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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #981
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:21am Oct 7, 2011 4:21am
Quoting CommercialB
You mean boost USD in USD/CAD pair, and/or also EU/USD pair? ..ie EU negative?
Ahhh sorry. I now understand what you mean.

Yes

Boost USD mens EUR negative
USD loss = euro positive

It's all about correlation.

But not to worry, CAD is not significant. It won't last long.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #982
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:22am Oct 7, 2011 4:22am
Quoting bumapatria
here is what i learned from my pal redlion:

jpy, chf, usd, move in same sorta rhythm.

eur, gbp, aud, nzd move in same sorta rhythm too.

Its proven, i have seen
Again. That is the current correlation and it is long standing. But it does break under extreme fundamental shifts.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #983
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:34am Oct 7, 2011 4:34am
Quoting PipTrapper
Again. That is the current correlation and it is long standing. But it does break under extreme fundamental shifts.
of course, but take a look at weekly
scaryy thought here..

lol.. it gauges too many pips, i dont use this but some dude on eu thread was like the weekly started bullish.
i was like who cares, it was the trichet and merkel crap.

but when i looked.

*Gulp.*
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Have I got something on my face, SOLDIER?
  • #984
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:36am Oct 7, 2011 4:36am
Usually the EUR/USD behaves like a drunk driver that only understands the gas pedal and believes that the steering wheel is there to provide support for his hands

But today the EUR/USD behaves like a drunk driver who has been pulled over by the cops and has been asked to walk a straight line. You have to admire the effort even it ultimately fails the test.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #985
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:42am Oct 7, 2011 4:42am
Quoting bumapatria
of course, but take a look at weekly
scaryy thought here..

lol.. it gauges too many pips, i dont use this but some dude on eu thread was like the weekly started bullish.
i was like who cares, it was the trichet and merkel crap.

but when i looked.

*Gulp.*


The weekly candle only applies at final print. Let's see what it looks like on Sunday night.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #986
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:43am Oct 7, 2011 4:43am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Any last minute opinions about NFP? Up or Down? And why?
  • #987
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:45am Oct 7, 2011 4:45am
I expect high volatility between 3400 and 3500
a final break above 3500 or below 3400 should give the decision.
/ ... clarifying decisions ... /
  • #988
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:46am Oct 7, 2011 4:46am
Quoting AaronWard
Usually the EUR/USD behaves like a drunk driver that only understands the gas pedal and believes that the steering wheel is there to provide support for his hands

But today the EUR/USD behaves like a drunk driver who has been pulled over by the cops and has been asked to walk a straight line. You have to admire the effort even it ultimately fails the test.
you mean like this?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ziNvB-JVi9k
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #989
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:46am Oct 7, 2011 4:46am
Quoting AaronWard
Usually the EUR/USD behaves like a drunk driver that only understands the gas pedal and believes that the steering wheel is there to provide support for his hands

But today the EUR/USD behaves like a drunk driver who has been pulled over by the cops and has been asked to walk a straight line. You have to admire the effort even it ultimately fails the test.
I just wet myself!
  • #990
  • Edited 5:02am Oct 7, 2011 4:50am | Edited 5:02am
Quoting AFXFin
Any last minute opinions about NFP? Up or Down? And why?
Nobody knows what or why but I expect the numbers to come in above zero but below expectation due to an upward revision from last month's zero number.

Take a look at this post...

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...45#post5019145

ADD: And this one too --> http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...88#post5019188

.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #991
  • Oct 7, 2011 4:52am Oct 7, 2011 4:52am
Political division clouds EU bid to aid banks

.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #992
  • Edited 4:58am Oct 7, 2011 4:57am | Edited 4:58am
Quoting walb99
I expect high volatility between 3400 and 3500
a final break above 3500 or below 3400 should bring the decision.
Yes I think line in sand at 1.3494 with last line of Bear defense from Friday Bull at .3560 area.

It can spike either way at release., but it is like dropping a stone in a calm pond, the ripples will eventually calm down and we will know true direction. I will wait 15-20 minutes after before putting on my suit and diving in.
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  • #993
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:01am Oct 7, 2011 5:01am
T-minus 30 minutes before lift off!
  • #994
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:03am Oct 7, 2011 5:03am
  •  AFXFin
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Price don't have a mind of it's own | 915 Posts
Quoting PipTrapper
Nobody knows what or why but I expect the numbers to come in above zero but below expectation due to an upward revision from last month's zero number.

Take a look at this post...

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...45#post5019145

.
Yup - I read that last night. I just asked personal opinions and bases for that opinion. I anyway hedged my short for unexpected raise.
  • #995
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:03am Oct 7, 2011 5:03am
Quoting Gofer Pips
T-minus 30 minutes before lift off!
Get that nuclear explosion YouTube video ready to go
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #996
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:18am Oct 7, 2011 5:18am
Quoting PipTrapper
you mean like this?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ziNvB-JVi9k
Yep... but with a twist. We could be the fellows that get busted. but now, thanks to you, we will go down with a smile on our face.
Kill the ego, or it will kill the mission.
  • #997
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:19am Oct 7, 2011 5:19am
Quoting PipTrapper
Get that nuclear explosion YouTube video ready to go
  • #998
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:27am Oct 7, 2011 5:27am
Expect FF might crash during peak access times as usual ... if so calender also @ http://www.dailyfx.com/calendar/ might be accessible. Gd luck everybody
The spoken word is your master, the unspoken word your slave.
  • #999
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:35am Oct 7, 2011 5:35am
Ooops. Didn't expect that posivite data....

Any suggestions what will happen now?
  • #1,000
  • Oct 7, 2011 5:35am Oct 7, 2011 5:35am
Definitely Long, changed outlook.

I should be considering closing the short entries and RE-entering above our present level when fundamentals desire to. This news is completely for risk apettite for the mid-term (My mid-term lasts a week).

Pbh
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