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AUD/USD

  • #33,401
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:20pm Sep 19, 2011 5:20pm
I was reading in the news how the situation in Italy is helping to drive the AU down. Can anyone explain why Australia is so affected by Italy?
  • #33,402
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:23pm Sep 19, 2011 5:23pm
PullBack in @180?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD 19-09-2011 21-20-09.jpg Size: 239 KB
  • #33,403
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:34pm Sep 19, 2011 5:34pm
Yesterday is a history, today is a gift, tomorrow is a mistery
Attached Image
  • #33,404
  • Sep 19, 2011 6:08pm Sep 19, 2011 6:08pm
Quoting anung
Yesterday is a history, today is a gift, tomorrow is a mistery
I'd like to correct your spelling and it should read:
"...Tomorrow is a misery"
  • #33,405
  • Sep 19, 2011 6:25pm Sep 19, 2011 6:25pm
Quoting BurgerKing
I'd like to correct your spelling and it should read:
"...Tomorrow is a misery"
I know what you are getting at...but spelling still wrong!! MYSTERY LOL!
  • #33,406
  • Sep 19, 2011 6:49pm Sep 19, 2011 6:49pm
Shorting AUD @ 1.0230,
tp @ 1.0030,
sl @ 1.0260
Expect the unexpected.
  • #33,407
  • Sep 19, 2011 7:54pm Sep 19, 2011 7:54pm
i will be looking for an opportunity to short the aussie down to parity... will see how price develops down here at support 1.0182

at least 1.02 ish to short down be back for london open
  • #33,408
  • Sep 19, 2011 9:39pm Sep 19, 2011 9:39pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0195

Couldnt understand the rally to 1.0230.. What was Stevens going to say?
All is well LOL

Let see what Europe does with this as contagion starts and all we need is for a run on a bank and the fear tap will flow.

NZD - World cup special!! The only win England will have over the Kiwi's..

My tech guru suggests a break of GBP/NZD 1.9180 we move to GBP/NZD 1.9350

Now there is a "Slice of heaven" for ya..

Happy punting
  • #33,409
  • Sep 19, 2011 10:59pm Sep 19, 2011 10:59pm
Quoting Pipwanderer
i will be looking for an opportunity to short the aussie down to parity... will see how price develops down here at support 1.0182

at least 1.02 ish to short down be back for london open
yrs still in on short ?
  • #33,410
  • Sep 19, 2011 11:06pm Sep 19, 2011 11:06pm
Quoting VennD
yrs still in on short ?
no positions yet...i am looking for a higher price to short later during the us session maybe
  • #33,411
  • Edited 11:56pm Sep 19, 2011 11:24pm | Edited 11:56pm
Quoting Pipwanderer
no positions yet...i am looking for a higher price to short later during the us session maybe
atm ... Im looking to sell (scalp) CHF and YURO . Bad time for them. Going long on AUD. While USD is very cunning ... can drop anytime ... no doubt every mid-september it goes up .. few weeks later it drop like u never seen before ...
  • #33,412
  • Edited 11:53pm Sep 19, 2011 11:37pm | Edited 11:53pm
Long scalp @ 186 , sl 5pips below the recent bar low.

add-in short scalp @ 195 , let it hair wire ... no problem.

long tp for 260 , short tp for 161.

both no sl.
  • #33,413
  • Sep 20, 2011 12:02am Sep 20, 2011 12:02am
Quoting VennD
Long scalp @ 186 , sl 5pips below the recent bar low.

add-in short scalp @ 195 , let it hair wire ... no problem.

long tp for 260 , short tp for 161.

both no sl.
add-in another short scalp @ 215 ... make it become more crazy ...
  • #33,414
  • Sep 20, 2011 12:44am Sep 20, 2011 12:44am
Quoting VennD
add-in another short scalp @ 215 ... make it become more crazy ...
all previous shorts closed at BE , add-in another short @ 245 to accompany long @ 186, ...(+59 pips gain secure).
  • #33,415
  • Edited 1:14am Sep 20, 2011 1:06am | Edited 1:14am
Quoting VennD
all previous shorts closed at BE , add-in another short @ 245 to accompany long @ 186, ...(+59 pips gain secure).
Look at the 15m tf ... all those candles from 265-300 are favouring to sellers.

Closed short 245 at BE ... reenter short @ 260. (+74 pips gain secure).

My current positions look like this ...

long 186 + short 260 (74pips gain secure).
long 155 + short 630 (475pips gain secure).

account is swap free ...
  • #33,416
  • Sep 20, 2011 1:18am Sep 20, 2011 1:18am
Price did a neat bounce from the trendline. That might be all for EW5, target 38.2% correction to around 1.0350.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie 1 hour.gif Size: 23 KB


There also seems to be a Head and Shoulders on the hourly charts, with head projection to 1.0340, or even 1.0360 for a gap closure and SMA200 testing.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie 1 hour zoom.gif Size: 21 KB


Downside target at the lows thereafter (and sooner if actual M30 resistance with SMA100 and 200 weaved together), with some stairsteps at 1.0110, 1.0060 and parity.
  • #33,417
  • Sep 20, 2011 2:34am Sep 20, 2011 2:34am
260 resistance blown ! ... U look how it goes up ... piuuunngggg..
  • #33,418
  • Edited 2:57am Sep 20, 2011 2:50am | Edited 2:57am
Quoting VennD
Look at the 15m tf ... all those candles from 265-300 are favouring to sellers.

Closed short 245 at BE ... reenter short @ 260. (+74 pips gain secure).

My current positions look like this ...

long 186 + short 260 (74pips gain secure).
long 155 + short 630 (475pips gain secure).

account is swap free ...
Closed short 260 at BE , reenter short @ 296 (+110 pips gain secure). piuuuuugggg...

Be extra careful if u want to enter short above 300 . Cuz ... abv 300 are Mr.Long's zone ...

Im secure now with total +585 pips gain ..
  • #33,419
  • Sep 20, 2011 3:07am Sep 20, 2011 3:07am
Quoting VennD
Closed short 260 at BE , reenter short @ 296 (+110 pips gain secure). piuuuuugggg...

Be extra careful if u want to enter short above 300 . Cuz ... abv 300 are Mr.Long's zone ...

Im secure now with total +585 pips gain ..
I think this is my last chance ... closed short 296 at BE , ... reenter short @ 305 . add +9pips . total gain +594 pips .... Now I watch and gather some info to share with all of u .... brb ...
  • #33,420
  • Edited 3:37am Sep 20, 2011 3:18am | Edited 3:37am
Quoting VennD
I think this is my last chance ... closed short 296 at BE , ... reenter short @ 305 . add +9pips . total gain +594 pips .... Now I watch and gather some info to share with all of u .... brb ...
Here it is ... mixed stops along the way 300-370. Probably so ... candles look like longs are in favour .

Our Doblece's analysis also say so. Could be right ...
and also ... as long as the two giants supporting at 150 doesn't run away ... AU won't go down .. tht's all ... try to relate all those with yr technicals ... how true are they ...
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