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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #8,601
  • Nov 9, 2011 8:52pm Nov 9, 2011 8:52pm
Quoting Pbh
I got a question.. maybe a silly one, but I'd like to know if any of you think it could work.

What if central banks decide to do QE altogether. Does that mean creating more money without changing it's value?

On a first sight, I think that could work

Any opinions

Pbh
When you think of QE, you need to first think of it in the context of a single country. So if the US does QE, the supply of dollars goes up while the supply of real goods such as apples remains constant. Thus the US dollar will buy less apples. This is called inflation and subjectively it looks like the price of apples has gone up. But the reality is that the value of the dollar has gone down. If all countries did QE in equal amounts, then currency rates would be stable, but apples would be more expensive in all currencies.

However, would this solve the debt problem? Probably. Inflation devalues the real value of debt. But too much inflation can be dangerous. Fiat currency only works as long as people have confidence in it and inflation undermines this confidence. And too much inflation leads to hyper-inflation and this will completely and totally wipe out all financial assets. But the upside is that it would also wipe out all debt.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #8,602
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:00pm Nov 9, 2011 9:00pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h4 eu 1.gif Size: 37 KB
  • #8,603
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:05pm Nov 9, 2011 9:05pm
Quoting AaronWard
And too much inflation leads to hyper-inflation and this will completely and totally wipe out all financial assets.
I got 50 trillion Zimbawbe dollars to remember it
  • #8,604
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:06pm Nov 9, 2011 9:06pm
Quoting fishman356
.
I think you are selling a bottom.. I'd be cautious
  • #8,605
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:24pm Nov 9, 2011 9:24pm
Quoting Pbh
I think you are selling a bottom.. I'd be cautious
Answer three questions

1. How do you make money in a range?
2. How do you make money in a trend?
3. Is this a range or a trend?
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #8,606
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:27pm Nov 9, 2011 9:27pm
Quoting knoholygrail
Welcome to the Intelligent Thread. It was nice to talk with you on the other thread. Take care Fellow Trader.
Thanks, I just follow this one. Interesting seeing people talk about one currency like this. I seldom say things here though, just watch. The thing that dumbfounds me is the euro going down but rising against the nzd. That doesnt click for some reason in my head. I am kind of dumb when it comes to NZD fundamentals.
  • #8,607
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:31pm Nov 9, 2011 9:31pm
Quoting AaronWard
Answer three questions

1. How do you make money in a range?
2. How do you make money in a trend?
3. Is this a range or a trend?
1.- PA might be good for this.
2.- Following the trend when smart money is playing, perhaps the london session, but always proceding with caution.
3.- It looks like a trend.
  • #8,608
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:44pm Nov 9, 2011 9:44pm
Its still so early, but S&P futures are only slightly negative right now, could be a rebound in risk tomorrow, in a few short hours we'll know.
Yay! Pips for everyone!
  • #8,609
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:53pm Nov 9, 2011 9:53pm
Quoting knoholygrail
Every winning forex trader needs a Trade Plan. Part of having a Trade Plan is not to trade just to be in the action. I am all in cash and will nor short EUR/USD until things settle down and it moves up. Why short at this level ? Too many unknowns for me. The ability to NOT TRADE is called discipline. Only winning forex trader's have it.

Nice to see you post.
I am agreed Not Trade is the part of discipline - But I am truly doubt your trade ability - since am keep see you copy and paste those Information - Dont mean offense - But a Real Trader is not only can copy,paste and talk but he is also can post a chart and show us The Demand and Supply Area or we call it Support/Resistance
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #8,610
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:55pm Nov 9, 2011 9:55pm
Quoting Pbh
1.- PA might be good for this.
2.- Following the trend when smart money is playing, perhaps the london session, but always proceding with caution.
3.- It looks like a trend.
In a range you buy the bottom. In a trend you sell the bottom (ok PT, you sell the pullbacks).

If you get this right, you will make money. If you get this wrong, you will lose money.

Of course, identifying a trend and identifying a range can be difficult and you can never be sure until it after it happens and it is already too late.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #8,611
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:56pm Nov 9, 2011 9:56pm
Quoting FXMindset
I am agreed Not Trade is the part of discipline - But I am truly doubt your trade ability - since am keep see you copy and paste those Information - Dont mean offense - But a Real Trader is not only can copy,paste and talk but he is also can post a chart and show us The Demand and Supply Area or we call it Support/Resistance
I already short it.. last month.. now it is really happening...



forexfactory forum = research, discuss and talks.. yea.. showing the chart and analysis is one of the part of them...
  • #8,612
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:57pm Nov 9, 2011 9:57pm
Quoting Pipsforall
Its still so early, but S&P futures are only slightly negative right now, could be a rebound in risk tomorrow, in a few short hours we'll know.
You said will post a chart after back from work and show us "Why" Eurusd will trading around 1.36500-1.42500 ( and u made a lot pips of it ) until the end of year

Where is it ?
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #8,613
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:59pm Nov 9, 2011 9:59pm
These are not mine however perhaps some of our chart maker's here can review the numbers.

