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  • #561,281
  • Nov 12, 2011 9:36am Nov 12, 2011 9:36am
Quoting smilemiz
Prev. Post (explaination):
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...80#post5127580

Or
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  • #561,282
  • Nov 12, 2011 9:38am Nov 12, 2011 9:38am
Quoting smilemiz
Or
OR

the power of Oscillator and Trendline - by miza
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  • #561,283
  • Nov 12, 2011 9:41am Nov 12, 2011 9:41am
Quoting smilemiz
OR

the power of Oscillator and Trendline - by miza
i believe it's very bearish too miza, good luck on your trade
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #561,284
  • Edited 10:46am Nov 12, 2011 9:43am | Edited 10:46am
Quoting smilemiz
Welcome fontu...

take a look now

Link:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...93#post5124593
Thanks , yes the C did not hold & the crazy/intervention part won Friday throughing the market in more ranges & little uncertainity . good chart & analysis . lets see next week if the intervention continues for break 3861 or not for next breaks 4246 if not any bear again be back or great range here for some more time .

anyway breaks 3679 is certainly a very bad sign for bear in place I wrote earlier & can able do any wrong . Hs daily there , some waves or so may not that neccessary but sentimen must be strong to effect , 200 pips in pullbak thought ok for to go bear but over 300 pips already done . just difficult to maintain /up against big candles daily,weekly/monthly one .

usdjpy , usdchf intervention withdrawing /no more continuation so far , correcting more plus gbpusd & gold specially posing high. so serious risk appetite continued .


fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #561,285
  • Nov 12, 2011 9:44am Nov 12, 2011 9:44am
Quoting RamsesII
i believe it's very bearish too miza, good luck on your trade


hey.. u change ur avatar, my friend RamsesII?
u too

me too...hehe coincidently
  • #561,286
  • Nov 12, 2011 9:45am Nov 12, 2011 9:45am
If this plays out like a perfect 5th wave of an A-B-C correction, then there should be two more highs. Areas of interest are the 1.3800-1.3858 range. Many levels can be played here with varied risk. Don't forget about euro's notorious failed 5ths so I'd watch for any sharp drop out of a regular count as another sign of weakness.
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Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #561,287
  • Nov 12, 2011 9:53am Nov 12, 2011 9:53am
Nice charts! Here's my H4.

As long as the supply isn't breached i still view it as a test.

ps. Make sure to reset your brain by having some non-trading fun!!!
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  • #561,288
  • Nov 12, 2011 11:18am Nov 12, 2011 11:18am
Quoting MitchWorse
Nice charts! Here's my H4.

As long as the supply isn't breached i still view it as a test.

ps. Make sure to reset your brain by having some non-trading fun!!!
i usually hurt mine...
  • #561,289
  • Nov 12, 2011 11:42am Nov 12, 2011 11:42am
Daily
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If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #561,290
  • Nov 12, 2011 11:51am Nov 12, 2011 11:51am
i am way back in position 31 because i left some trades open and forgot to close them, but the good news is the leaders are in reach because they are all stupid. there were 5 competitors over 70k but it seemed they had a margin call. LOL, still have one week to win. By end of next week, i hope to be 1st.

http://www.fxservice.com/contest/rest-of-the-world/
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #561,291
  • Nov 12, 2011 11:55am Nov 12, 2011 11:55am
Quoting micho
i am way back in position 31 because i left some trades open and forgot to close them, but the good news is the leaders are in reach because they are all stupid. there were 5 competitors over 70k but it seemed they had a margin call. LOL, still have one week to win. By end of next week, i hope to be 1st.

http://www.fxservice.com/contest/rest-of-the-world/
Good luck, micho!
  • #561,292
  • Nov 12, 2011 12:06pm Nov 12, 2011 12:06pm
Quoting FXMindset
Daily
So if the tl respect then price may not go beyound the previous high before correction , right ? a few pips gap up towards 3788 to down or gap down to back 3788 or low that time to test .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #561,293
  • Nov 12, 2011 12:19pm Nov 12, 2011 12:19pm
Quoting fontu
So if the tl respect then price may not go beyound the previous high before correction , right ? a few pips gap up towards 3788 to down or gap down to back 3788 or low that time to test .
fontu
Yap - But my simple analysis not real correct one yet Fontu - Let the market decided next Monday - If the daily respect beautifuly then we might going down from there - as Long not break the white trendlines - Then am will looking short position on 4H Chart - Honestly Currently I have Short @ 1.3715 and Still hold But once break the white trendline,am will cut my short immediately as I dont like hold the loss and Personaly am more respect Daily Trend than any timeframe - am will move On and looking next opportunity - Btw How about your outlook mate?


Thanks
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #561,294
  • Nov 12, 2011 12:52pm Nov 12, 2011 12:52pm
Quoting FXMindset
Yap - But my simple analysis not real correct one yet Fontu - Let the market decided next Monday - If the daily respect beautifuly then we might going down from there - as Long not break the white trendlines - Then am will looking short position on 4H Chart - Honestly Currently I have Short @ 1.3715 and Still hold But once break the white trendline,am will cut my short immediately as I dont like hold the loss and Personaly am more respect Daily Trend than any timeframe - am will move On and looking next opportunity - Btw How about your outlook mate?


