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  • #564,421
  • Edited 7:42am Nov 20, 2011 7:40am | Edited 7:42am
Hi guys and lady,

this is my weekly prediction.

Whole article is here:
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
....
And conclusion here, if you dont want to read it all:
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Conclusion

G1 – Still in a very strong downtrend and still waiting for a last bullish wave up before capitulation.

G2 – Bulls managed to guard 1,3495 on Friday. This point will be the key for domination of bears next week.

Weekly candle is a nice one bearish candle.

To run through 1,3495 and 1,3457 waiting below, bears could use some momentum. This could be after retest of 3610 or even 3630. My tactic is short like a moron everything below 3610, as I aint missing the submarine.
Good luck all,

T.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #564,422
  • Nov 20, 2011 8:05am Nov 20, 2011 8:05am
Quoting stevefx
Hey Myrza, looks good. Your making me put my thinking cap on, on a late Saterday night..

Here's a little mod with 80 period Renko 12 pip bars and Heiken Ashi (couldn't help myself..). Looks good too.

As you say, you have to wait to see how it all works out, flows, appears and disappears in real time to know if holds up. Worth a look-see!

(won't go on with this here past this post though, this is stuff for trading systems section).
is this repainting?
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #564,423
  • Nov 20, 2011 9:00am Nov 20, 2011 9:00am
Quoting stevefx
Hey Myrza, looks good. Your making me put my thinking cap on, on a late Saterday night..

Here's a little mod with 80 period Renko 12 pip bars and Heiken Ashi (couldn't help myself..). Looks good too.

As you say, you have to wait to see how it all works out, flows, appears and disappears in real time to know if holds up. Worth a look-see!

(won't go on with this here past this post though, this is stuff for trading systems section).

will keep you posted on project Flowtron
120 period in H4(=D1) and 80 period in H1(=H4) will be the guidelines. Turbomode in m15(80) and m30(40) .
  • #564,424
  • Edited 10:10am Nov 20, 2011 9:52am | Edited 10:10am
Checking gold at last , another huge intervention coming near soon !! with profound risk aversion & Gold tank heavy !! apparently so.can't believe possible but limit remain 1041 long time .so break 1695.44 first .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #564,425
  • Nov 20, 2011 10:15am Nov 20, 2011 10:15am
Quoting fontu
Checking gold at last , another huge intervention coming near soon !! with profound risk aversion & Gold tank heavy !! apparently so.can't believe possible but limit remain 1041 long time .so break 1695.44 first .
fontu
i can't disagree with that... looks bearish but no signal for me
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #564,426
  • Nov 20, 2011 10:20am Nov 20, 2011 10:20am
Quoting micho
i can't disagree with that... looks bearish but no signal for me
ok ,lets see & see how 1695.44 hit next easily , in lower tf & overall effects eu may experience next .

intervention chf & jpy !! chf perhaps doing already & jpy may next & so risk aversion .
fontu
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #564,427
  • Nov 20, 2011 10:57am Nov 20, 2011 10:57am
View of H4 E/U Channel down .
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  • #564,428
  • Nov 20, 2011 11:23am Nov 20, 2011 11:23am
Watching Margin call, the film before monday
Momento more
  • #564,429
  • Nov 20, 2011 11:42am Nov 20, 2011 11:42am
looks like we are going to open eur/usd with a gap up.... price already at 1.3532 at:

http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?fr...to=USD&view=1D
The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent!!!
  • #564,430
  • Nov 20, 2011 11:46am Nov 20, 2011 11:46am
and we are back at 1.3514.....
The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent!!!
  • #564,431
  • Nov 20, 2011 12:11pm Nov 20, 2011 12:11pm
Quoting fontu
ok ,lets see & see how 1695.44 hit next easily , in lower tf & overall effects eu may experience next .

