #36,624
  • Nov 29, 2011 10:43am Nov 29, 2011 10:43am
Quoting FX-Petra
Still holding one 0250, one 0550. Added one lot @ 9750, and 2 lots @ 9700. Looking to close all near 1.000 except the 0550. I'll let that one keep running for a while.

Regards,
closed everything @ 1.0020 except 1 lot @ 9700 and 1 @ 0550. Will buy another dip if offered.

Regards
  • #36,625
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:21am Nov 29, 2011 11:21am
Daily trendline and 4 hr 200ema successfully reached.
Seems to me we are in no mans land right now. Both the GU and the Aussies have broken their 4 hr trendlines but with some major 200 emas above them including the Daily for the Aussie and Daily, weekly and monthly for the GU. I feel will be sideways today and perhaps rest of the week
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: hmmmmmmmmm4.gif Size: 18 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,626
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:42am Nov 29, 2011 11:42am
Really...

Interesting... I've been setting up for a short.... although its a tough call right now.... your wise to stay out of the market...
  • #36,627
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:46am Nov 29, 2011 11:46am
Quoting Teddicus
Really...

Interesting... I've been setting up for a short.... although its a tough call right now.... your wise to stay out of the market...
Don't get me wrong, I think that overall, it can only go down, it's just when. The only reason I am not shorting hard right now is the break of the upper 4 hr trendline.
While in the shower, I decided to wait for a daily close below the 4 hr 55ema. On the GU, I will wait for a daily close below the 1 hr 55ema (since we have successfully reached the 1 hr 200ema over there). It can only go down I feel, but may climb a bit more first before deciding enough is enough.
And I will be targetting 93.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,628
  • Nov 29, 2011 11:57am Nov 29, 2011 11:57am
Looking at price action and momentum, I have this strange feeling the Aussie is heading towards the daily 55ema at 1.156 and perhaps even the daily 200ema at 1.0220 ish and the GU wants to reach the 4 hr 200ema at 1.5772. Both pairs form new trendlines here and they would set us up for some HUGE shorts for lots and lots of pips.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,629
  • Nov 29, 2011 12:14pm Nov 29, 2011 12:14pm
Took short ----1.0025. s/l 1.0125
  • #36,630
  • Nov 29, 2011 12:14pm Nov 29, 2011 12:14pm
The Aussie chart as I see it. Looking to retest the weekly 55ema at 1.148 and the new inside white trendline before heading sough agin to the weekly 2ooema at 92. Also note, the daily and weekly 55ema's are at exactly the same price level also, this is a huge confluence and I will probably short here depending on price action
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: hmmmmmmmmm4.gif Size: 14 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,631
  • Nov 29, 2011 12:16pm Nov 29, 2011 12:16pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
The Aussie chart as I see it. Looking to retest the weekly 55ema at 1.148 and the new inside white trendline before heading sough agin to the weekly 2ooema at 92. Also note, the daily and weekly 55ema's are at exactly the same price level also, this is a huge confluence and I will probably short here depending on price action
Just noticed, also in line with resistance levels. Looks good to me. I will NOT trade long into it, just short off it.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,632
  • Nov 29, 2011 12:19pm Nov 29, 2011 12:19pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
Just noticed, also in line with resistance levels. Looks good to me. I will NOT trade long into it, just short off it.
CRIKEY and the weekly 200ema, is just about to reach the lower white trendline waiting for price to get there. The forex is totally rigged man, A huge computer just directing traffic I reckon.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,633
  • Nov 29, 2011 12:21pm Nov 29, 2011 12:21pm
Quoting Riskit
Took short ----1.0025. s/l 1.0125
That is a risk Riskit, but hope it works out for you. I will join you tomorrow if price goes your way.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,634
  • Nov 29, 2011 12:24pm Nov 29, 2011 12:24pm
Daily MACD has turned up in a strong weekly bearish market, hence I am staying out.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #36,635
  • Edited 1:01pm Nov 29, 2011 12:42pm | Edited 1:01pm
Actually, I like the set up so much I am going long into it. I netted 100 pips yesterday with 4 winning longs and 2 losing shorts so I have some cushion, and if I'm wrong then there are pips to be made to the downside. No SL, target 10130
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,636
  • Nov 29, 2011 1:05pm Nov 29, 2011 1:05pm
40 is a bull target for me, it touches that and that's all I need. 1.0040, if it doesn't then bears control.
  • #36,637
  • Nov 29, 2011 1:11pm Nov 29, 2011 1:11pm
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  • #36,638
  • Nov 29, 2011 1:13pm Nov 29, 2011 1:13pm
Quoting ragnakore
I am amazed how AUDUSD managed to stage a huge rally in spite of the record high Italian bond rate.

its as if, all european risks events are ignored wholesale.

trap?

standing aside waiting for EFSF lead.. seems that this news trumps everything else. HELL, market may even ignore WW3 just to wait for EFSF..


....... its all stuff like this is why l pay no attention to any news, reports, Gartman .......... nothing


its all reflected in PA, which l read and trade
  • #36,639
  • Nov 29, 2011 1:19pm Nov 29, 2011 1:19pm
Quoting redsword11
....... its all stuff like this is why l pay no attention to any news, reports, Gartman .......... nothing


its all reflected in PA, which l read and trade
I couldn't agree more
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,640
  • Nov 29, 2011 1:39pm Nov 29, 2011 1:39pm
Quoting sidhujag
40 is a bull target for me, it touches that and that's all I need. 1.0040, if it doesn't then bears control.
Didn't do it, bears run.
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