Thanks...
I also have shorts in the low 1.37xx but even if it goes up I will never take a loss on shorts when we're in a bear mode and upside is limited.
Problems in EZ will come up again maybe as soon as tomorrow who knows?
Things are so sensitive in EZ when 1 person announces the wrong thing we're a few hundred pips down again in a few hours. So I'll wait till London open tomorrow before I do anything.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #561,295
  • Edited 1:23pm Nov 12, 2011 12:57pm | Edited 1:23pm
Quoting FXMindset
Yap - But my simple analysis not real correct one yet Fontu - Let the market decided next Monday - If the daily respect beautifuly then we might going down from there - as Long not break the white trendlines - Then am will looking short position on 4H Chart - Honestly Currently I have Short @ 1.3715 and Still hold But once break the white trendline,am will cut my short immediately as I dont like hold the loss and Personaly am more respect Daily Trend than any timeframe - am will move On and looking next opportunity - Btw How about your outlook mate?...
Thanks , may easily stop around but h4 tf still threatening up & may not able stop taking some ups before the correction to prepare test so 3808-21 to enen 3861 in real target thiis or next time . anyway with new week start the same tempo may not be preversed as well & so may correct down before retest from here as your tl with highs including wicks if respected .h1 tf & wave base the correction so far done at top before market close breaching limit down 3747 should immediately go down for more correction untill & until market in very strong up sentiment to ignore 247 pips previous move correction or nett 124 pips chance till limit towards 3669 opportunity with just 57 pips so far !! very unusual & too strong usually run before a failure sign .
fontu

lets open the market .breach 3679 certainly very sign though for bear in near term , even daily tf price action . & now if breaks again this line or better 3669/50 will be back at atleast more ranges at this lower levels further & top further over for then .
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #561,296
  • Nov 12, 2011 1:02pm Nov 12, 2011 1:02pm
Quoting KillerWhale
I also have shorts in the low 1.37xx but even if it goes up I will never take a loss on shorts when we're in a bear mode and upside is limited.
Problems in EZ will come up again maybe as soon as tomorrow who knows?
Things are so sensitive in EZ when 1 person announces the wrong thing we're a few hundred pips down again in a few hours. So I'll wait till London open tomorrow before I do anything.
As long you trade based on your Chart - and not trade blindy (enter position without any reason/news etc) Just Go For it - If you made mistakes and Position not going on your favour after you made your analysis - Then Try Study "Why" and "How"

But Hold Loss Is Not my style - As I am adopt Cut loss short and Let The Profits Run - Regarding upside is Limited - Hmmm - If Breaking the downtrend - Still Limited ?

Btw Its Important to determine your risk % per trade - MM is very Important - In Order to survive In The Next Game
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #561,297
  • Nov 12, 2011 1:05pm Nov 12, 2011 1:05pm
Quoting fontu
Thanks , may easily stop around but h4 tf still threatening up & may not able stop taking some ups before the correction to prepare retest so 3808-21 to enev 3861 in real target thiis or next time . anyway with new week start the same tempo may not be preversed as well & so may correct down before retest from here as your tl with highs including wicks if respected .h1 tf & wave base the correction so far done at top before market close breaching limit down 3747 should immediately go down for more correction untill & until market in very strong up...
I'm Agreed - Even The Daily Closed Below The white Trendlines - my H4 Indicates Further Up - am will pay my attention how daily moves on monday now - Overall my outlook might be wrong - But am would be speechless if she going up again - I know we need respect the market and trade based on the trend - But if she move up again - Dunno know how to express my feeling - I'm Just draw and look based on my chart
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #561,298
  • Edited 1:22pm Nov 12, 2011 1:10pm | Edited 1:22pm
Quoting Bice
I don't want to be troll or something, but I think, the market is "predictable" a bit. You can predict things approximately, like in physics, because the market behaves like a microcosmos. Just type in "econophysics" in google. I haven't worked on it yet, but I'm on it.
to a certain extent, yes, i do agree. how to pick an entry is another issue. what goes up must come down, but how far would it go up or down, and how long, is entirely up to the market. another thing... guess how many times their predictions are wrong to get one right. talk about some high probability...

i wouldn't underestimate the market, thinking that it is predictable.
  • #561,299
  • Nov 12, 2011 1:21pm Nov 12, 2011 1:21pm
The market can do anything at any time which means no trade has 100% certainty, but if you can identify scenarios that haver a higher probability of working out and apply proper risk/reward tactics, the money is there to be made.
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #561,300
  • Nov 12, 2011 1:23pm Nov 12, 2011 1:23pm
Quoting RamsesII
The market can do anything at any time which means no trade has 100% certainty, but if you can identify scenarios that haver a higher probability of working out and apply proper risk/reward tactics, the money is there to be made.
pretty much sums up everything.

so.. the comments like will be bullish or bearish next week? i would say they are full of shit. you don't know that.
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