intervention chf & jpy !! chf perhaps doing already & jpy may next & so risk aversion .
fontu
don't know when an intervention is coming... i dont think you can talk about or predict that
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #564,432
  • Edited 12:49pm Nov 20, 2011 12:37pm | Edited 12:49pm
Quoting micho
don't know when an intervention is coming... i dont think you can talk about or predict that
True , me can't tell that or even predict but can analyse technically . price reached around the pullback of great breakout ( sorry not the greatest breakout though, the red line , intermedite one sure ) for it's long lasting channel down & if previous intervention or say breakout of the channel was appropriet then should do at pullback also or simply price move as per technical bounce at it without them to do that . hope it will not move without them do it .
also see it after I posted
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=326829
fontu
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd27.gif Size: 9 KB
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Click to Enlarge Name: usd29.gif Size: 15 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #564,433
  • Nov 20, 2011 12:40pm Nov 20, 2011 12:40pm
Quoting fontu
True , me can't tell that or even predict but can analyse technically . price reached arounfd the pullback great breakout for it's long lasting channel down & if previous intervention or say breakout of the channel was appropriet then should do at pullback also or simply price move as per technical bounce at it without them to do that . hope it will move with out then do it .
also see it after I posted
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=326829
fontu
strange way of analyzing it, but i agree with you about USDJPY, long signal already showed on Friday with small target so far but can be aiming higher but it doesn't have to be an intervention it can pure price action this time... the pull down after the intervention was because it didnt have steam to continue and it showed divergence on higher time frames, it doesn't have to pull back everytime unless it lost steam which is what happened in this case
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #564,434
  • Nov 20, 2011 12:45pm Nov 20, 2011 12:45pm
...nice sunday evening to all, not posting any charts, they would be too obvious, just a few marks concerning a week to come:

H4 and H1 both in minor ascending channels inside major descending channels

levels to watch carefully for breaks:

.3540 up - we havenīt closed properly above this crucial level (one nice shooting star on H4 followed by bearish confirmation candles)
.3420 down - some biggie obviously keeps a watchful eye on this level

We are at the bottom of that small ascending channel now so if it breaks down (more probable based on last higher TF candles), further continuation back to .3420 is probable but we might see PA to continue through that ascending channel up to top of that descending channel, if it could meet meet the top in 61.8% retracement area around .3660, that would be a nice setup.

keep one eye pinned to fundies - bonds, CDS, news etc.

and most importantly - pick the right side

Happy pipping next week!
Quant Hedge Fund CEO
  • #564,435
  • Nov 20, 2011 12:50pm Nov 20, 2011 12:50pm
Quoting adrian1v2000
looks like we are going ...
I am already gapping down at Oanda. 1,35016 now.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #564,436
  • Nov 20, 2011 12:51pm Nov 20, 2011 12:51pm
Quoting FXMastermind
not posting any charts, they would be too obvious
You haven't learnt shit did you?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #564,437
  • Nov 20, 2011 12:55pm Nov 20, 2011 12:55pm
I think the only possible way to see 36x is monday and possibly tuesday. If that happens, I will short like an insane from that level.

Note, there is US supercommittee on wednesday and that is a heavy bearish sign to me.

Edit: I have added visual expression what are my thoughts about Wednesday .

T.
Attached Image
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #564,438
  • Nov 20, 2011 1:13pm Nov 20, 2011 1:13pm
Quoting infinitus
Well, was not meant to be a spanking. But if you like to get spanked......


To make it short and simple:

a) since price is a reflection of social mood, price can turn anytime everywhere

b) problem with this indi is, that it looks back a certain period and calculate regression lines.

c) nature of regression lines is, that they "try" to cover the extremes

d) looking back on a certain stagnant chart with a COG indi, you will notice, that all the turning points are covered, and you think, that the indi would have given reliable buy...
Ok yes, thanks, have worked with COG demo and I know that it readjusts its levels to give a false look-back, same as TMA. That's why I stopped bothering with it after a short time of testing a couple of years ago.

Within normal limits, range-bound, its ok for pointing out levels which would be trade-able with fast stoch confirmation and previous SR. Even then you're down to a process nearly as cumbersome as what you'd be doing anyway to isolate and trade those areas. But can give a false sense of security to new traders, and then trouble starts possibly.

Murrey Math is good too. So is my own indicator which you can take a look at here..

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=259419

Thanks for your input, no hard feelings..
  • #564,439
  • Nov 20, 2011 1:41pm Nov 20, 2011 1:41pm
Quoting adrian1v2000
looks like we are going to open eur/usd with a gap up.... price already at 1.3532 at:

http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?fr...to=USD&view=1D
sell 2 standards 1pip = 20 $ + or - @ 1.3510
gap down @ 1.347x inshaa Allah
  • #564,440
  • Nov 20, 2011 1:43pm Nov 20, 2011 1:43pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
I think the only possible way to see 36x is monday and possibly tuesday. If that happens, I will short like an insane from that level.

Note, there is US supercommittee on wednesday and that is a heavy bearish sign to me.

Edit: I have added visual expression what are my thoughts about Wednesday .

T.
be careful man
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