1.3592 - Cloud Base

1.3514 - November 10 Low

1.3500 - Round Number

1.3346 - Daily Low October 10

1.3242 - Daily Low October 6

1.3150 Target Daily Low - October 4

Now 1.3533

ChartmakerChartmaker Make Me A chart -- Sung To The Tune Of ?
  • #8,614
  • Nov 9, 2011 9:59pm Nov 9, 2011 9:59pm
Quoting smilemiz
I already short it.. last month.. now it is really happening...



forexfactory forum = research, discuss and talks
There are 2 kinds of talk - Educated Talk and Idiot Talk - am respect people who can make assumption with their chart - whatever he is true or wrong so everyone can learning rather then talk this and that without any clear picture

You short it since last month - Great - Seems your Elliot Wave Works Well
Btw,Welcome again Singapore girl
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #8,615
  • Nov 9, 2011 10:00pm Nov 9, 2011 10:00pm
Quoting FXMindset
You said will post a chart after back from work and show us "Why" Eurusd will trading around 1.36500-1.42500 ( and u made a lot pips of it ) until the end of year

Where is it ?
Chart Nazi
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #8,616
  • Nov 9, 2011 10:06pm Nov 9, 2011 10:06pm
Quoting AaronWard
Chart Nazi
Yeap actually I dont mind what numbers he give a call - Everybody sure have different view - but I dont respect people who give a number call without any chart - any kind of chart would appreciate - if a person who can keep post a number and dont dare to show his chart then I'm believe he wont learn anything from Trading

Talk is very Easy and never cost us money
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #8,617
  • Nov 9, 2011 10:06pm Nov 9, 2011 10:06pm
Quoting AaronWard
In a range you buy the bottom. In a trend you sell the bottom (ok PT, you sell the pullbacks).
That's my definition of following the trend (selling pullbacks, at least small ones).. Unless it's likely to be a trending day... And that could happen if fundamentals desire to.

I think the ECB should not be able to do anything to recover from the crisis (soon). But they can say something to drive the euro upwards (maybe fake hope comments) and I could short then.

But, since this is a possibility not a truth (yet), the only reality is that I missed a good short.

No problems, I can wait, and probably miss it. But I don't like playing higher risks, because trading is already risky.
  • #8,618
  • Nov 9, 2011 10:06pm Nov 9, 2011 10:06pm
Quoting FXMindset
You said will post a chart after back from work and show us "Why" Eurusd will trading around 1.36500-1.42500 ( and u made a lot pips of it ) until the end of year

Where is it ?
I am an excellent fundamental forex trader however I cannot make a chart or post a chart. I have no interest or patience in doing so. There are plenty of charts around. I use Oanda using the 5 minute, 15 minute and hourly chart. I add my indicators being on TOP ...

Bollinger Bands, SAR, EMA and Fractionals.

Then I use MACD with Awesome Indicator and RSI.

I just thought I would share that and ask for your feedback. We each have our own way of trading to suit our respective personality.

Peace !!!
  • #8,619
  • Nov 9, 2011 10:10pm Nov 9, 2011 10:10pm
Quoting FXMindset
There are 2 kinds of talk - Educated Talk and Idiot Talk - am respect people who can make assumption with their chart - whatever he is true or wrong so everyone can learning rather then talk this and that without any clear picture

You short it since last month - Great - Seems your Elliot Wave Works Well
Btw,Welcome again Singapore girl

Hello... just call me miza


my charts is already posted ..actually
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...16#post5093416
anyway.. bring it on again.
Attached Images
  • #8,620
  • Nov 9, 2011 10:11pm Nov 9, 2011 10:11pm
Quoting knoholygrail
I am an excellent fundamental forex trader however I cannot make a chart or post a chart. I have no interest or patience in doing so. There are plenty of charts around. I use Oanda using the 5 minute, 15 minute and hourly chart. I add my indicators being on TOP ...

Bollinger Bands, SAR, EMA and Fractionals.

Then I use MACD with Awesome Indicator and RSI.

I just thought I would share that and ask for your feedback. We each have our own way of trading to suit our respective personality.

Peace !!!
Sure,Honestly I am not interested with these Indicators - To Complicated and noise for me - am would appreciate you made some time to post a 1 oe 2 or 3 chart how your view looks like In picture,thats would be better for us

very Simple to post a chart - simple like 1 2 3 take take take like this
Inserted Video
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
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