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AUD/USD

  • #33,381
  • Sep 19, 2011 1:08pm Sep 19, 2011 1:08pm
It looks like it is time to embrace the inevitability of a weekly trendline test of 1.0075 (area). Assuming we get there, seems like we would re-test parity. I am hoping to exit some of my longs on a bounce so I can reposition between 1.0075 and .9930. This has been a great 2 yr uptrend, but a weekly close below .9930 would signal the end.

Regards,
  • #33,382
  • Edited 2:27pm Sep 19, 2011 2:00pm | Edited 2:27pm
recession time ... everything must go down eh ?

One rocket just went up ... lucky me ... earlier add long 186 , 189 + 194 tp relaxe ... 260.
  • #33,383
  • Edited 2:52pm Sep 19, 2011 2:51pm | Edited 2:52pm
Quoting VennD
recession time ... everything must go down eh ?

One rocket just went up ... lucky me ... earlier add long 186 , 189 + 194 tp relaxe ... 260.
Closed all 3 @ 255 , and reversed entry , short 249 + 246.
  • #33,384
  • Sep 19, 2011 2:57pm Sep 19, 2011 2:57pm
Quoting VennD
Closed all 3 @ 255 , and reversed entry , short 249 + 246.
Closed both shorts @ 225. Maintain other positions long 171 + short 630.
  • #33,385
  • Sep 19, 2011 3:10pm Sep 19, 2011 3:10pm
eur/usd is very very sick atm ... mentally and physically ... wth has happened in europe ...
  • #33,386
  • Edited 5:05pm Sep 19, 2011 4:36pm | Edited 5:05pm
Europe will most likely have an annualised GDP of about 2% growth which not bad at all. I just really think that the woes have been overhyped, especially with Greece. Worst case a few banks take a hit but the short term bonds will be renegotiated with the holders and much of this must have been priced into the market. It seems more of a case where any good news out of europe will be snapped up. We definitely cannot rule out a test of the long term supprt TL where we would be around parity, no matter how bullish we are and I am still bullish. Just going to reduce my longs and look to reload from about 1.0100 ish.


Good Luck all
  • #33,387
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:26pm Sep 19, 2011 5:26pm
AUD/USD 1.0215

Having been away from the markets for a few days and returned, I can see nothing has changed. Greece is still the word and politicians have tried to spoof the market.
Those who feel a Greece default is insignificant are long risk in hope its a bad dream.
As I speak Moody have downgraded Italy.

So the contagion starts and the fear will set in. Its only a matter of time..

AUD fallen to 1.0170

Im thinking sub parity this week

Good luck
  • #33,388
  • Edited 5:43pm Sep 19, 2011 5:36pm | Edited 5:43pm
Thanks for the EU news , lasty. Good ... will further short eur/usd ... next bus stop 1.3460 / 1.3440.

For AU .. if RBA meeting minutes come out in 3hrs ... downside target 1.0110 ... upside target 1.0240.

Its still dark in here ...
  • #33,389
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:47pm Sep 19, 2011 5:47pm
Italy credit rating has been downgraded by S&P. Big moves south! for eur & aud it seems
  • #33,390
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:54pm Sep 19, 2011 5:54pm
This pair can kiss my A$$!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au30min.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #33,391
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:57pm Sep 19, 2011 5:57pm
Look at 15m tf chart .... those candles 180-200 are occupied by longs .. sellstops / mixed stops must be below 180 ...
  • #33,392
  • Sep 19, 2011 5:58pm Sep 19, 2011 5:58pm
Good call on the short Eur/Usd and Aud/Usd

Quoting Chillypiper
This pair can kiss my A$$!
  • #33,393
  • Edited 6:05pm Sep 19, 2011 5:59pm | Edited 6:05pm
Quoting Chillypiper
This pair can kiss my A$$!
u quietly shorting ... eh mate ? Congrate ! (Im jealous). lets share ... u take all the shorts .... i'll take all the longs from any rejected supports, ok ?
  • #33,394
  • Sep 19, 2011 6:01pm Sep 19, 2011 6:01pm
Asian currencies maybe under pressure again today from the Italy news. Watch for their CB's selling reserves to defend them.
AUD & NZD could be the main sufferers like what happened last thursday ( when I got caught long AUD/JPY)
  • #33,395
  • Sep 19, 2011 6:05pm Sep 19, 2011 6:05pm
Ya, sry Mate. Still cleaning my wounds from my carry here but helped on my eu..alot!

Quoting VennD
u quietly shorting ... eh mate ? Congrate ! (Im jealous).
  • #33,396
  • Sep 19, 2011 6:29pm Sep 19, 2011 6:29pm
Quoting VennD
u quietly shorting ... eh mate ? Congrate ! (Im jealous). lets share ... u take all the shorts .... i'll take all the longs from any rejected supports, ok ?
My turn now ... signal candle came out ... to scalp long @ 155 , had to lock it at BE coz Im going against the trend.
  • #33,397
  • Edited 6:50pm Sep 19, 2011 6:44pm | Edited 6:50pm
Quoting VennD
My turn now ... signal candle came out ... to scalp long @ 155 , had to lock it at BE coz Im going against the trend.
CP , Closed @ 179 . Wow ! Potential to kiss yr a$$ @ 1.0079 , mate.
  • #33,398
  • Edited 7:04pm Sep 19, 2011 7:03pm | Edited 7:04pm
Greek aid suspended... more shorts !
  • #33,399
  • Sep 19, 2011 7:10pm Sep 19, 2011 7:10pm
AU in buyers area right now ... donno hw long can be there ...
  • #33,400
  • Sep 19, 2011 7:11pm Sep 19, 2011 7:11pm
Short @ 1.0192. Chance of rate cut next month gaining some momentum. We'll see what happens in 1 hour 20mins.

Something tells me we'll be below parity this week.
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